{"id":6196,"date":"2025-11-16T13:23:19","date_gmt":"2025-11-16T13:23:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/?p=6196"},"modified":"2025-11-16T13:25:10","modified_gmt":"2025-11-16T13:25:10","slug":"expert-predicts-bitcoin-price-to-hit-bottom-and-bitcoin-fear-and-greed-index-hits-new-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/news\/expert-predicts-bitcoin-price-to-hit-bottom-and-bitcoin-fear-and-greed-index-hits-new-low\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6050\u60e7\u548c\u8d2a\u5a6a\u6307\u6570\u4e00\u5ea6\u8dcc\u81f310\uff01\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/news\/eric-trump-predict-a-major-rotation-of-capital-from-gold-into-bitcoin-as-low-transfer-cost-over-gold\/\" rel=\"\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/a>\u6050\u60e7\u4e0e\u8d2a\u5a6a\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f3\u6781\u5ea6\u6050\u60e7\u768410\uff0c\u4e3a2022\u5e74Terra Luna\u5d29\u6e83\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u7684\u65b0\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6050\u614c\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u572812\u6708\u89e6\u5e95\uff0c\u63a8\u6d4b\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u73b0\u65f6\u5c1a\u672a\u8131\u8eab\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5e94\u505a\u597d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e02\u573a\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ecd\u6301\u7eed\u5438\u5f15\u673a\u6784\u7684\u65b0\u6295\u8d44\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"12\">\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5c06\u572812\u6708\u89e6\u5e95<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u6050\u60e7\u4e0e\u8d2a\u5a6a\u6307\u6570\u964d\u81f3\u4e09\u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e13\u5bb6<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nsquaredvalue\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Timothy Peterson<\/a>\u5728X\u4e0a\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\u4e2d\u6566\u4fc3\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u505a\u597d\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8be5\u4e3b\u6d41\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u53ef\u80fd\u670950%\u81f375%\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4ef7\u503c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u8482\u83ab\u897f\u5728\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5e73\u4ed3\u8feb\u4f7f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u8dcc\u783495,000\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5173\u540e\u900f\u9732\u4e86\u6b64\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u9884\u6d4b\u8be5\u5e01\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u572812\u6708\u89c1\u5e95\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin investors might want to brace for more downside, but the worst may be over.<\/p>\n<p>50-75% chance that bitcoin goes lower.  I looked at past bear markets again and think there is a reasonable chance that December will be the bottom.<\/p>\n<p>75% chance that Bitcoin stays above $90,000. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/NEpuhEFp5q\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/NEpuhEFp5q<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nsquaredvalue\/status\/1989683051362652641?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u6839\u636e\u8fc7\u53bb\u718a\u5e02\u671f\u95f4\u8be5\u5e01\u79cd\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u572811\u6708\u3002\u6839\u636e\u4ed6\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c11\u6708\u5386\u6765\u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u6311\u6218\u6027\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u673a\u6784\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5728\u8fd9\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u53d1\u5e03\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u5982\u679c\u51fa\u73b0\u8870\u9000\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u4ece\u50cf<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/news\/michael-saylor-predicts-that-bitcoin-will-surpass-gold-in-2035-due-to-scarcity-in-long-term\/\" rel=\"\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/a>\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e2d\u91cd\u65b0\u914d\u7f6e\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u6700\u540e\u4ed6\u66f4\u7528\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u4f8b\u5b50\u6765\u652f\u6301\u4ed6\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u5305\u62ec2018\u5e74\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u51ac\u5b63\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u91cd\u521b\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u5f53\u65f6\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u6240MT Gox\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u8fd9\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8be5\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u57282014\u5e74\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u4f46\u53ef\u7591\u8ff9\u8c61\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u63d0\u6b3e\u5ef6\u8fdf\uff0c\u65e9\u57282013\u5e7411\u6708\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d8\u5f97\u660e\u663e\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u7684\u731c\u6d4b\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u8be5\u5e01\u79cd\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u89c1\u5e95\u540e\u6700\u7ec8\u4f1a\u7ed3\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_\">\u4e13\u5bb6\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8d70\u52bf\u610f\u89c1\u5206\u6b67<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6050\u60e7\u4e0e\u8d2a\u5a6a\u6307\u6570\u521b\u4e0b\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e13\u5bb6\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u8d70\u5411\u5404\u6301\u5df1\u89c1\u3002\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5206\u6570\u53d7\u5230\u9ad8\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u5bf912\u6708\u518d\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u671f\u671b\u51cf\u5f31\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5bf9<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/news\/bitcoin-to-170k-jpmorgan-calls-it-but-this-new-layer-2-meme-coin-may-be-the-best-crypto-to-buy-now\/\" rel=\"\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/a>\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u53d8\u5f97\u975e\u5e38\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u5e76\u51cf\u5c11\u6295\u8d44\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5f7c\u5f97\u68ee\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u80fd\u591f\u4fdd\u6301\u572890,000\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u670975%\u7684\u673a\u7387\u3002\u50cfTimothy Peterson\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u5e02\u573a\u4e13\u5bb6<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TedPillows\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ted Pillows<\/a>\u5728\u4e00\u5219X\u66f4\u65b0\u4e2d\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5e95\u90e8\u9884\u6d4b\u572888,000\u7f8e\u5143\u523090,000\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ed6\u6307\u5982\u679c\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b88\u4f4f\u8fd9\u4e00\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5219\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u52302025\u5e744\u6708\u7684\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u537376,000\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> is approaching a crucial support zone.<\/p>\n<p>I think the $88,000-$90,000 level will be the local bottom for Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>If BTC fails to hold this zone, expect a revisit of the April 2025 low. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ZHeRA3AjGz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/ZHeRA3AjGz<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ted (@TedPillows) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TedPillows\/status\/1989666440354423045?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u4e8ePeterson\u548cPillows\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u4e13\u5bb6\u5982<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CryptoMichNL\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Michael Van de Poppe<\/a>\u5bf9\u8be5\u8d44\u4ea7\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5468\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u725b\u5e02\u53cd\u8f6c\u6301\u4e50\u89c2\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0cCryptoquant\u7684\u6267\u884c\u5b98Ki Young Ju\u6700\u8fd1\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u8d44\u91d1\u6301\u7eed\u6d41\u5165\u8be5\u4ee3\u5e01\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u968f\u65f6\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u8d44\u91d1\u7ee7\u7eed\u6d41\u5165\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\uff0c\u62a5\u5bfc\u79f0\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u5c06\u5176\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01ETF\u6301\u6709\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\u81f34.428\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e86237%\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_-2\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6b63\u903c\u8fd1\u5173\u952e\u6289\u62e9\u533a\u95f4<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u4ece\u65e5\u7ebf\u6765\u770b\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/zh\/news\/bitcoin-price-prediction-btc-fights-to-stay-above-100m-as-etf-inflows-turn-positive\/\" rel=\"\">\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01<\/a>\u5df2\u7ecf\u5e72\u51c0\u5229\u843d\u5730\u8dcc\u7834\u957f\u671f\u4e0a\u5347\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u7ed3\u6784\u6b63\u9010\u6b65\u8f6c\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5728 99,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u9644\u8fd1\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u660e\u663e\u300c\u53cd\u5305\/\u62d2\u7edd\u300dK \u7ebf\uff0c\u51f8\u663e\u7a7a\u5934\u4e3b\u5bfc\u76d8\u9762\uff0c\u800c\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7\u683c\u5219\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728 94,500\u81f392,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u5e26\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002RSI \u76ee\u524d\u5728 32\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u629b\u538b\u6c89\u91cd\u4f46\u5c1a\u672a\u7ed9\u51fa\u660e\u786e\u7684\u5e95\u90e8\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u6574\u4f53\u8d70\u52bf\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u5178\u578b\u7684\u8dcc\u7834\u518d\u56de\u5347\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u63a2\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5df2\u7ecf\u523a\u7834\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff0c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u6536\u590d\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f62\u6001\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u540e\u7eed\u6269\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\u7684\u524d\u5146\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> Is closing in on the $92K gap which has been sitting there since April.<\/p>\n<p>It has been quite a while since Bitcoin gapped higher with a considerably amount during the weekend, which was not closed straight away.<\/p>\n<p>I marked the last two times this happened on the chart.<\/p>\n<p>The gap\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FzxLo7p0zA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/FzxLo7p0zA<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaanCrypto\/status\/1989798875503190269?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u572897,000\u81f399,000\u7f8e\u5143\u533a\u95f4\u518d\u5ea6\u906d\u9047\u660e\u663e\u538b\u5236\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u5148\u53bb\u6d4b\u8bd5 91,600 \u7f8e\u5143\u4e00\u7ebf\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4e0d\u6392\u9664\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u63a2\u81f3 83,000 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