{"id":7967,"date":"2026-01-28T14:06:37","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T14:06:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/?p=7967"},"modified":"2026-01-29T19:37:28","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T19:37:28","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-surges-after-dollar-decline-accelerates-and-major-expiry-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-surges-after-dollar-decline-accelerates-and-major-expiry-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a\u7f8e\u5143\u52a0\u901f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3001\u91cd\u5927\u5230\u671f\u4e34\u8fd1\u3000BTC \u5f3a\u52bf\u4e0a\u6da8"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong><\/a>\u6b63\u5728\u5347\u6e29\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u63a8\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u81f3\u8fd1 4 \u5e74\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u540e\uff0cBTC \u4ef7\u683c\u6500\u5347\u81f3 89,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u7ecf\u5386\u5c0f\u5e45\u56de\u8c03\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5e02\u503c\u6700\u5927\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u76ee\u524d\u5728 89,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c24 \u5c0f\u65f6\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u4e3a 379.2 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8fd1\u65e5\u5728\u4e0e\u8bb0\u8005\u4ea4\u8c08\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8868\u73b0\u826f\u597d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5e76\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fc3\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff09\u81ea 2022 \u5e74 10 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0b\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u5728\u603b\u7edf\u6700\u65b0\u8868\u6001\u540e\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u66b4\u8dcc\u81f3 95.50 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56db\u5e74\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u4fc3\u4f7f\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bfb\u627e\u66ff\u4ee3\u8d44\u4ea7\u3001\u5e76\u63d0\u5347\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u573a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5229\u597d\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u672c\u5468\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u5927\u7126\u70b9\u662f\u5468\u4e94\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u671f\u7684 108 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u770b\u6da8\uff08\u4e70\u5165\uff09\u671f\u6743\u4e3b\u5bfc\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u4ecd\u7136\u504f\u7a7a\u3002\u4e13\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u9022\u4f4e\u4e70\u76d8\u4ecb\u5165\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5728\u521d\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\u53ef\u80fd\u6307\u5411 95,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e2d\u671f\u76ee\u6807\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u8fbe 100,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/span><\/h4>\n

\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u901a\u5e38\u901a\u8fc7\u589e\u52a0\u5168\u7403\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u3001\u964d\u4f4e\u6cd5\u5e01\u8d44\u4ea7\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u6765\u652f\u6491\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u3002\u81ea 1 \u6708 19 \u65e5\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff09\u5df2\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7ea6 4%\uff0c\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u53d1\u8868\u76f8\u5173\u8a00\u8bba\u540e\u8dcc\u52bf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5468\u4e8c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u76d8\u4e2d 1.28% \u7684\u4e0b\u632b\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56de\u843d\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u652f\u6491\u4e86\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n

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https:\/\/x.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/2016253971665715262?s=20<\/a><\/p>\n

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Capital.com \u9ad8\u7ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5206\u6790\u5e08 Kyle Rodda \u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u5371\u673a\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u7ee7\u7eed\u575a\u6301\u5176\u53cd\u590d\u65e0\u5e38\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u3001\u5916\u4ea4\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u75b2\u8f6f\u72b6\u51b5\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e00\u76f4\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u51b2\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u6709\u529b\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5e02\u573a\u52a8\u80fd\u56de\u5f52\u4e14\u7f8e\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5c06 BTC \u4f5c\u4e3a\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u8fdb\u884c\u79ef\u6781\u914d\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n

108 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u671f\u6743\u5230\u671f<\/span><\/h4>\n

\u672c\u5468\u4e94\u5230\u671f\u7684 108 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u671f\u6743\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5267\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u5360\u636e\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u5408\u7ea6\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c<\/a>\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u5728 BTC \u660e\u786e\u7a81\u7834\u8be5\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5356\u65b9\u4ecd\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u5360\u636e\u4e0a\u98ce\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u7684\u672a\u5e73\u4ed3\u5408\u7ea6\u603b\u989d\u7ea6\u4e3a 66 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u7684 42 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u8bbe\u5728 100,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5907\u5151\u770b\u6da8\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5176\u76ee\u6807\u66f4\u591a\u662f\u83b7\u53d6\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c55\u671b\u5468\u4e94\u5728 Deribit \u4e0a\u7684 BTC \u671f\u6743\u5230\u671f\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u7ed3\u7b97\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6536\u4e8e 86,000\u201388,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u5c06\u83b7\u5f97\u7ea6 7.75 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u660e\u663e\u4f18\u52bf\uff1b\u82e5\u6536\u4e8e 88,001\u201390,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u4ecd\u5360\u4f18\uff0c\u4f46\u4f18\u52bf\u7f29\u5c0f\u81f3\u7ea6 3.25 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5f53 BTC \u7a81\u7834 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u591a\u5934\u624d\u4f1a\u5360\u636e\u4e0a\u98ce\uff0c\u6b64\u65f6\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u62e5\u6709\u7ea6 2.2 \u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a 2 \u6708\u524d\u6709\u671b\u56de\u5347\u81f3 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9<\/span><\/h4>\n

\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ece\u4e0b\u503e\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u5f3a\u52b2\u53cd\u5f39\u81f3 89,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5929\u56de\u5347\u81f3 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u65b9\u6253\u5f00\u4e86\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u77ed\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u4ecd\u7136\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5b88\u4f4f\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u51fa\u52a0\u5bc6\u5e02\u573a\u6574\u4f53\u770b\u6da8\u60c5\u7eea\u6b63\u5728\u5f62\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n

\u622a\u81f3\u53d1\u7a3f\u65f6\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u62a5 89,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb 24 \u5c0f\u65f6\u4e0a\u6da8\u7ea6 1%\u3002\u81ea 11 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u6301\u7eed\u4e3a\u4ef7\u683c\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u591a\u6b21\u4ece\u8be5\u4f4d\u7f6e\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u6709\u6548\u7a81\u7834 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u786e\u8ba4\u8fd9\u4e00\u53cd\u5f39\u8d70\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1aTradingView<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\u9664\u4e86 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u8fd9\u4e00\u5fc3\u7406\u5173\u53e3\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c50 \u65e5\u79fb\u52a8\u5747\u7ebf\u540c\u6837\u6784\u6210\u5f3a\u963b\u529b\u3002\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u4f4d\u4e8e 92,500 \u7f8e\u5143\u548c 95,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u60c5\u666f\u751a\u81f3\u8bbe\u60f3\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u76ee\u6807\u8fbe\u5230 100,000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u6b63\u8f6c\u5411\u66ff\u4ee3\u6027\u7684\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b88\u4f4f 86,400 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u672c\u5730\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5e76\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u56de\u8c03\u3002\u5728\u6781\u5ea6\u770b\u7a7a\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u652f\u6491\u5931\u5b88\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u52a8\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u843d\u81f3 2025 \u5e74 11 \u6708\u4f4e\u70b9\u9644\u8fd1\u7684 90,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u53cd\u590d\u65e0\u5e38\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f7f\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u5267\u70c8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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