{"id":8192,"date":"2025-09-02T17:15:50","date_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:15:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=8192"},"modified":"2025-09-02T17:15:41","modified_gmt":"2025-09-02T17:15:41","slug":"bitcoin-or-nouveau-record","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-or-nouveau-record\/","title":{"rendered":"Le bitcoin va-t-il suivre l\u2019or apr\u00e8s son nouveau record ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

L\u2019or vient de franchir un sommet historique au-del\u00e0 de 3 500 dollars l\u2019once. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, le bitcoin \u00e9volue autour de 110 000 dollars.<\/strong> Simple co\u00efncidence de calendrier ou signal plus large sur les march\u00e9s ?<\/p>\n

L\u2019or flambe, le bitcoin reprend de la vitesse<\/span><\/h2>\n

Mardi 2 septembre, l\u2019or a touch\u00e9 3 508,50 dollars l\u2019once. Ce n\u2019est pas anodin. Le m\u00e9tal jaune b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie souvent des phases o\u00f9 les march\u00e9s anticipent des baisses de taux<\/strong>, comme c\u2019est le cas en ce moment.<\/p>\n

\"Or
Or vs Dollar<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Dans ces contextes, l\u2019or capte d\u2019abord les flux li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019aversion au risque. Mais quand la pression se rel\u00e2che, les investisseurs regardent vers des actifs plus dynamiques. Le bitcoin s\u2019est ainsi hiss\u00e9 au-dessus des 111 000 dollars<\/strong> d\u00e9but septembre.<\/p>\n

Historiquement, le bitcoin a tendance \u00e0 r\u00e9agir avec un l\u00e9ger d\u00e9calage apr\u00e8s un pic de l\u2019or. Mais sur 6 \u00e0 12 mois, il finit souvent par surperformer. L\u2019id\u00e9e est simple : une fois la couverture achet\u00e9e via l\u2019or, une partie des capitaux cherche plus de rendement et bascule vers le bitcoin.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le sch\u00e9ma n\u2019est pas syst\u00e9matique, mais on l\u2019a vu plusieurs fois quand la liquidit\u00e9 se d\u00e9tend. Sur une base de trois mois, une hausse de 30 % \u00e0 partir des niveaux actuels<\/strong> placerait le bitcoin entre 135 000 et 145 000 dollars d\u2019ici d\u00e9but d\u00e9cembre. Un simple calcul, dans un march\u00e9 encore tendu.<\/p>\n

Les anticipations commencent \u00e0 converger<\/span><\/h2>\n

Ces niveaux recoupent certaines projections de banques traditionnelles. Standard Chartered,<\/a> par exemple, vise 200 000 dollars d\u2019ici fin 2025, avec une possible \u00e9tape autour de 135 000 dollars \u00e0 la fin du troisi\u00e8me trimestre. Ce sont des rep\u00e8res, pas des garanties.<\/p>\n

Ce qui compte dans l\u2019imm\u00e9diat, c\u2019est le contexte macro. Et l\u00e0, tous les regards restent tourn\u00e9s vers la Fed<\/a>. Ce mardi, les probabilit\u00e9s d\u2019un assouplissement mon\u00e9taire d\u00e8s septembre restent \u00e9lev\u00e9es selon le FedWatch de CME<\/a>. Parfois, un quart de point suffit \u00e0 relancer l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mais la pouss\u00e9e de l\u2019or traduit aussi une incertitude politique persistante, des doutes sur la croissance et des achats massifs des banques centrales. Dans ce climat, le bitcoin combine deux r\u00e9cits : celui d\u2019un actif sensible aux taux, et celui d\u2019une raret\u00e9 num\u00e9rique<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Quand le dollar fl\u00e9chit, que la volatilit\u00e9 implicite recule, et que les taux se d\u00e9tendent, certains investisseurs arbitrent en faveur du bitcoin<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Des signaux techniques \u00e0 surveiller<\/span><\/h2>\n

Ces derni\u00e8res semaines, les produits d\u2019investissement ont montr\u00e9 des sorties nettes sur le bitcoin, alors qu\u2019Ethereum attirait des capitaux<\/a>. Ce mouvement ne remet pas en cause une dynamique haussi\u00e8re. Il montre plut\u00f4t une rotation interne au march\u00e9 crypto. Et si les flux reviennent vers le bitcoin, les mouvements peuvent s\u2019acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer.<\/p>\n

D\u2019un point de vue technique, plusieurs desks signalent une divergence baissi\u00e8re sur les graphiques hebdomadaires. Le prix a marqu\u00e9 des plus hauts, sans confirmation du RSI. Ce genre de signal augmente le risque de correction<\/strong> interm\u00e9diaire. Une mont\u00e9e par paliers semble plus probable qu\u2019une ligne droite.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin vs USDT<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Pour l\u2019instant, la zone des 105 000 \u00e0 108 000 dollars a tenu comme support. Tant que ce niveau joue son r\u00f4le, des extensions vers le haut restent ouvertes. En cas de cassure, une consolidation vers des zones de volume plus dense<\/strong> serait logique. Prudence tactique donc, avec des entr\u00e9es liss\u00e9es plut\u00f4t que des poursuites sur impulsion.<\/p>\n

Si la Fed baisse ses taux et que l\u2019or reste en haut de tableau, un sc\u00e9nario vers 135 000 \u00e0 145 000 dollars pour le bitcoin sur trois mois devient cr\u00e9dible. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, si le contexte macro se durcit, le march\u00e9 pourrait s\u2019installer dans une phase plus lat\u00e9rale.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019or vient de franchir un sommet historique au-del\u00e0 de 3 500 dollars l\u2019once. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, le bitcoin \u00e9volue…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":8195,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,68,164,104],"class_list":["post-8192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-run","tag-or","tag-predict-market","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLe Bitcoin va-t-il s\u2019envoler apr\u00e8s l\u2019exploit\u00a0de\u00a0l\u2019or\u00a0?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le bitcoin rebondit apr\u00e8s le record de l\u2019or, port\u00e9 par les attentes de baisse des taux et un regain d\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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