Shiba Inu Price Prediction: On-Chain and Derivatives Data Signal Weakening Sentiment

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Shiba Inu Price Prediction: On-Chain and Derivatives Data Signal Weakening Sentiment

Shiba Inu (SHIB) continued to trade under pressure on Wednesday, extending a multi-day decline as bearish momentum persisted across the broader cryptocurrency market. The memecoin’s price remained below the $0.0000060 level, marking its fifth consecutive session of losses and reinforcing concerns that prices could revisit yearly lows.

Market data from on-chain analytics and derivatives platforms point to declining investor engagement, zero token burns and growing downside positioning. Together with technical indicators, these signals suggest that SHIB is struggling to find near-term support, even as other segments of the crypto market attempt to stabilize.

On-Chain Metrics Reflect Falling Market Attention

Data from Santiment shows a sustained drop in Shiba Inu’s social dominance, a metric that tracks the share of SHIB-related discussion across crypto-focused media and platforms. Since mid-November, this measure has steadily declined, reaching approximately 0.032% on Wednesday, close to its lowest reading of the year. Analysts often interpret falling social dominance as a sign of reduced retail interest and weakening sentiment, particularly for community-driven assets such as memecoins.

Derivatives data reinforces this view. According to figures compiled by Coinglass, Shiba Inu futures open interest on the BitMEX exchange fell to around $50,140 on Wednesday, setting a new yearly low. Declining open interest typically indicates that traders are closing positions rather than opening new ones, reflecting reduced conviction or increased caution.

SHIB open interest chart

Positioning Data Shows Bearish Bias

Additional derivatives metrics point to a market skewed toward downside expectations. Coinglass data shows SHIB’s long-to-short ratio at 0.83, the highest level in over a month but still below the neutral threshold of one. A ratio below one indicates that short positions outweigh long positions, suggesting that a larger share of traders are betting on further price declines.

SHIB Long Short Ratio

Image Courtesy: Coinglass

From a technical perspective, Shiba Inu was rejected earlier this month from the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, a move that preceded a decline of more than 14% over roughly two weeks. As of Wednesday, the token continued to trade near $0.0000070, keeping pressure on key support levels.

Technical Indicators Point to Ongoing Weakness

Momentum indicators remain tilted to the downside. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands near 32, approaching oversold territory but still reflecting strong bearish momentum. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator posted a bearish crossover last week, a signal often associated with continued downward pressure.

If current conditions persist, analysts note that SHIB could retest its yearly low of approximately $0.0000067, last recorded on October 10. A sustained recovery would likely require a shift in broader market sentiment, potentially allowing SHIB to challenge higher resistance levels such as the 50-day exponential moving average near $0.0000085.

For now, Shiba Inu’s price action underscores the sensitivity of memecoins to sentiment-driven indicators, highlighting the role of participation, attention, and derivatives positioning in shaping short-term market dynamics.

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By Patrick Johnson

Patrick Johnson is a seasoned crypto journalist and analyst with a sharp eye for emerging trends in blockchain, DeFi, NFTs, and Web3 innovation. With a background in tech writing and years of experience tracking digital assets, Patrick breaks down complex topics into clear, actionable insights for investors, builders, and curious readers alike. His work spans market analysis, crypto regulation, decentralized finance ecosystems, and interviews with founders shaping the next phase of the internet. Patrick's writing has appeared in leading crypto publications and has earned a reputation for depth, clarity, and a no-hype approach to crypto journalism. When he’s not decoding the latest protocol upgrade or reporting on DAO governance shifts, you’ll find him experimenting with smart contracts or hiking off-grid, because even crypto authors need to unplug sometimes.