{"id":5358,"date":"2026-02-19T09:16:36","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T08:16:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/sk\/?p=5358"},"modified":"2026-02-17T20:16:55","modified_gmt":"2026-02-17T19:16:55","slug":"predikcia-ceny-bitcoinu-btc-short-pozicie-dosiahli-najextremnejsiu-uroven-od-dna-v-roku-2024-prichadza-masivny-squeeze","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/sk\/news\/predikcia-ceny-bitcoinu-btc-short-pozicie-dosiahli-najextremnejsiu-uroven-od-dna-v-roku-2024-prichadza-masivny-squeeze\/","title":{"rendered":"Predikcia ceny bitcoinu: BTC short poz\u00edcie dosiahli najextr\u00e9mnej\u0161iu \u00farove\u0148 od dna v roku 2024 \u2013 prich\u00e1dza mas\u00edvny squeeze?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Funding sadzby (funding rates) na bitcoine naprie\u010d hlavn\u00fdmi burzami sa prepadli na najnegat\u00edvnej\u0161ie \u00farovne od augusta 2024<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Vtedy trh vyzeral rovnako presved\u010den\u00fd, \u017ee ni\u017e\u0161ie ceny s\u00fa nevyhnutn\u00e9. Namiesto toho toto extr\u00e9mne \u201enahrnutie\u201c shortov<\/strong> ozna\u010dilo v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 dno a v nasleduj\u00facich mesiacoch mu predch\u00e1dzal 83 % rast<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"Funding
Kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 poz\u00edcie na bitcoine s\u00fa na maxim\u00e1ch. Zdroj: Santiment<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Podobn\u00fa \u0161trukt\u00faru vid\u00edme aj teraz. Traderi s\u00fa agres\u00edvne napozicovan\u00ed na pokles. Shorty sa hromadia. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 on-chain d\u00e1ta ukazuj\u00fa, \u017ee \u201evank\u00fa\u0161\u201c ziskov je tenk\u00fd. NUPL sa vr\u00e1til do z\u00f3ny 0,18, ktor\u00e1 je historicky sp\u00e1jan\u00e1 s re\u017eimom N\u00e1dej a Strach.<\/p>\n

V takomto re\u017eime s\u00fa trhy reakt\u00edvne. Mal\u00e9 pohyby vyvol\u00e1vaj\u00fa ne\u00famerne ve\u013ek\u00e9 reakcie, preto\u017ee dr\u017eitelia nemaj\u00fa dostato\u010dn\u00e9 nerealizovan\u00e9 zisky, ktor\u00e9 by tlmili volatilitu.<\/p>\n

Sentiment zost\u00e1va opatrn\u00fd. Odlevy z ETF a makroekonomick\u00e1 neistota udr\u017eiavaj\u00fa medved\u00ed trend pri \u017eivote. No preplnen\u00e9 obchody sa zriedka odv\u00edjaj\u00fa potichu.<\/p>\n

T\u00e1to zostava nie je o \u010distej technickej sile. Je o riziku pozicionovania. Ak cena bitcoinu prekon\u00e1 p\u00e1smo 70 000 a\u017e 70 600 USD<\/strong>, t\u00e9za o short squeeze r\u00fdchlo z\u00edska na d\u00f4veryhodnosti.<\/p>\n

K\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00e9 zhrnutie<\/strong><\/p>\n