{"id":9781,"date":"2025-09-19T17:30:12","date_gmt":"2025-09-19T17:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=9781"},"modified":"2025-09-22T10:07:54","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T10:07:54","slug":"bitcoin-glassnode-chute-105500","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-glassnode-chute-105500\/","title":{"rendered":"Glassnode pr\u00e9voit une chute du Bitcoin \u00e0 105 500 $"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les donn\u00e9es de Glassnode sugg\u00e8rent un retour possible vers 105 500 $<\/strong> si les acheteurs l\u00e2chent la main, alors que d\u2019importantes \u00e9ch\u00e9ances d\u2019options agitent le march\u00e9. En toile de fond, l\u2019euphorie post-SEC s\u2019essouffle et la microstructure reprend ses droits.<\/p>\n

Pression d\u2019\u00e9ch\u00e9ance : pourquoi 105 500 $ revient dans le viseur<\/span><\/h2>\n

Glassnode anticipe un risque de rechute du bitcoin vers 105 500 $ \u00e0 court terme tant que le prix ne pr\u00e9serve pas la zone cl\u00e9 des 115 200 $. L\u2019analyste on-chain souligne que 95 % de l\u2019offre est en gain latent. Il s\u2019agit d\u2019une configuration id\u00e9ale pour des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices<\/strong> si le momentum faiblit. Le message<\/a> est que sans maintien au-dessus de 115 200 $, les flux d\u2019options et de futures peuvent r\u00e9imposer une gravit\u00e9 baissi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n

Le timing n\u2019est pas sans importance. Les positions ouvertes sur options ont atteint un record proche de 500 000 BTC avant la grande \u00e9ch\u00e9ance du 26 septembre.<\/strong> C\u2019est un\u00a0\u00e9v\u00e9nement susceptible d\u2019amplifier les mouvements autour des niveaux techniques et \u201cde douleur\u201d pour les porteurs d\u2019options. Ce gonflement d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat ouvert refl\u00e8te autant la demande de couverture que la sp\u00e9culation directionnelle.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

La dynamique de court terme se joue au millim\u00e8tre dans ce contexte. Apr\u00e8s le rebond cons\u00e9cutif au feu vert de la SEC sur de nouvelles r\u00e8gles de cotation des ETP spot<\/a>, Bitcoin a flirt\u00e9 avec 118 000 $. Mais l\u2019effet catalyseur s\u2019est dilu\u00e9, et le march\u00e9 se recentre sur ses propres m\u00e9caniques.<\/p>\n

Un vendredi sous tension : 4,3 milliards $ d\u2019options arrivent \u00e0 maturit\u00e9<\/span><\/h2>\n

Vendredi 19 septembre 2025, environ 30 000 options BTC (soit pr\u00e8s de 3,5 milliards $ notionnels) expirent chez Deribit. La structure des positions s\u2019est durcie au fil des heures, avec un ratio put\/call qui a oscill\u00e9 mais reste assez prudent pour alimenter des tentatives de pression \u00e0 la baisse vers les strikes les plus charg\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

\"Max<\/p>\n

Le niveau de \u00ab max pain \u00bb du jour se situe autour de 114 000 $ pour bitcoin. C\u2019est la zone o\u00f9 l\u2019expiration l\u00e8serait le plus grand nombre d\u2019options. Cela tend \u00e0 agir comme un aimant de prix lorsque la liquidit\u00e9 des teneurs de march\u00e9 pilote les flux de couverture. Plusieurs grappes de puts apparaissent entre 100 000 $ et 108 000 $, cr\u00e9ant un soubassement de sc\u00e9narios d\u00e9fensifs.<\/p>\n

C\u00f4t\u00e9 Ethereum<\/a>, pr\u00e8s de 177 000 options (environ 0,8 milliard $) expirent aussi, avec un max pain vers 4 500 $<\/strong>. La parit\u00e9 du flux call\/put reste \u00e9quilibr\u00e9e, mais la logique de minimisation des pertes sugg\u00e8re, l\u00e0 encore, un biais vers ces niveaux aimantant le spot. La corr\u00e9lation directionnelle entre BTC et ETH lors des expirations majeures reste \u00e0 surveiller.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le 26 septembre s\u2019annonce comme une \u00e9ch\u00e9ance charni\u00e8re. On parle de \u201ctriple witching\u201d dans la crypto quand hebdomadaires, mensuelles et trimestrielles co\u00efncident, concentrant flux et liquidit\u00e9 dans une m\u00eame fen\u00eatre. Historiquement, l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat ouvert baisse fortement en fin de mois et encore plus en fin de trimestre, avant de se reconstruire.<\/p>\n

Sc\u00e9narios imm\u00e9diats et une L2 \u00e0 surveiller : Bitcoin Hyper<\/span><\/h2>\n

Deux chemins dominent le tr\u00e8s court terme. Si bitcoin reprend et conserve 115 200 $, la chasse au-dessus de 118 000 $ redevient plausible \u00e0 l\u2019approche du 26 septembre<\/strong>. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une cassure nette remet en jeu 110 000 $, puis ce fameux 105 500 $. La balance se d\u00e9cide souvent dans les heures encadrant l\u2019expiration<\/p>\n

Dans ce paysage, un pari asym\u00e9trique attire les radars : Bitcoin Hyper. Le projet se pr\u00e9sente comme une solution layer 2 pour Bitcoin. Son objectif est de faciliter des dApps rapides et des frais r\u00e9duits, tout en conservant la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 du r\u00e9seau Bitcoin via des mises \u00e0 jour d\u2019\u00e9tat et des preuves cryptographiques (ZK) pour valider les lots.<\/p>\n

C\u00f4t\u00e9 primaire, la pr\u00e9vente franchit la zone des 16 M$ lev\u00e9s<\/a>, mais sans afflux d\u00e9sordonn\u00e9. Un escalier de prix qui augmente tous les quelques jours. Pour m\u00e9moire, la vente a d\u00e9marr\u00e9 le 14 mai 2025, avec un ticket d\u2019entr\u00e9e initial autour de 0,0115 $, et un guide officiel recommande de v\u00e9rifier scrupuleusement l\u2019URL du site avant toute interaction pour \u00e9viter le phishing.<\/p>\n

Acheter Bitcoin Hyper <\/a><\/div>\n
\n

Cet article ne repr\u00e9sente en aucun cas un conseil en investissement. Les informations fournies ici ne doivent pas \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es comme base pour prendre des d\u00e9cisions financi\u00e8res. Les investissements en crypto-monnaie comportent des risques et peuvent entra\u00eener des pertes importantes. Il convient d\u2019investir uniquement ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre. Effectuez toujours vos propres recherches avant de prendre toute d\u00e9cision d\u2019investissement<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les donn\u00e9es de Glassnode sugg\u00e8rent un retour possible vers 105 500 $ si les acheteurs l\u00e2chent la main, alors…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":9785,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,92],"class_list":["post-9781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-chute","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin : Glassnode pr\u00e9voit une chute \u00e0 105 500 $<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin : Glassnode voit un risque de chute vers 105 500 $ si 115 200 $ c\u00e8de, alors que 4,3 Mds $ d\u2019options expirent\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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