{"id":9361,"date":"2026-01-26T15:54:41","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T15:54:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/kr\/?p=9361"},"modified":"2026-01-26T15:56:44","modified_gmt":"2026-01-26T15:56:44","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-holds-above-key-support-after-near-breakdown-as-selling-pressure-eases","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/kr\/news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-holds-above-key-support-after-near-breakdown-as-selling-pressure-eases\/","title":{"rendered":"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd \ub2e4\uc2dc \ubd84\uae30\uc810\u2026 \u2018\ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uae08\u2019 \uc774\ud6c4\uc758 \uc11c\uc0ac\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810"},"content":{"rendered":"

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uae30\uc900 \uc57d 1% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc218\uce58\ub9cc \ub193\uace0 \ubcf4\uba74 \ud3c9\ubc94\ud55c \uc870\uc815\ucc98\ub7fc \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc8fc\ub9d0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud55c \ucc28\ub840 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\ud5d8\ub300\ub97c \ud1b5\uacfc\ud588\ub2e4. BTC \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud575\uc2ec \uae30\uc220\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ub418\ub358 8\ub9cc 6,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \ubd80\uadfc\uae4c\uc9c0 \ubc00\ub838\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uad6c\uac04\uc740 \uc77c\ubd09 \uae30\uc900 \ud5e4\ub4dc\uc564\uc204\ub354 \ud328\ud134\uc758 \ub125\ub77c\uc778\uc5d0 \ud574\ub2f9\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud574\ub2f9 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uc131\uacf5\ud558\uba70 \ub2f9\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd95\uad34\ub294 \ud53c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \uad6c\uc870\uc801\uc778 \ubd88\uc548\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub0a8\uc544 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd09 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c 8\ub9cc 5,900~8\ub9cc 6,100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uc5d0\uc11c \ub9c8\uac10\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uc57d 10% \ucd94\uac00 \ud558\ub77d \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc5f4\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \ud55c \uac00\uc9c0 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uac10\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc804\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \uc57d\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778
\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\ud2b8 (\ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0)<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\uc628\uccb4\uc778 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub9d0\ud558\ub294 \uac83\u2026 \u201c\ub9e4\ub3c4\uc138 \uc9c4\uc815\u201d<\/span><\/h2>\n

\uc628\uccb4\uc778 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30 \uacf5\ud3ec \uad6d\uba74\uc774 \uc9c4\uc815\ub418\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc870\uc815 \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0\uc11c SCAB \uc9c0\ud45c(Spent Coins Age Band, \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \uc624\ub79c \uae30\uac04 \ub3d9\uc548 \ud574\ub2f9 \ucf54\uc778\uc744 \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub294\uc9c0\ub97c \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c)\ub294 \uae09\uaca9\ud788 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc7a5\uae30\u00b7\ub2e8\uae30 \ubcf4\uc720\uc790 \ubaa8\ub450\uc758 \ucf54\uc778 \uc774\ub3d9\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc218\uce58\ub294 \uc57d 72% \uac10\uc18c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uac00\uaca9 \ud558\ub77d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \ucd94\uac00 \ub9e4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\ub294 \ucc38\uc5ec\uc790\uac00 \ub9ce\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\ub294 \ub73b\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ud558\ub77d \uad6d\uba74\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud658\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc774\uc720\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\ub9cc \ubc18\ub4f1\uc744 \ud655\uc2e0\ud558\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubd80\uc871\ud558\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud604\ubb3c ETF\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc21c\uc720\ucd9c\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uae30\uad00 \uc790\uae08\uc740 \uc544\uc9c1 \uad00\ub9dd\uc138\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uacfc\uac70 \uc0ac\ub840\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 ETF \uc790\uae08 \uc720\uc785\uc774 \ub3d9\ubc18\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc740 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84 \ub2e8\uae30 \uae30\uc220 \ubc18\ub4f1\uc5d0 \uadf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac\uc758 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd\uc740 \u2018\uc548\uc815\uc740 \ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud655\uc2e0\uc740 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc0c1\ud0dc\u2019\ub85c \uc694\uc57d\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\n

Bitcoin: the market is bleeding, but the true bottom hasn\u2019t arrived yet \u2014 according to on-chain analysis. <\/p>\n

\ud83d\udd38 NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit\/Loss) is falling, but remains positive \u2014 historically, true cycle bottoms only form once it turns negative (full capitulation).<\/p>\n

\ud83d\udd38 Delta\u2026 pic.twitter.com\/iITNmUPfSv<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Alphractal (@Alphractal) January 26, 2026<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n