{"id":8856,"date":"2025-09-10T10:00:41","date_gmt":"2025-09-10T10:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=8856"},"modified":"2025-09-10T11:24:18","modified_gmt":"2025-09-10T11:24:18","slug":"911-000-emplois-supprimes-bitcoin-112-000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/911-000-emplois-supprimes-bitcoin-112-000\/","title":{"rendered":"911 000 emplois supprim\u00e9s, Bitcoin rebondit au-dessus de 112 000 $"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Apr\u00e8s un passage \u00e9clair sous 111 000 $,<strong> le bitcoin s\u2019est ressaisi et traite de nouveau au-dessus de 112 000 $<\/strong>. La r\u00e9vision choc de l\u2019emploi am\u00e9ricain reste le d\u00e9cor de fond, mais l\u2019anticipation d\u2019une baisse des taux par la Fed a rallum\u00e9 l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour les actifs sensibles \u00e0 la liquidit\u00e9. Le march\u00e9 joue d\u00e9sormais la consolidation en attendant les prochains jalons macro.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"pourquoi_la_glissade_du_bitcoin_a_ete_rachetee\">Pourquoi la glissade du bitcoin a \u00e9t\u00e9 rachet\u00e9e<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le bitcoin a effac\u00e9 sa frayeur et a rapidement r\u00e9int\u00e9gr\u00e9 la zone des 112 000 $. Cette reprise s\u2019inscrit dans un mouvement plus large o\u00f9 les acheteurs d\u00e9fendent les supports proches, sans laisser l\u2019\u00e9lan baissier s\u2019installer. Le prix se maintient ainsi dans un couloir \u00e9troit, <strong>le temps que la macro clarifie la suite.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>La cause initiale du trou d\u2019air ne fait gu\u00e8re d\u00e9bat. Le Bureau of Labor Statistics a d\u00e9voil\u00e9 une estimation de r\u00e9vision de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence indiquant<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1965430069838614553\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> 911 000 emplois de moins<\/a> entre mars 2024 et mars 2025<\/strong> qu\u2019initialement rapport\u00e9, une correction majeure qui rebat les cartes sur la vigueur du cycle. Ce signal, ajout\u00e9 \u00e0 des cr\u00e9ations d\u2019emplois plus faibles cet \u00e9t\u00e9, a raviv\u00e9 les craintes de ralentissement.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The market is entering a new era of monetary policy.<\/p>\n<p>The macroeconomy is shifting and its implications on stocks, commodities, bonds, and crypto are investable.<\/p>\n<p>Want to see our outlook on the market?<\/p>\n<p>Subscribe to access our premium analysis below:<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SJRZ4FrNBc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/SJRZ4FrNBc<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1965430069838614553?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">September 9, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Pourtant, cette faiblesse est \u00e0 double tranchant pour les march\u00e9s. Elle accro\u00eet la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019un assouplissement mon\u00e9taire rapide, ce qui soutient m\u00e9caniquement les actifs \u00e0 duration longue, crypto comprise. D\u2019o\u00f9 ce rebond rapide. Le choc statistique a d\u2019abord pes\u00e9, puis<strong> la perspective d\u2019une Fed plus conciliante a pris le relais<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"fed_or_et_correlations_le_carburant_de_la_reprise\">Fed, or et corr\u00e9lations : le carburant de la reprise<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Les contrats FedWatch int\u00e8grent d\u00e9sormais une forte probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une baisse de 25 points de base d\u00e8s la r\u00e9union du 17 septembre. Le march\u00e9 ne tranche pas encore entre une d\u00e9tente \u201cprudente\u201d et un geste plus agressif, mais le message est clair. <strong>La phase de resserrement est derri\u00e8re nous.<\/strong> Pour Bitcoin, ce pivot de liquidit\u00e9 reste le moteur le plus puissant.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-or-nouveau-record\/\" rel=\"\">Le comportement de l\u2019or<\/a> confirme le sc\u00e9nario. Le m\u00e9tal jaune a inscrit de<strong> nouveaux records au-del\u00e0 de 3 600 $\/oz<\/strong>, sur fond d\u2019anticipations d\u2019assouplissement et de tensions autour de l\u2019ind\u00e9pendance de la Fed. Historiquement, lorsque l\u2019or s\u2019envole sur l\u2019axe \u201ctaux plus bas, dollar plus faible\u201d, bitcoin finit souvent par suivre, avec un l\u00e9ger d\u00e9calage temporel et une volatilit\u00e9 plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>En parall\u00e8le, les flux crypto redeviennent directionnels par \u00e0-coups. Certaines journ\u00e9es voient des afflux notables vers les ETF spot, signe d\u2019un int\u00e9r\u00eat institutionnel en sourdine mais constant. Ce n\u2019est pas une euphorie, plut\u00f4t<strong> un retour progressif de la demande au comptant qui cr\u00e9e un plancher sous les prix.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"range_serre_du_prix_du_bitcoin_seuils_clairs_catalyseurs_connus\">Range serr\u00e9 du prix du bitcoin, seuils clairs, catalyseurs connus<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Graphiquement, Bitcoin \u00e9volue dans une fourchette compacte, souvent cit\u00e9e entre 108 000 $ et 112 000 $ ces derniers jours. Cette lat\u00e9ralisation, typique d\u2019un march\u00e9 en digestion, traduit<strong> un bras de fer entre un momentum encore h\u00e9sitant et des fondamentaux de liquidit\u00e9<\/strong> qui s\u2019am\u00e9liorent. Le biais de fond reste haussier tant que les supports tiennent.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-8857 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin vs USDT\" width=\"1830\" height=\"611\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09.png 1830w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09-300x100.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09-1024x342.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09-768x256.png 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09-1536x513.png 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSDT_2025-09-10_11-25-09-1568x524.png 1568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1830px) 100vw, 1830px\"><\/p>\n<p>Le premier cap \u00e0 reconqu\u00e9rir se situe d\u00e9sormais un cran plus haut, autour de 115 000\u2013116 000 $. Une cl\u00f4ture nette au-dessus de cette zone signalerait une reprise de la jambe haussi\u00e8re vers les extensions, avec un faisceau d\u2019objectifs techniques visibles autour des plus-hauts historiques. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, <strong>une rupture franche sous 110 000 $, puis 108 000 $,<\/strong> rouvrirait le sc\u00e9nario d\u2019un test des niveaux psychologiques inf\u00e9rieurs.<\/p>\n<p>Cette lecture technique n\u2019a rien de magique. <strong>Elle cadre l\u2019incertitude et permet d\u2019ajuster le risque \u00e0 la volatilit\u00e9<\/strong>. Comme le march\u00e9 respire au rythme du calendrier macro, la gestion de position prime sur la recherche de certitudes. Mieux vaut laisser de l\u2019espace au prix pour \u00e9viter les sorties forc\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019approche des annonces.<\/p>\n<p>La s\u00e9quence \u00e0 venir d\u00e9cidera du sens de sortie. Si la Fed confirme une baisse de 25 pb, avec un guidage accommodant pour la fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e, la pression sur les rendements et le dollar pourrait accentuer l\u2019avantage des actifs rares et liquides. C\u2019est exactement le climat o\u00f9 <strong>bitcoin a historiquement surperform\u00e9<\/strong>, \u00e0 condition que la croissance ne bascule pas en r\u00e9cession franche.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apr\u00e8s un passage \u00e9clair sous 111 000 $, le bitcoin s\u2019est ressaisi et traite de nouveau au-dessus de 112&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":8860,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,130],"class_list":["post-8856","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-fed","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>911 000 emplois supprim\u00e9s, Bitcoin craque 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