{"id":9858,"date":"2025-09-22T12:01:07","date_gmt":"2025-09-22T12:01:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=9858"},"modified":"2025-09-22T12:05:34","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T12:05:34","slug":"mythe-uptober-le-bitcoin-trebuche","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/mythe-uptober-le-bitcoin-trebuche\/","title":{"rendered":"Le mythe d\u2019Uptober s\u2019effrite : le bitcoin tr\u00e9buche"},"content":{"rendered":"

Nouvelle jambe de baisse ce matin. Le bitcoin a touch\u00e9 111 800 $ avant de rebondir timidement<\/strong>. Il s\u2019\u00e9change autour de 112 900 $ au moment d\u2019\u00e9crire ces lignes. La promesse d\u2019Uptober reste sur la table, mais le march\u00e9 force tout le monde \u00e0 redevenir tr\u00e8s concret.<\/p>\n

Un mythe face aux chiffres revisit\u00e9s<\/span><\/h2>\n

Un plus bas \u00e0 111 800 $ a \u00e9t\u00e9 enregistr\u00e9 sur bitcoin<\/strong>. Signe d\u2019une purge de liquidit\u00e9s plus profonde qu\u2019attendu. Plusieurs desks et agr\u00e9gateurs confirment cette incursion sous 112 k $, dans la foul\u00e9e d\u2019un reflux rapide amorc\u00e9 dimanche soir. L\u2019Uptober<\/a> statistique n\u2019emp\u00eache pas ces torsions de court terme.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

Dans l\u2019instantan\u00e9, le prix du bitcoin oscille autour de 112 9 00 $. Les \u00e9carts d\u2019exchange \u00e0 exchange sont normaux en p\u00e9riode de volatilit\u00e9 comprim\u00e9e qui se d\u00e9tend d\u2019un coup.<\/p>\n

Ce retour sur terre n\u2019invalide pas l\u2019historique d\u2019octobre<\/strong>, souvent vert depuis 2013, mais il en rappelle la nuance. En effet, la saisonnalit\u00e9 n\u2019est pas un plancher automatique. Entre maintenant et le 1er octobre, la microstructure fera la loi. Il faudra surveiller la profondeur des carnets, la vitesse des liquidations, la capacit\u00e9 des acheteurs \u00e0 absorber. Uptober n\u2019est pas une incantation<\/strong>, c\u2019est un contexte \u00e0 m\u00e9riter.<\/p>\n

Liquidations, effet levier et respiration de la liquidit\u00e9<\/span><\/h3>\n

Le mouvement vers 111 800 $ s\u2019inscrit dans une vague de d\u00e9gagements<\/a> \u00e0 effet-levier. Des trackers de march\u00e9 ont recens\u00e9 des centaines de milliers de positions coup\u00e9es sur 24 h, avec un total de liquidations chiffr\u00e9 en milliards sur l\u2019ensemble du march\u00e9 crypto.<\/p>\n

\"Liquidation<\/p>\n

Le range des derni\u00e8res 24 h sur les grandes bourses se lit de 111 800 $ \u00e0 115 700 $, preuve que la volatilit\u00e9 rena\u00eet apr\u00e8s plusieurs s\u00e9ances trop calmes<\/strong>. Le cycle d\u2019assouplissement mon\u00e9taire alimente l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019un quatri\u00e8me trimestre mieux respir\u00e9, mais le march\u00e9 guette surtout le flux net. Tant que l\u2019aspiration budg\u00e9taire n\u2019a pas fini son travail, les \u00e0-coups restent probables, m\u00eame si le biais de fond demeure positif.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin : niveaux techniques et psychologie \u00e0 dix jours d\u2019octobre<\/span><\/h2>\n

\u00c0 tr\u00e8s court terme, deux rep\u00e8res dominent. En dessous de 112 k $ par bitcoin, les vendeurs reprennent la main et peuvent tester le c\u0153ur du mouvement de la mi-septembre. Au-dessus de 115\u2013116 k $, le march\u00e9 retrouve de l\u2019air et les appels d\u2019\u201cUptober\u201d reprennent du cr\u00e9dit.<\/p>\n

Entre les deux, c\u2019est un territoire de chocs brefs, gouvern\u00e9 par les stops et les teneurs. Le passage par 111 800 $ pour le bitcoin a laiss\u00e9 des traces dans la t\u00eate des op\u00e9rateurs. Beaucoup guettent un second test pour valider un double creux, d\u2019autres redoutent un balayage plus bas vers 110\u2013109 k $ si la macro se refroidit encore. <\/strong><\/p>\n

L\u2019important est la r\u00e9action autour des niveaux, plus que les niveaux eux-m\u00eames : vitesse, volumes, et capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 tenir des cl\u00f4tures horaires propres. La psychologie fait le liant. Les statistiques d\u2019octobre \u00e9paulent l\u2019optimisme raisonnable, mais le march\u00e9 n\u2019offrira pas un escalier sans marches. <\/strong><\/p>\n

On l\u2019a vu ce matin : une rumeur de liquidit\u00e9, un funding tendu, et tout le monde court dans le m\u00eame sens. La suite d\u00e9pendra moins d\u2019un slogan que d\u2019un v\u00e9ritable repricing du risque, port\u00e9 par des flux solides plut\u00f4t que par l\u2019effet boule de neige.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nouvelle jambe de baisse ce matin. Le bitcoin a touch\u00e9 111 800 $ avant de rebondir timidement. Il s\u2019\u00e9change…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":9863,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,92],"class_list":["post-9858","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-chute","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin chute : Le mythe d\u2019Uptober s\u2019effrite<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin chute \u00e0 111 800 $ avant de rebondir vers 112 640 $, fragilisant le r\u00e9cit d\u2019Uptober alors que le march\u00e9 h\u00e9site.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/mythe-uptober-le-bitcoin-trebuche\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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