{"id":7768,"date":"2025-08-28T16:45:56","date_gmt":"2025-08-28T16:45:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=7768"},"modified":"2025-08-28T16:37:10","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T16:37:10","slug":"bientot-push-cryptoquant-parie-btc-190-000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bientot-push-cryptoquant-parie-btc-190-000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bient\u00f4t le push : CryptoQuant parie sur un BTC \u00e0 190 000 $"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Dans une interview donn\u00e9e \u00e0 <strong>MilkRoad,<\/strong> l\u2019analyste en chef de <strong>CryptoQuant<\/strong> d\u00e9cortique les mouvements de Bitcoin on-chain et annonce <strong>une hausse ph\u00e9nom\u00e9nale des prix<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Il pr\u00e9sente un mod\u00e8le d\u2019analyse qui se fonde sur les mouvements concrets des d\u00e9tenteurs de BTC. Ce mod\u00e8le \u201c<strong>Profit, Pause et Push<\/strong>\u201d est une fa\u00e7on pratique de comprendre la progression du Bitcoin. Mais surtout, c\u2019est <strong>un mod\u00e8le qui a fait ses preuves et qui annonce d\u00e9j\u00e0 une hausse du BTC \u00e0 190\u00a0000 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"profit_pause_et_push_un_modele_qui_a_du_sens\">Profit, Pause et Push : un mod\u00e8le qui a du sens<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>Julio Moreno, analyste en chef de CryptoQuant<\/strong> expliquait les tenants et les aboutissants de leur mod\u00e8le d\u2019analyse du BTC dans son interview avec John Gillen sur <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MilkRoadDaily\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">MilkRoad<\/a>. Pour b\u00e2tir ce mod\u00e8le d\u2019analyse, <strong>CryptoQuant s\u2019est fond\u00e9 sur les donn\u00e9es historiques des comportements des investisseurs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>En effet, la plateforme d\u2019analyse op\u00e8re un suivi des mouvements de BTC et d\u00e9termine si ces mouvements sont indicatifs d\u2019une prise de profit ou non. <strong>En identifiant les prises de profit, ils ont pu faire co\u00efncider les p\u00e9riodes d\u2019activit\u00e9 similaire \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9volution du prix du BTC<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">How <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> is About to Shock the Whole Market &amp; Kickstart Altseason w\/ <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@cryptoquant_com<\/a> Head of Research <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jjcmoreno?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@jjcmoreno<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin is in a \u201cPause\u201d phase right now. <\/p>\n<p>But Julio says that\u2019s not bearish, it\u2019s the setup for something much bigger.<\/p>\n<p>What comes after Pause? The Push. <\/p>\n<p>And it\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/orbjP63cax\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/orbjP63cax<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MilkRoadDaily\/status\/1960428868252147730?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">August 26, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Par exemple, <strong>lorsque le Bitcoin a franchi le cap de 100\u00a0000 $ en fin 2024 et d\u00e9but 2025<\/strong>, les profits quotidiens on-chain ont connu <strong>des pics de 9 \u00e0 11 milliards $ par jour<\/strong>. Ensuite, vient <strong>la p\u00e9riode de pause au cours de laquelle la demande faiblit<\/strong>. Puis, on arrive \u00e0 <strong>une phase de r\u00e9acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la demande<\/strong>, que CryptoQuant appelle le <strong>\u201cPush\u201d.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Ce sch\u00e9ma explique clairement les mouvements du BTC depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Et le cycle, s\u2019est reproduit de la m\u00eame mani\u00e8re sur l\u2019ensemble de l\u2019historique de prix du Bitcoin. Le plus int\u00e9ressant, c\u2019est que d\u2019apr\u00e8s Julio Moreno, <strong>BTC est actuellement en phase de pause et le \u201cPush\u201d vers de nouveaux sommets devrait bient\u00f4t arriver<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"le_bitcoin_est_en_phase_de_pause\">Le Bitcoin est en phase de pause<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>L\u2019analyse de CryptoQuant commence par expliquer qu\u2019historiquement, le troisi\u00e8me trimestre de l\u2019ann\u00e9e est relativement lent pour le Bitcoin. Sp\u00e9cifiquement, <strong>le mois de septembre n\u2019est pas un mois au cours duquel il n\u2019est pas r\u00e9aliste d\u2019attendre de grands ralliements<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Mais, au-del\u00e0 du <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/le-marche-crypto-verra-45-milliards-de-dollars-de-jetons-debloques-en-septembre\/\" rel=\"\">mois de septembre<\/a> et d\u00e8s le quatri\u00e8me trimestre de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, <strong>la performance du prix du Bitcoin redevient int\u00e9ressante<\/strong>. Notamment, quand on rentre dans la phase de \u201cPush\u201d. Pour comprendre jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 cette r\u00e9acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration peut mener, il est utile d\u2019analyser les avoirs des traders de court terme.<\/p>\n<p><strong>CryptoQuant analyse le prix auquel la cohorte de ces traders ach\u00e8te son BTC<\/strong>. Ce prix moyen est de <strong>111 000 $ par BTC<\/strong>. Il s\u2019agit des <strong>BTC qui n\u2019ont pas connu de mouvement on-chain pendant un ou trois mois<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>La d\u00e9viation de 10 % sous ce niveau indique que ces traders pourraient conserver leurs actifs num\u00e9riques <strong>m\u00eame si BTC chute jusqu\u2019\u00e0 99 000 $<\/strong>. Ceci constitue <strong>un support th\u00e9orique sous lequel BTC ne devrait pas normalement descendre<\/strong>, sauf \u00e9ffondrement structurel des march\u00e9s crypto.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2890 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Investment.jpg\" alt=\"Investissement Bitcoin\" width=\"1200\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Investment.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Investment-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Investment-1024x512.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/06\/Bitcoin-Investment-768x384.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"le_push_vers_190000\">Le \u201cPush\u201d vers 190\u00a0000 $<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>En se basant toujours sur la moyenne d\u2019acquisition des investisseurs de court terme, <strong>il est possible d\u2019anticiper jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 le jeton peut monter<\/strong>. L\u2019analyse technique on-chain a d\u00e9termin\u00e9 que certains investisseurs peuvent r\u00e9sister \u00e0 la prise de profit jusqu\u2019\u00e0 un certain niveau.<\/p>\n<p>Cependant, <strong>au-del\u00e0 de profits non r\u00e9alis\u00e9s de l\u2019ordre de 70 %, la tendance g\u00e9n\u00e9rale est \u00e0 la prise de profit<\/strong>. D\u00e8s lors, le mod\u00e8le \u201c<strong>Profit, Pause, Push<\/strong>\u201d d\u00e9termine que sans prise de profit imm\u00e9diat, <strong>le BTC pourrait monter jusqu\u2019\u00e0 156\u00a0000 $, ou m\u00eame 190\u00a0000 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>En somme, d\u00e8s la prochaine explosion du BTC, <strong>ce niveau indique assez faiblement \u00e0 quel moment l\u2019\u00e9lan haussier pourrait \u00eatre \u00e9puis\u00e9<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans une interview donn\u00e9e \u00e0 MilkRoad, l\u2019analyste en chef de CryptoQuant d\u00e9cortique les mouvements de Bitcoin on-chain et annonce&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":7769,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - 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