{"id":7005,"date":"2025-08-23T12:00:48","date_gmt":"2025-08-23T12:00:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=7005"},"modified":"2025-08-22T14:14:25","modified_gmt":"2025-08-22T14:14:25","slug":"dogecoin-dump-15-pourcent-danger","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/dogecoin-dump-15-pourcent-danger\/","title":{"rendered":"Dogecoin en danger, un dump de 15% possible"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le prix du Dogecoin a subi une correction de 2%<\/strong> au cours des derni\u00e8res 24 heures, annulant ainsi ses gains hebdomadaires et entra\u00eenant une performance sur sept jours dans le rouge. Certaines indications on-chain sugg\u00e8rent que la tendance \u00e0 la baisse de Dogecoin pourrait ne pas \u00eatre termin\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

Plus pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment, une analyse de deux groupes cl\u00e9s et des donn\u00e9es sur la supply chain sugg\u00e8re une possible poursuite de la tendance baissi\u00e8re<\/strong>. Si un support crucial se rompt, Doge pourrait conna\u00eetre une baisse plus importante, risquant de provoquer une chute de 15% par rapport aux niveaux actuels.<\/p>\n

Des signaux de vente chez les d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 moyen et long terme<\/span><\/h2>\n

L\u2019indicateur HODL Waves r\u00e9v\u00e8le que deux groupes majeurs de d\u00e9tention de Dogecoin commencent \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leurs positions<\/strong>. Ces groupes sont :<\/p>\n

Les d\u00e9tenteurs de 6 \u00e0 12 mois, dont la part est pass\u00e9e de 15,46% \u00e0 14,705% au cours des deux derni\u00e8res semaines. Les d\u00e9tenteurs de 1 \u00e0 3 mois ont observ\u00e9 une chute plus marqu\u00e9e, passant de 8% \u00e0 seulement 4,614%.<\/p>\n

\"Courbe<\/p>\n

Source : Glassnode<\/p>\n

Cela indique que non seulement les investisseurs \u00e0 court terme, mais \u00e9galement ceux \u00e0 moyen et \u00e0 long terme, sont en train de vendre. Ces groupes indiquent fr\u00e9quemment des changements d\u2019humeur dans la base de d\u00e9tenteurs<\/strong> plus large. Lorsque les deux parties diminuent leur exposition simultan\u00e9ment, cela indique g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement une baisse de confiance dans une reprise imminente des prix.<\/p>\n

C\u2019est particuli\u00e8rement pr\u00e9occupant parce que ce changement s\u2019est produit pendant une baisse, et non apr\u00e8s une mont\u00e9e. Cela signifie que ces d\u00e9tenteurs ne r\u00e9alisent pas de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices ; ils sortent avec des pertes ou des retours minimes, ce qui pourrait indiquer une peur plus profonde<\/strong> de la baisse.<\/p>\n

Les HODL Waves illustrent la r\u00e9partition des holders en fonction de leur anciennet\u00e9, facilitant l\u2019identification de la dur\u00e9e pendant laquelle diff\u00e9rents groupes de d\u00e9tenteurs ont conserv\u00e9 leurs jetons avant de les transf\u00e9rer.<\/p>\n

L\u2019offre en profit demeure \u00e9lev\u00e9e, et c\u2019est un probl\u00e8me<\/span><\/h2>\n

Actuellement, 76,95 % de l\u2019offre<\/strong> en circulation de Dogecoin<\/a> reste b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaire. Historiquement, chaque fois que ce chiffre d\u00e9passe 73%, des corrections de prix ont suivi. La derni\u00e8re fois qu\u2019il \u00e9tait \u00e0 ce m\u00eame niveau, c\u2019\u00e9tait le 30 juillet, lorsque Dogecoin<\/strong> se n\u00e9gociait autour de 0,22$. Les prix ont ensuite chut\u00e9 \u00e0 0,19$ peu apr\u00e8s.<\/p>\n

\"Holders<\/p>\n

\u00c0 cette \u00e9poque, le taux de l\u2019offre en b\u00e9n\u00e9fice a chut\u00e9 \u00e0 61,79%, et ce n\u2019est qu\u2019apr\u00e8s ce r\u00e9ajustement que la valeur du Dogecoin a commenc\u00e9 \u00e0 augmenter de nouveau. Actuellement, nous sommes toujours dans la fourchette de 76%, et le danger est que cette m\u00eame configuration pourrait se reproduire : il faut que l\u2019offre en profit diminue avant que les acheteurs ne reviennent<\/strong>. Jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce moment-l\u00e0, chaque hausse est confront\u00e9e \u00e0 une forte pression de vente.<\/p>\n

Lorsque l\u2019offre en profit est abondante et que les d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 moyen et long terme commencent \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leurs positions, cela refl\u00e8te g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement une appr\u00e9hension de perdre des b\u00e9n\u00e9fices ou une anticipation d\u2019une chute plus marqu\u00e9e<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Un indicateur cl\u00e9 confirme la pression baissi\u00e8re<\/span><\/h2>\n

Sur le plan technique, Dogecoin se situe pr\u00e8s d\u2019un niveau de support crucial<\/strong> \u00e0 0,21$. Si cela descend en dessous de ce niveau, la structure devient clairement baissi\u00e8re. Le soutien crucial suivant se situe \u00e0 0,20$, mais l\u2019objectif baissier plus large est fix\u00e9 \u00e0 0,18$, ce qui repr\u00e9senterait une chute de 15% par rapport aux prix actuels.<\/p>\n

\"Indicateur<\/p>\n

Sur le plan technique, le Bull and Bear Power (BBP) est pass\u00e9 en territoire n\u00e9gatif<\/strong>, indiquant que les vendeurs dominent actuellement. Ce signal vient renforcer les indices baissiers d\u00e9j\u00e0 visibles dans les donn\u00e9es on-chain.<\/p>\n

L\u2019indicateur Bull-Bear Power (BBP), \u00e9galement appel\u00e9 l\u2019Index Elder Ray, \u00e9value la puissance des acheteurs (bulls) et des vendeurs (bears) en d\u00e9terminant la diff\u00e9rence entre les points de prix extr\u00eames et une moyenne mobile. Cela permet de d\u00e9terminer<\/strong> si les forces haussi\u00e8res ou baissi\u00e8res dominent actuellement le march\u00e9, selon les donn\u00e9es de CoinGecko<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Le changement de dynamique est \u00e9vident. Si le niveau de 0.21$ ne se maintient pas, le sc\u00e9nario pessimiste devient de plus en plus probable. Toutefois, si le prix de Dogecoin parvient \u00e0 se redresser et \u00e0 d\u00e9passer 0,23$, l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se pessimiste perdrait toute validit\u00e9<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le prix du Dogecoin a subi une correction de 2% au cours des derni\u00e8res 24 heures, annulant ainsi ses…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":7060,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[8],"class_list":["post-7005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins","tag-altcoin","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDogecoin en danger, un dump de 15% possible<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dogecoin montre des signes de faiblesse technique. Un dump de 15 % est d\u00e9sormais sur la table. 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