{"id":7081,"date":"2025-10-27T11:56:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T11:56:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/kr\/?p=7081"},"modified":"2025-10-27T11:57:14","modified_gmt":"2025-10-27T11:57:14","slug":"will-the-fed-cut-rates-at-fomc-this-week-btc-usd-price-pushes-high-as-bull-event-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/kr\/news\/will-the-fed-cut-rates-at-fomc-this-week-btc-usd-price-pushes-high-as-bull-event-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"\uc5f0\uc900, \uc774\ubc88\uc8fc FOMC \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \ub2e8\ud589\ud560\uae4c\u2026\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uae30\ub300\uac10 \uc18d \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc138"},"content":{"rendered":"

\uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc774\ubc88\uc8fc 10\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud558\ub294 \ub4ef \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc5d0 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uae08\uc8fc \uc608\uc815\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc5f0\ubc29\uacf5\uac1c\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774\uc0ac\ud68c(FOMC)\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub97c \uae30\ub300\ud558\uace0 \ud3ec\uc9c0\uc158\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558\ub294 \uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uc81c\ub3c4\uad8c \uae08\uc735 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \ubaa8\ub450\uc5d0 \ud070 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce60 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc800\ub141 \uae30\uc0ac \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 11\ub9cc 5,435\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uc804 \ub300\ube44 2.58% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \uad6d\ub0b4 \uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0 \uac70\ub798\uc18c \uc5c5\ube44\ud2b8\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uc804\uc77c \ub300\ube44 0.69% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c 1\uc5b5 7,068\ub9cc \uc6d0\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub418\uc5b4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \ubc18\uc601\ud588\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778
\ucd9c\ucc98: \uc5c5\ube44\ud2b8 \uac70\ub798\uc18c \uc2a4\ud06c\ub9b0\uc0f7<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\uc624\ub294 <\/span>10\uc6d4 28\uc77c\uc5d0\uc11c 29\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 2\uc77c\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 FOMC \ud68c\uc758\ub97c \uc9c4\ud589<\/span><\/a>\ud558\uba70 10\uc6d4 29\uc77c \uc218\uc694\uc77c \ubbf8\uad6d\ub3d9\ubd80\uc2dc \uc624\ud6c4 2\uc2dc(\ud55c\uad6d \uc2dc\uac04 30\uc77c \uc624\uc804 3\uc2dc)\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc45 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \ub4a4\uc774\uc5b4 \uc0bc\uc2ed\ubd84 \ub4a4 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \uae30\uc790 \ud68c\uacac\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n

10\uc6d4 FOMC \ud68c\uc758 25bp \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131<\/span><\/h2>\n

9\uc6d4\uc5d0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654\ub97c \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud558\ub294 \ub370\uc774\ud130\uac00 \ub098\uc624\uba70 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uae30\ub300\uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \ucee4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \uc131\uc7a5\uc744 \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774 \uc9c0\ubc30\uc801\uc774\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/span>CME \ud398\ub4dc\uc6cc\uce58 \ub3c4\uad6c\uc5d0 \uc758\ud558\uba74 <\/span>\uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 \uae08\ub9ac 25%\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac70\uc758 \ud655\uc2e0<\/span><\/a>\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac\uac00 3.75% ~ 4.00%\ub85c \ub0b4\ub824\uac04\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\ub85c\uc774\ud130 \ud1b5\uc2e0\uc740 <\/span>9\uc6d4 \ubbf8\uad6d \uc18c\ube44\uc790\ubb3c\uac00\uc9c0\uc218(CPI)\uac00 \uc804\ub144\ub3d9\uc6d4\ub300\ube44 3% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc2dc\uc7a5 \uc608\uc0c1\uce58 3.1%\ub97c \ud558\ud68c<\/span><\/a>\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc644\ub9cc\ud55c \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc740 \uc0c1\uc2b9 \ud750\ub984\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uc8fc\ub97c \uc2dc\uc791\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc624\ub298 11\ub9cc 2,450\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc640 11\ub9cc 6,273\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc0ac\uc774 \uac00\uaca9 \ubcc0\ub3d9\ud3ed\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc740 \uc804\uc77c \ub300\ube44 129% \uc99d\uac00\ud574 586\uc5b5 \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uacb0\uc815\uc744 \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \ud5e4\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc744 \uc720\ubc1c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uacfc\uc5f0 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \ub454\ud654 \ud750\ub984\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc9c0\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad00\uc804 \ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8\ub2e4. \ud53c\uce58 \ub808\uc774\ud305\uc2a4\uc758 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00 \uc62c\ub77c\uc6b0 \uc18c\ub180\ub77c(Olu Sonola)\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \u201c\uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uba87 \uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc218\uc900 3%\ub97c \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \ub370 \uc555\ubc15\uc744 \ub290\ub07c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uba70<\/span> \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc870\uc808<\/span><\/a>\ud558\uba70 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc704\ud5d8 \uc2e0\ud638\ub97c \uc0b4\ud544 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucd94\uce21\ud588\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

10\uc6d4 FOMC \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc55e\uc11c \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub4ef\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub3d9\ubd80\uc2dc 10\uc6d4 29\uc77c \uc624\ud6c4 2\uc2dc, \ud55c\uad6d \uc2dc\uac04 30\uc77c \uc624\uc804 3\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc774\uba70 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uc0bc\uc2ed\ubd84 \ub4a4\uc778 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub3d9\ubd80\uc2dc \uc624\ud6c4 2\uc2dc 30\ubd84(\ud55c\uad6d \uc2dc\uac04 \uc624\uc804 3\uc2dc 30\ubd84)\uc5d0 \uc5f0\uc124\ud560 \uc608\uc815\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5f0\uc900\uc774 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \ubb3c\uac00\uc0c1\uc2b9 \uc9c0\ud45c \uadfc\uc6d0 PCE\ub294 FOMC \ud68c\uc758 \ub4a4\uc778 10\uc6d4 31\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c \uc608\uc815\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc774 \ub370\uc774\ud130 \uc5c6\uc774 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uacb0\uc815\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\ud568\uaed8 \ubcf4\uae30:<\/strong> <\/span>\uc774\ub354\ub9ac\uc6c0, 5,000\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub7a0\ub9ac \uc55e\ub450\uace0 \uc800\uc2dc\ucd1d \ucf54\uc778\uc5d0 \ub208\ub3cc\ub9ac\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9 \uc608\uce21, BTC 2020\ub144 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \ud3ed\ub77d \ud6c4 \ud68c\ubcf5 \ud328\ud134 \uc7ac\ud604 \uc911\uc77c\uae4c<\/span><\/h2>\n

\uc720\uba85 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc560\ub110\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8 \ud14c\ub4dc \ud544\ub85c\uc6b0\uc2a4(Ted Pillows)\uac00 X \uacc4\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c<\/span> \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ud68c\ubcf5 \ud328\ud134\uc774 2020\ub144 \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \ud3ed\ub77d \ud6c4 \ubc18\ub4f1\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac<\/span><\/a>\ud574\ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud574 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \ubaa8\uc558\ub2e4.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

$BTC<\/a> reversal from the tariff's crash is mimicking the March 2020 timeline.<\/p>\n

I know a lot of people are calling for a cycle top, but I feel the 4-year cycle might be over now. pic.twitter.com\/WzIkEEgY1Q<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Ted (@TedPillows) October 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n