Could Bitcoin Face a 51% Attack? Mining Pools Near 50% Hashrate

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Bitcoin 51% Attack

Over the past few weeks, 51% attacks on Proof-of-Work (PoW) blockchains have once again made headlines. Following recent campaigns led by Qubic, concerns about blockchain security are resurfacing, with a central question: could Bitcoin itself ever fall victim to such an attack?

The timing is notable. Two major mining pools are edging close to controlling half of Bitcoin’s hashrate, sparking debate over whether the world’s largest blockchain could ever be compromised.

What Is a 51% Attack?

Proof-of-Work blockchains rely on miners who provide computing power to secure the network. The total computing power is measured as the hashrate. A blockchain is considered immutable because altering its distributed ledger is nearly impossible under normal circumstances.

However, if a single entity or coalition controls 51% or more of the hashrate, it could manipulate the blockchain. This might allow double spending, reversing transactions, or halting block processing ,effectively undermining the very integrity of the network.

From Theory to Reality

Originally, 51% attacks were largely theoretical, since the cost of amassing such computing power outweighed potential gains. But with the rise of hashrate rental services, attackers can now temporarily acquire enough power to launch targeted assaults.

Qubic’s recent campaigns, in which one network attacked another, highlight this evolving landscape. While these attacks typically target smaller blockchains, history shows they are not uncommon:

  • Expanse (EXP) was attacked in July 2019.
  • Litecoin Cash (LCC) suffered six attacks in the same month.
  • Vertcoin (VTC) was attacked in December 2019.
  • Bitcoin Gold (BTG) endured two attacks in January 2020.

Could Bitcoin Be Next?

Technically, Bitcoin has never suffered a 51% attack. The scale of its hashrate makes such a feat astronomically difficult and prohibitively expensive. However, history offers warnings: in 2014, the mining pool GHash reached 51% control, before voluntarily reducing its share to ease concerns about centralization.

Today, two mining giants dominate: Foundry USA (32.3%) and AntPool (17.2%), together holding 49.5% of Bitcoin’s hashrate. While this doesn’t automatically mean danger, some observers worry about the risk if they were ever to collude.

Experts also note that while private groups lack the resources to sustain such an attack, state-level actors might, in theory, be able to. Still, the economic incentive remains weak, as controlling Bitcoin temporarily would be enormously costly with little financial upside.

Conclusion: Economics Over Fear

For now, Bitcoin remains resilient. While the theoretical threat of a 51% attack cannot be fully dismissed, the economic reality aligns with Satoshi Nakamoto’s original conclusions: launching such an attack against Bitcoin is simply not profitable or sustainable, thus could further incentivise for crypto trading.

By Patrick Johnson

Patrick Johnson is a seasoned crypto journalist and analyst with a sharp eye for emerging trends in blockchain, DeFi, NFTs, and Web3 innovation. With a background in tech writing and years of experience tracking digital assets, Patrick breaks down complex topics into clear, actionable insights for investors, builders, and curious readers alike. His work spans market analysis, crypto regulation, decentralized finance ecosystems, and interviews with founders shaping the next phase of the internet. Patrick's writing has appeared in leading crypto publications and has earned a reputation for depth, clarity, and a no-hype approach to crypto journalism. When he’s not decoding the latest protocol upgrade or reporting on DAO governance shifts, you’ll find him experimenting with smart contracts or hiking off-grid, because even crypto authors need to unplug sometimes.