{"id":7065,"date":"2025-02-17T15:04:11","date_gmt":"2025-02-17T15:04:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/?p=7065"},"modified":"2025-02-18T07:03:41","modified_gmt":"2025-02-18T07:03:41","slug":"bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-stalemate-ending","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/jp\/news\/bitcoin-price-forecast-btc-stalemate-ending\/","title":{"rendered":"\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u3001\u8abf\u6574\u5c40\u9762\u304b\u3089\u8ee2\u63db\u304b\uff5c\u84c4\u7a4d\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u5f37\u307e\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\uff08BTC\uff09<\/a>\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u904e\u53bb2\u9031\u9593\u306b\u308f\u305f\u308a\u30019\u4e074000\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u308910\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u5185\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u9593\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u9593\u3067\u306f\u5f37\u6c17\u6d3e\u3068\u5f31\u6c17\u6d3e\u306e\u610f\u898b\u304c\u4ea4\u932f\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7279\u306b\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30b9\u30dd\u30c3\u30c8\u578b\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4e0a\u5834\u6295\u8cc7\u4fe1\u8a17\uff08ETF\uff09\u306f\u5148\u9031\u30015\u51048020\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u7d14\u6d41\u51fa\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u3001\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u9700\u8981\u304c\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u306b\u6e1b\u5c11\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u30aa\u30f3\u30c1\u30a7\u30fc\u30f3\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f\u7570\u306a\u308b\u5146\u5019\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002CryptoQuant\u306e\u5206\u6790\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u300130\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\uff0830DMA\uff09\u3092\u57fa\u6e96\u3068\u3057\u305f\u53d6\u5f15\u6240\u306e\u6d41\u5165\u30fb\u6d41\u51fa\u6bd4\u7387\u306f\u3001\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306b\u3088\u308bBTC\u306e\u84c4\u7a4d\u50be\u5411\u304c\u7d9a\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u8abf\u6574\u5c40\u9762\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u9577\u671f\u7684\u306a\u4fdd\u6709\u3092\u76ee\u7684\u3068\u3057\u305f\u8cb7\u3044\u304c\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u505c\u6ede\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u4e2d\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u306f\u4eca\u5f8c\u306eETF\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u306e\u56de\u5fa9\u3084\u30de\u30af\u30ed\u7d4c\u6e08\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u5de6\u53f3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u8abf\u6574\u4e2d\u3001\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u9700\u8981\u306f\u5f31\u307e\u308b<\/span><\/h2>\n

Glassnode\u306e\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u904e\u53bb\u6570\u9031\u9593\u3067\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5909\u52d5\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6700\u9ad810\u4e075000\u30c9\u30eb\u3001\u6700\u4f4e9\u4e073000\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u9593\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306f\u518d\u3073\u540c\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u623b\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30dc\u30e9\u30c6\u30a3\u30ea\u30c6\u30a3\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u5168\u4f53\u30675\u51042000\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u640d\u5931\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u3068\u5831\u544a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

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Hyblock\u3068\u306e\u72ec\u5360\u30a4\u30f3\u30bf\u30d3\u30e5\u30fc\u3067\u3001\u30a2\u30ca\u30ea\u30b9\u30c8\u306fFXStreet\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u300c\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f\u73fe\u5728\u8abf\u6574\u5c40\u9762\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u3079\u304d2\u3064\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u5e2f\u304c\u5b58\u5728\u3059\u308b\u300d\u3068\u5206\u6790\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306b\u306f\u30019\u4e079600\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u30899\u4e079900\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u62b5\u6297\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u30019\u4e075600\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u30899\u4e075900\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u4e0b\u843d\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30be\u30fc\u30f3\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3055\u3089\u306b\u30019\u4e074000\u30c9\u30eb\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3078\u306e\u4e0b\u843d\u304c\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308c\u3070\u3001\u8cb7\u3044\u306e\u597d\u6a5f\u304c\u8a2a\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3082\u306e\u306e\u300110\u4e078000\u30c9\u30eb\u304c\u5f37\u3044\u62b5\u6297\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3082\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u52d5\u5411\u306f\u5f31\u542b\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3002Coinglass\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3ETF<\/a>\u306f\u5148\u90315\u51048020\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u524d\u9031\u306e2\u51043800\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u6d41\u5165\u3068\u6bd4\u3079\u3066\u5927\u5e45\u306a\u5909\u52d5\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u304c\u7d9a\u304f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u3055\u3089\u306a\u308b\u5909\u52d5\u8981\u56e0\u3068\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u52d5\u5411\u306f\u3001ETF\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u56de\u5fa9\u3084\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u6c34\u6e96\u306e\u7dad\u6301\u306b\u5de6\u53f3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u307f\u3089\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u697d\u89b3\u7684\u306a\u5146\u3057<\/span><\/h2>\n

CryptoQuant\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306f9\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u304b\u308910\u4e075000\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u9593\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u7279\u306b30\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\uff0830DMA\uff09\u306e\u4ea4\u63db\u6d41\u5165\/\u6d41\u51fa\u6bd4\u7387\u304c0.98\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u6d41\u51fa\u304c\u6d41\u5165\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306e\u7d99\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u84c4\u7a4d\u304c\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c02\u9580\u5bb6\u306e\u898b\u89e3\u3067\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u6bd4\u7387\u304c\u4f4e\u3044\u307b\u3069\u9577\u671f\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u84c4\u7a4d\u304c\u9032\u3093\u3067\u3044\u308b\u3068\u3055\u308c\u3001\u5f37\u6c17\u306e\u30b5\u30a4\u30f3\u3068\u89e3\u91c8\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u4f9b\u7d66\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u304b\u3089\u5f90\u3005\u306b\u5438\u53ce\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u652f\u3048\u308b\u8981\u56e0\u3068\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

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K33\u30ea\u30b5\u30fc\u30c1\u306e\u6700\u65b0\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u3053\u306e\u4eba\u4e8b\u306f\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u653f\u6a29\u306e\u89aa\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u653f\u7b56\u3092\u53cd\u6620\u3057\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001CFTC\u304c\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u898f\u5236\u306e\u67a0\u7d44\u307f\u3067\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u5f79\u5272\u3092\u679c\u305f\u3059\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u3001\u3088\u308a\u660e\u78ba\u3067\u6574\u5099\u3055\u308c\u305f\u898f\u5236\u74b0\u5883\u304c\u6574\u3048\u3070\u3001\u6a5f\u95a2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306e\u3055\u3089\u306a\u308b\u53c2\u5165\u304c\u4fc3\u9032\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3068\u671f\u5f85\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3055\u3089\u306b\u3001\u30c8\u30e9\u30f3\u30d7\u5927\u7d71\u9818\u306f\u901a\u8ca8\u76e3\u7763\u5e81\uff08OCC\uff09\u306e\u9577\u5b98\u306b\u3001\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u4f01\u696d\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30d5\u30e5\u30fc\u30ea\u30fc\u306e\u5143\u5e79\u90e8\u3067\u3042\u308b\u30b8\u30e7\u30ca\u30b5\u30f3\u30fb\u30b0\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u6c0f\u3092\u6307\u540d\u3002\u3053\u306e\u4eba\u4e8b\u306f\u3001\u5f93\u6765\u306e\u91d1\u878d\u6a5f\u95a2\u3068\u4eee\u60f3\u901a\u8ca8\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u878d\u5408\u3092\u52a0\u901f\u3055\u305b\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u306e\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u52d5\u5411\u304c\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u30bb\u30f3\u30c1\u30e1\u30f3\u30c8\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u304b\u304c\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u4e88\u6e2c\uff1a2\u9031\u9593\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u8abf\u6574<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u4fa1\u683c\u306f2\u67084\u65e5\u306b10\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30ec\u30d9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u305f\u3002\u4ee5\u6765\u30019\u4e074000\u30c9\u30eb\u306810\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u9593\u3067\u4fa1\u683c\u306f\u8abf\u6574\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u6708\u66dc\u65e5\u306e\u6642\u70b9\u3067\u3001BTC\u306f\u7d049\u4e076100\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n

\"\u30d3\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30a4\u30f3\u4fa1\u683c\u4e88\u6e2c\"<\/p>\n

\u3082\u3057BTC\u304c9\u4e074000\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308a\u3001\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u7d9a\u3051\u308b\u306a\u3089\u30019\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u30c6\u30b9\u30c8\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u30029\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u306f\u5fc3\u7406\u7684\u306b\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n

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