{"id":2184,"date":"2025-03-25T09:53:51","date_gmt":"2025-03-25T09:53:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/kr\/?p=2184"},"modified":"2025-03-26T14:35:46","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T14:35:46","slug":"bitcoin-price-prediction-2025-technical-analysis-geopolitical-impacts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/kr\/news\/bitcoin-price-prediction-2025-technical-analysis-geopolitical-impacts\/","title":{"rendered":"[\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc] \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc2dc\uc7a5, \uc5b4\ub514\ub85c \uac00\ub098? \uad00\uc138\u00b7\uae08\ub9ac \uc774\uc288\uc640 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf8 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uc804\ub9dd"},"content":{"rendered":"

2025\ub144 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \uad00\uc138\uc804\uc7c1 \ub4f1 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uacfc \ud1b5\ud654 \uc815\ucc45 \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 \ucd5c\uace0\uac00\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ud6c4 \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774\ubc88 \uae30\uc0ac\ub294 \uc9c0\uae08 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc\uc5d0 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc18c\uc2dd \ubc0f \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \uc54c\uc544\ubcf8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uae30\uc0ac \uc791\uc131 \uc2dc\uc810 \uae30\uc900 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778(BTC) \uac00\uaca9\uc740 8\ub9cc 6,757\ub2ec\ub7ec<\/a>\ub85c 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uc804 \ub300\ube44 0.75% \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc 7\uc77c \uc804 \ub300\ube44 4.19% \uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uac70\ub798\ub300\uae08\uc740 \ucf54\uc778\ub9c8\ucf13\ucea1 \uae30\uc900 324\uc5b5 6,000\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \uc804\uc77c \ub300\ube44 55.91% \uc99d\uac00\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\uace0 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc5c5\ube44\ud2b8 \uc6d0\ud654\ub9c8\ucf13\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 1\uc5b5 2,806\ub9cc 6,000\uc6d0<\/a>\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\uc77c \ub300\ube44 0.64% \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\ub2e4. \uc5c5\ube44\ud2b8 24\uc2dc\uac04 \uac70\ub798\ub300\uae08\uc740 2,797\uc5b5 \uc6d0\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\uc5c5\ube44\ud2b8
\ucd9c\ucc98: \uc5c5\ube44\ud2b8 \uac70\ub798\uc18c \uc2a4\ud06c\ub9b0\uc0f7<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc2dc\ud669\ube44\uad50 \ud50c\ub7ab\ud3fc \uae40\ud504\uac00\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uad6d\ub0b4\uc678 \uc2dc\uc138 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ub73b\ud558\ub294 \uae40\uce58\ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc774 +0.44%<\/a>\ub85c \uad6d\ub0b4 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud574\uc678 \uc2dc\uc138\uc640 \uac70\uc758 \uac19\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc870\uae08 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ucf54\uc778\ub9c8\ucf13\ucea1\uc774 \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uacf5\ud3ec\ud0d0\uc695\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 34<\/a>\ub85c \uc544\uc9c1 \uacf5\ud3ec \uad6c\uac04\uc5d0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc5b4\uc81c\ubcf4\ub2e4 3\ud3ec\uc778\ud2b8 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4. \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uacf5\ud3ec\ud0d0\uc695\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 100\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b8\uc218\ub85d \ud0d0\uc695 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud574 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \uacfc\uc5f4\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uba70 0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b8\uc218\ub85d \uacf5\ud3ec \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uac15\ud574 \ud22c\uc790 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uac00 \uce68\uccb4\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ud2b8\ub80c\ub4dc \u2013 \ubbf8\uad6d 3\uc6d4 \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \ub3d9\uacb0\ubd80\ud130 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc0c1\ud638\uad00\uc138 \uba74\uc81c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uae4c\uc9c0<\/span><\/h2>\n

\ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c(FOMC)\uac00 3\uc6d4 \ud68c\uc758 \uacb0\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \ub3d9\uacb0\ud588\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ubbf8\uad6d \uae30\uc900 \uae08\ub9ac\uac00 4.25 ~ 4.5% \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc774 \uae30\uc790\ud68c\uacac\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f0\ub0b4 2\ucc28\ub840 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\ud558 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc778 \uac00\uc0c1\uc790\uc0b0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ud22c\uc2ec\uc774 \uc77c\ubd80 \ud68c\ubcf5\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uad00\uc138\uc804\uc7c1 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac10\ub3c4 \ucee4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \ucde8\uc784 \ud6c4 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud3bc\uce58\uba70 \uba55\uc2dc\ucf54, \uce90\ub098\ub2e4, \uc911\uad6d \ub4f1 \uc8fc\uc694 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 \uad00\uc138\ub97c \ubd80\uacfc\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ud589\ubcf4\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc758 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc744 \ud0a4\uc6cc \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\ub3c4 \ud568\uaed8 \uae09\ub4f1\ub77d\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 24\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uac04) \ubbf8\uad6d \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 \ud604\ub300\ucc28\uadf8\ub8f9 \ub300\ubbf8 \ud22c\uc790 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud589\uc0ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uad00\uc138 \uc644\ud654 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc2dc\uc0ac\ud574 \uad00\uc138 \uc644\ud654 \uae30\ub300\uac10\uc774 \uace0\uc870\ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 \uc77c\ubd80 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 \uc0c1\ud638\uad00\uc138\ub97c \uba74\uc81c\ud574 \uc904 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud558\uba70 \u201c\uadf8\uac83\uc740 \uc0c1\ud638\uc801\uc774\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc6b0\ub9ac\ub294 \uc0c1\ub300\uad6d\uc758 \uad00\uc138\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uce5c\uc808\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \uc5b8\uae09\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc740 4\uc6d4 2\uc77c \uc0c1\ud638\uad00\uc138 \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud560 \uacc4\ud68d\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub54c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc744 \uc0c1\ub300\ub85c \ubb34\uc5ed\ud751\uc790\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uad00\uc138 \uc7a5\ubcbd\uc744 \ub454 \ub354\ud2f015(dirty 15) \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 \ud55c\uad6d\uc774 \ud3ec\ud568\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uad00\uce21\uc774 \uc874\uc7ac\ud574 \ud55c\uad6d\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uace0\uc728 \uad00\uc138\uac00 \ubd80\uacfc\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc704\ud5d8\uc790\uc0b0\uc740 \uad00\uc138 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc694\uc778\uc5d0 \ubbfc\uac10\ud558\uac8c \ubc18\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud55c\uad6d\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub354\ud2f0 15 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 \ud3ec\ud568\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uba74\uc11c, \uad6d\ub0b4 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud574 \ud22c\uc790 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc870\uc815\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uae30\uc220\uc801 \ubd84\uc11d: 4\uc2dc\uac04\ubd09 \ucc28\ud2b8\ubd80\ud130 \uc77c\ubd09 \ucc28\ud2b8\uae4c\uc9c0<\/span><\/h2>\n

\uba3c\uc800 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 4\uc2dc\uac04\ubd09 \ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uba74 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc2dc\uc138 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \uad00\ucc30\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uc81c \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\uc131, \uaddc\uc81c \ubcc0\ud654, \uad00\uc138\uc804\uc7c1 \ub4f1\uc774 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uba70 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc870\uae08\uc529 \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uace0\uc810\uacfc \ub354 \ub192\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\uc810\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc744 \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9d0\ud574, 7\ub9cc 7,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc744 \uae30\uc810\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc138\uac00 \ubc18\uc804\ub41c \uc591\uc0c1\uc744 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30 \uc800\ud56d\uc120\uc740 9\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc5d0 \uc704\uce58\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub97c \ub3cc\ud30c\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 9\ub9cc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 8\ub9cc 2,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778
\ucd9c\ucc98: \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\uc870\uae08 \ub354 \uad11\ubc94\uc704\ud55c \uc2dc\uac01\uc5d0\uc11c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \ucc28\ud2b8 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \uc77c\ubd09 \ucc28\ud2b8\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74, \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub85c 7\ub9cc 7,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc774 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc73c\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\"\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778
\ucd9c\ucc98: \ud2b8\ub808\uc774\ub529\ubdf0<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\uc774 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120 \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74 7\ub9cc \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc120\uc774 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc801 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc120\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \ud68c\ubcf5\uc138\ub97c \uc774\uc5b4\uac00\uba74 9\ub9cc 4,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc624\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uad00\ub828 \ud398\uc774\uc9c0:<\/strong> 2025\ub144 \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \uc21c\uc704<\/a><\/p>\n

\ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \ub2e8\uae30 \uc804\ub9dd\uc744 \ub099\uad00\ud558\ub294 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub3c4 \uc5ec\ub7ff \uc788\ub2e4. \ud06c\ub9bd\ud1a0\ud000\ud2b8 \uc18c\uc18d \uc554\ud638\ud654\ud3d0 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00 \uc545\uc140 \uc560\ub4e4\ub7ec \uc8fc\ub2c8\uc5b4(Axel Adler Jr)\ub294 \uc5b4\uc81c \uc18c\uc15c \ubbf8\ub514\uc5b4 \uc5d1\uc2a4(X)\uc5d0 \u201c\uc9c0\ub09c \ud55c \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\ub358 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\uc774 \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\uac8c \uac10\uc18c\ud574 \ub9e4\ub3c4 \uc555\ub825\ub3c4 \uc57d\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \uac70\uc2dc\uacbd\uc81c \ucd09\ub9e4\uc81c\uac00 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uba74 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc774\ubc88\uc8fc\uc5d0 \uc624\ub97c \uc7a0\uc7ac\ub825\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4<\/a>\u201d\ub77c\uace0 \ub0b4\ub2e4\ubcf4\uc558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\n

Over the past month, aggressive BTC selling activity has noticeably decreased, indicating a reduction in seller pressure. In the absence of negative macroeconomic or market catalysts, the current week holds potential for moderate growth. pic.twitter.com\/8yHnT6ypzh<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 Axel \ud83d\udc8e\ud83d\ude4c Adler Jr (@AxelAdlerJr) March 24, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n