{"id":1874,"date":"2025-03-19T15:05:46","date_gmt":"2025-03-19T15:05:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/hu\/?p=1874"},"modified":"2025-03-19T14:50:35","modified_gmt":"2025-03-19T14:50:35","slug":"ma-este-kiderul-az-fomc-ules-eredmenye-vajon-milyen-honapok-jonnek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/hu\/news\/ma-este-kiderul-az-fomc-ules-eredmenye-vajon-milyen-honapok-jonnek\/","title":{"rendered":"Ma este kider\u00fcl az FOMC \u00fcl\u00e9s eredm\u00e9nye \u2013 vajon milyen h\u00f3napok j\u00f6nnek?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El\u00e9rkezett a nap, amire m\u00e1r r\u00e9g\u00f3ta v\u00e1r a kripto k\u00f6z\u00f6ss\u00e9g: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.barrons.com\/livecoverage\/fed-march-meeting-interest-rate-decision-today\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">ma van az<\/a> FOMC \u00fcl\u00e9s v\u00e9ge. Az amerikai jegybank, a Fed, a mai \u00fclt \u00f6ssze, hogy megvitassa a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 h\u00f3napokra vonatkoz\u00f3 kamatpolitik\u00e1j\u00e1t. A Fed v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an nem v\u00e1ltoztat a jelenlegi 4,25\u20134,5%-os kamats\u00e1von a mai \u00fcl\u00e9s\u00e9n. A jegybank\u00e1rok azonban \u00fagy gondolj\u00e1k, hogy az \u00e9v h\u00e1tral\u00e9v\u0151 r\u00e9sz\u00e9ben k\u00e9t kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9sre is sor ker\u00fclhet.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"az_ules_hattere\">Az \u00fcl\u00e9s h\u00e1ttere<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>B\u00e1r az amerikai fogyaszt\u00f3k egyre kev\u00e9sb\u00e9 b\u00edznak a j\u00f6v\u0151ben, a munkaer\u0151piaci \u00e9s gazdas\u00e1gi n\u00f6veked\u00e9si adatok stabilit\u00e1st jeleznek. Ezzel a Fed lehet\u0151s\u00e9get kap arra, hogy kiv\u00e1rjon, miel\u0151tt m\u00f3dos\u00edtja a kamatpolitik\u00e1t. Jerome Powell, a Fed eln\u00f6ke v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an ism\u00e9telten t\u00fcrelemre int, mivel gazdas\u00e1gi bizonytalans\u00e1got okoznak a Trump korm\u00e1nyzat sz\u00f6vets\u00e9gi munkahelycs\u00f6kkent\u00e9sei \u00e9s v\u00e1mint\u00e9zked\u00e9sei.<\/p>\n<p>A v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok mind\u00f6ssze 1% es\u00e9lyt adnak a c\u00e9lkamat v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s\u00e1ra a szerdai d\u00f6nt\u00e9s sor\u00e1n. Ugyanakkor a d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3k bejelenthetik a jegybank szigor\u00edt\u00e1si programj\u00e1nak ideiglenes felf\u00fcggeszt\u00e9s\u00e9t, vagyis a Fed \u00e1tmenetileg le\u00e1ll\u00edthatja eszk\u00f6z\u00e1llom\u00e1ny\u00e1nak cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s\u00e9t.<\/p>\n<p>A Fed Ny\u00edltpiaci Bizotts\u00e1g (FOMC) k\u00e9tnapos \u00fcl\u00e9se szerd\u00e1n z\u00e1rul, a kamatd\u00f6nt\u00e9st magyar id\u0151 szerint 19 \u00f3rakor hozz\u00e1k nyilv\u00e1noss\u00e1gra, amelyet Jerome Powell sajt\u00f3t\u00e1j\u00e9koztat\u00f3ja k\u00f6vet 19:30-kor. A d\u00f6nt\u00e9shoz\u00f3k friss gazdas\u00e1gi el\u0151rejelz\u00e9seket is k\u00f6zz\u00e9tesznek, amelyben GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9si, infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s \u00e9s munkan\u00e9lk\u00fclis\u00e9gi progn\u00f3zisaikat is ismertetik.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"a_varakozasok\">A v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Christopher Waller, a Fed egyik korm\u00e1nyz\u00f3ja szerint id\u00e9n k\u00e9t-h\u00e1rom kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s is elk\u00e9pzelhet\u0151, a gazdas\u00e1gi helyzet f\u00fcggv\u00e9ny\u00e9ben. A v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok szerint a Fed el\u0151rejelz\u00e9sei tartalmaznak majd n\u00e9h\u00e1ny lefel\u00e9 m\u00f3dos\u00edtott adatot, de a 2025-re v\u00e1rt k\u00e9t kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9s progn\u00f3zisa val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg nem v\u00e1ltozik.<\/p>\n<p>Powell m\u00e1rcius elej\u00e9n optimist\u00e1n nyilatkozott a gazdas\u00e1g \u00e1llapot\u00e1r\u00f3l, jelezve, hogy a Fed nincs r\u00e1k\u00e9nyszer\u00edtve a gyors kamatcs\u00f6kkent\u00e9sekre. Seema Shah, a Principal Asset Management vezet\u0151 strat\u00e9g\u00e1ja szerint a Fed ink\u00e1bb kiv\u00e1rja, hogy vil\u00e1gosabb k\u00e9pet kapjon a gazdas\u00e1gi helyzetr\u0151l, \u00edgy a monet\u00e1ris laz\u00edt\u00e1s val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg csak a m\u00e1sodik vagy harmadik negyed\u00e9vben kezd\u0151dik meg.<\/p>\n<p>A k\u00f6zgazd\u00e1szok arra sz\u00e1m\u00edtanak, hogy a Fed \u00f3vatosabb el\u0151rejelz\u00e9seket adhat ki a foglalkoztat\u00e1sra, az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3ra \u00e9s a GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9sre vonatkoz\u00f3an. A Goldman Sachs becsl\u00e9se szerint a jegybank 2025-re 1,8%-ra cs\u00f6kkentheti GDP n\u00f6veked\u00e9si progn\u00f3zis\u00e1t, m\u00edg az infl\u00e1ci\u00f3s v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sokat 2,8%-ra emelheti.<\/p>\n<p>A janu\u00e1ri FOMC-\u00fcl\u00e9sen m\u00e1r sz\u00f3 volt a szigor\u00fa jegybanki politika sz\u00fcneteltet\u00e9s\u00e9r\u0151l, \u00e9s egyes elemz\u0151k szerint ez ak\u00e1r a h\u00e9ten meg is t\u00f6rt\u00e9nhet. Blake Gwinn, az RBC Capital Markets szak\u00e9rt\u0151je szerint a Fed ezt ink\u00e1bb technikai jelleg\u0171 d\u00f6nt\u00e9sk\u00e9nt kezeli, semmint a gazdas\u00e1gi visszaes\u00e9sre adott v\u00e1laszk\u00e9nt.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ez is \u00e9rdekelhet: <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/hu\/news\/90-dollaros-solana-kozelebb-lehet-mint-gondolnad\/\" rel=\"\">90 doll\u00e1ros Solana? K\u00f6zelebb lehet, mint gondoln\u00e1d<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"milyen_hatassal_lehet_az_ules_a_piacokra\">Milyen hat\u00e1ssal lehet az \u00fcl\u00e9s a piacokra?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>A piacok extr\u00e9m m\u00f3don reag\u00e1lhatnak b\u00e1rmilyen kimenetelre. Azt, hogy val\u00f3sz\u00edn\u0171leg nem lesz kamatv\u00e1g\u00e1s, m\u00e1r be\u00e1razta a piac. \u00cdgy amennyiben a v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1sok szerint a Fed nem cs\u00f6kkenti az alapkamatot, nem v\u00e1rhat\u00f3 nagy v\u00e1ltoz\u00e1s. Azonban, ha valamilyen csoda folyt\u00e1n m\u00e9gis kamatot v\u00e1gna a Fed, az egy\u00e9rtelm\u0171en pozit\u00edv hat\u00e1ssal lenne az olyan eszk\u00f6z\u00f6kre, mint a r\u00e9szv\u00e9nyek \u00e9s a kriptovalut\u00e1k. Egy esetleges kamaetemel\u00e9sre szint\u00e9n kev\u00e9s az es\u00e9ly, ez negat\u00edv hat\u00e1ssal lenne a rizik\u00f3sabb eszk\u00f6z\u00f6kre. Emellett az is el\u0151fordulhat, hogy Powell a sajt\u00f3t\u00e1j\u00e9koztat\u00f3n mond valami olyat, ami pozit\u00edv vagy negat\u00edv hangulatot hozhat a piacra, ez pedig extr\u00e9m mozg\u00e1sra k\u00e9nyszer\u00edtheti ezeket az eszk\u00f6z\u00f6ket.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El\u00e9rkezett a nap, amire m\u00e1r r\u00e9g\u00f3ta v\u00e1r a kripto k\u00f6z\u00f6ss\u00e9g: ma van az FOMC \u00fcl\u00e9s v\u00e9ge. Az amerikai jegybank,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":120,"featured_media":1875,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1874","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kripto","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Ma este kider\u00fcl az FOMC \u00fcl\u00e9s eredm\u00e9nye \u2013 vajon milyen h\u00f3napok j\u00f6nnek?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"K\u00e9t napos FOMC tan\u00e1cskoz\u00e1s\u00e1nak eredm\u00e9ny\u00e9t osztja meg ma este 7 \u00f3rakor a Fed, amelyet Powell sajt\u00f3t\u00e1j\u00e9koztat\u00f3ja k\u00f6vet 19:30-t\u00f3l.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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Az egyetemi \u00e9vek alatt kiemelt figyelmet ford\u00edtott a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi tudatoss\u00e1gra, \u00e9s sz\u00e1mos neves befektet\u0151, mint Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett \u00e9s Charlie Munger m\u0171veit tanulm\u00e1nyozta. M\u00e1r gyerekkor\u00e1ban is \u00e9rdekl\u0151d\u00f6tt a p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi vil\u00e1g ir\u00e1nt, amelyet feln\u0151ttk\u00e9nt egyre m\u00e9lyebben pr\u00f3b\u00e1l megismerni. A p\u00e9nz\u00fcgyi tudatoss\u00e1got \u00e9s a befektet\u00e9seket kor\u00e1n elkezdte tanulm\u00e1nyozni, jelenleg DCA strat\u00e9gi\u00e1val \u00e9p\u00edti \u00e9rt\u00e9kpap\u00edr-portf\u00f3li\u00f3j\u00e1t. Szenved\u00e9lyesen rajong a sz\u00e1mok\u00e9rt \u00e9s a csillag\u00e1szati hozamok\u00e9rt. A kriptovalut\u00e1k n\u00e9h\u00e1ny \u00e9vvel ezel\u0151tt keltett\u00e9k fel a figyelm\u00e9t, \u00e9s az ut\u00f3bbi id\u0151ben intenz\u00edvebben foglalkozott vel\u00fck, k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen az el\u0151\u00e9rt\u00e9kes\u00edt\u00e9sek ter\u00fclet\u00e9n. 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