Bitcoin Price Analysis: Coinglass Data Shows OGs are Buying

The Bitcoin price has surged back above $60,000 after briefly hitting 21-month lows this week. More intriguing than the price is the on-chain data showing that long-term holder wallets have shifted from net distribution to net accumulation, a sign that has historically preceded significant rallies.

According to CoinGlass and Glassnode, long-term holder (LTH) supply has reached a record high of 14,713,345 BTC, increasing by about 13,000 BTC since June 22.

These are Bitcoin's historical bear market trajectories of Long-term holder supply-in-loss, each ending with the price bottom.

The current LTH supply-in-loss share has SURPASSED the median between all past bear markets, excluding 2011, and would be the second highest overall. pic.twitter.com/ocHrSmqSDO

— Sminston With 👁 (@sminston_with) July 1, 2026

Meanwhile, short-term holder (STH) supply has expanded by over 60,000 BTC, bringing it to over 2.3 million BTC. This simultaneous accumulation is unusual and suggests both groups anticipate higher prices.

The Accumulation Trend Score has also risen, indicating increased buying activity among smallholders. This synchronized accumulation is noteworthy, especially with ongoing macroeconomic challenges facing institutional Bitcoin positioning.

DISCOVER: Best Crypto Presales to Watch Right Now

Can Bitcoin Price Reclaim $65,000 or is a Retest of $58,000 Coming First?

Aggressive $BTC buying is happening on Binance and OKX now.

Coinbase selling has also cooled down. pic.twitter.com/ykU2B0ft60

— Ted (@TedPillows) July 2, 2026

Bitcoin recovered to approximately $60,204 at the time of writing, bouncing from 21-month lows set earlier this week following June’s roughly -20% drawdown.

The recovery is constructive on the surface, but context matters: BTC remains in a multi-week consolidation phase well below its all-time high near $126,200, with the 30% peak-to-trough correction still fresh in price memory.

The immediate technical structure puts dense resistance between $62,500 and $64,000, a supply cluster Glassnode identifies as a zone where many investors are exiting near breakeven.

Three scenarios frame the current setup:

• Bull case: LTH and STH accumulation persists, the $60,000–$61,000 band converts to support, and BTC targets $70,000.
• Base case: Consolidation continues between $58,000 and $60,000, with accumulation building a structural floor before any decisive directional break.
• Bear case/invalidation: A failure to hold $58,000 support reopens downside toward the low $50,000s.
• Veteran trader Peter Brandt’s parabolic breakdown thesis raises a worst-case fractal target near $25,000, an extreme scenario, but one the market hasn’t fully priced out.

The cycle analysis from prominent traders suggests this accumulation phase resembles prior pre-rally setups more than late-cycle distribution. That said, confirmation requires price action, not just on-chain positioning.

LiquidChain Targets Early-Mover Upside as Bitcoin OG Holders Reload

Here’s the uncomfortable truth about Bitcoin at these levels: even the bull case, a recovery toward $126,200 and beyond, represents roughly 2x from current prices for spot holders. The OG holders accumulating now understand this math. They’re positioning for the next leg, not chasing the last one.

That same logic is drawing capital toward infrastructure-layer presales, specifically LiquidChain ($LIQUID), a Layer 3 protocol built to fuse Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment.

The project’s Unified Liquidity Layer enables single-step cross-chain execution with verifiable settlement, eliminating fragmentation that costs DeFi users billions annually due to slippage and bridge failures. Developers deploy once and access all three ecosystems simultaneously.

At a current presale price of $0.01475, with $881,396.19 raised to date, the project is at an early stage, with an entry cost that scales with the broader cross-chain thesis and upside potential.

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