{"id":7348,"date":"2025-02-20T10:18:38","date_gmt":"2025-02-20T10:18:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/?p=7348"},"modified":"2025-02-21T02:24:47","modified_gmt":"2025-02-21T02:24:47","slug":"is-bitcoin-topping-out-this-onchain-metric-points-to-worrying-weakness","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/news\/is-bitcoin-topping-out-this-onchain-metric-points-to-worrying-weakness\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u3001\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u5230\u9054\u304b\uff5c\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u6307\u6a19\u304c\u793a\u3059\u52d5\u5411"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\uff08BTC\uff09\u4fa1\u683c\u306f21\u65e5\u3001\u7d049.8\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3001\u904e\u53bb24\u6642\u9593\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u52d5\u304d\u3092<a href=\"https:\/\/www.coingecko.com\/ja\/%E3%82%B3%E3%82%A4%E3%83%B3\/%E3%83%93%E3%83%83%E3%83%88%E3%82%B3%E3%82%A4%E3%83%B3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener noreferrer\">\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/a>\u3002<br>\n\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\uff08BTC\uff09\u306f\u904e\u53bb10\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308a\u3001\u6697\u53f7\u8cc7\u7523\uff08\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\uff09\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u3068\u3057\u3066\u305d\u306e\u5730\u4f4d\u3092\u7bc9\u3044\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002 \u7279\u306b2024\u5e74\u4ee5\u964d\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5909\u52d5\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u6b21\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u5404\u7a2e\u6307\u6a19\u306b\u6ce8\u8996\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<br>\n\u6700\u8fd1\u3001\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\uff08\u30d6\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u4e0a\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3059\u308b\u6307\u6a19\uff09\u304c\u793a\u3059\u52d5\u5411\u304c\u8a71\u984c\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u5230\u9054\u3084\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u904e\u71b1\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3059\u308b\u5146\u5019\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3002<br>\n\u672c\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u306f\u73fe\u72b6\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u52d5\u5411\u3001\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u6307\u6a19\u306e\u8a73\u7d30\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u5c55\u671b\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u89e3\u8aac\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_\">\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u73fe\u72b6\u3068\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u5411<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u3001<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/cryptocurrency\/bitcoin-price-prediction\/\" rel=\"\">\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\uff08BTC\uff09<\/a>\u306f\u7d049.8\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3001\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u6642\u4fa1\u7dcf\u984d\u306f\u7d043.2\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u5230\u9054\u3002 \u5f37\u6c17\u6d3e\u306f9.4\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u30899.5\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3092\u5b88\u308d\u3046\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<br>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7353 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/Bitcoin-1y-Chart.jpg\" alt=\"1 year Chart on Bitcoin\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/Bitcoin-1y-Chart.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/Bitcoin-1y-Chart-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/Bitcoin-1y-Chart-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/Bitcoin-1y-Chart-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/Bitcoin-1y-Chart-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><br>\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u904e\u53bb2\u9031\u9593\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u306f\u61f8\u5ff5\u6750\u6599\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 BTC\/USDT\u306e\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u304c\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u9ad8\u5024\u304b\u308913\uff05\u4e0b\u843d\u3057\u3001\u4e0a\u6607\u306e\u52e2\u3044\u3092\u5931\u3044\u6a2a\u3070\u3044\u72b6\u614b\u306b\u3042\u308b\u3002<br>\n\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\uff08BTC\uff09\u306f\u5148\u9031\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u5185\u3067\u5b89\u5b9a\u3057\u300110\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u7dda\u306b\u76f4\u9762\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u8cb7\u3044\u624b\u304c\u3053\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u7bc0\u76ee\u3092\u7a81\u7834\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u3042\u308b\u304c\u3001\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308b\u898b\u89e3\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_-2\">\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u4f4e\u8ff7\u611f\u304c\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u5f71\u97ff<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Glassnode\uff08\u30b0\u30e9\u30b9\u30ce\u30fc\u30c9\uff1a\u30d6\u30ed\u30c3\u30af\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u5206\u6790\u30b5\u30fc\u30d3\u30b9\uff09\u306e\u30a2\u30ca\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u306f\u4f4e\u8ff7\u306e\u5146\u5019\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002 \u7279\u306b\u3001Realized HODL Ratio\uff08RHODL\uff1a\u904e\u53bb\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u4fa1\u683c\u3067\u8a55\u4fa1\u3055\u308c\u305f\u4fdd\u6709\u671f\u9593\u6bd4\u7387\uff09\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#Bitcoin<\/a>'s RHODL Ratio helps identify cycle inflection points by comparing mid-cycle holders (6m-2y) to new entrants (1d-3m). A high ratio often happens near market bottoms. A low ratio signals excessive short-term speculation, often aligning with market tops. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/59SXdyAYWG\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/59SXdyAYWG<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1891512111190212863?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">February 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>RHODL\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u5411\u3092\u8aad\u307f\u89e3\u304f\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u6307\u6a19\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002 \u6b74\u53f2\u7684\u306b\u6bd4\u7387\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u6642\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5e95\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3001\u4f4e\u4e0b\u306f\u77ed\u671f\u4fdd\u6709\u8005\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3068\u4fa1\u683c\u4e0b\u843d\u5727\u529b\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u610f\u5473\u3059\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_-3\">\u77ed\u671f\u4fdd\u6709\u8005\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3068\u5e02\u5834\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u73fe\u5728\u3001RHODL\u6bd4\u7387\u306f\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3001\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u6295\u6a5f\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002 \u3053\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\uff08\u4fa1\u683c\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u6fc0\u3057\u3055\uff09\u3092\u9ad8\u3081\u3001\u4e0b\u843d\u5727\u529b\u3092\u5f37\u3081\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002 \u7279\u306b\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u72d9\u3046\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u304c\u76ee\u7acb\u3064\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u4e0d\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u304c\u61f8\u5ff5\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#Bitcoin<\/a>'s adjusted MVRV Z-Score can be used to approximate areas of critical price support. So far price has held near the mean level of $96.3K. If prices break lower, the next major line of defense for bulls may be found at -1.5\u03c3 level ($80.1K): <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jwSxMmYW4i\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/jwSxMmYW4i<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fXLOrWjhw1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/fXLOrWjhw1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1891438549506908518?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">February 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Glassnode\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3067\u306f\u77ed\u671f\u4fdd\u6709\u8005\u306e\u58f2\u5374\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3057\u3001\u6025\u843d\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u305f\u3081\u3001\u9577\u671f\u4fdd\u6709\u8005\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u306b\u6ce8\u8996\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_-4\">\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u63a8\u79fb\u3068\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u6226\u7565<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u73fe\u72b6\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u5e02\u5834\u306f\u77ed\u671f\u4fdd\u6709\u8005\u304c\u4fa1\u683c\u3092\u5de6\u53f3\u3059\u308b\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u3001\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0a\u4e0b\u304c\u6fc0\u3057\u304f\u306a\u308b\u6050\u308c\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002 \u7279\u306b\u300110\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u7bc0\u76ee\u7a81\u7834\u306b\u306f\u3001\u5f37\u3044\u8cb7\u3044\u5727\u529b\u304c\u6c42\u3081\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<br>\n\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u5f31\u3055\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3001\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306a\u8abf\u6574\u304c\u907f\u3051\u3089\u308c\u306a\u3044\u3068\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002 \u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3084RHODL\u3068\u3044\u3063\u305f\u6307\u6a19\u306b\u6ce8\u8996\u3057\u3001\u67d4\u8edf\u306a\u5bfe\u5fdc\u304c\u6c42\u3081\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"_-5\">\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u3092\u898b\u6975\u3081\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u5909\u52d5\u306f\u4ed6\u306e<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/cryptocurrency\/best-altcoins\/\" rel=\"\">\u30a2\u30eb\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3<\/a>\u306b\u3082\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u3002 \u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001RHODL\u3084\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u3092\u6d3b\u7528\u3057\u3066\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u3092\u628a\u63e1\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u91cd\u8981\u3060\u3002<br>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7358 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/bitcoin-market-trends.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Market Trends\" width=\"1200\" height=\"646\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/bitcoin-market-trends.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/bitcoin-market-trends-300x162.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/bitcoin-market-trends-1024x551.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/02\/bitcoin-market-trends-768x413.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><br>\n\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u306a\u5229\u76ca\u6226\u7565\u3060\u3051\u3067\u306a\u304f\u3001\u9577\u671f\u7684\u8996\u70b9\u3092\u6301\u3064\u6295\u8cc7\u30b9\u30bf\u30f3\u30b9\u3082\u691c\u8a0e\u3059\u3079\u304d\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002 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