{"id":6146,"date":"2025-08-11T14:00:30","date_gmt":"2025-08-11T14:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=6146"},"modified":"2025-08-11T14:02:02","modified_gmt":"2025-08-11T14:02:02","slug":"bitcoin-options-de-vente-massives-entre-115k-et-118k","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-options-de-vente-massives-entre-115k-et-118k\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin : options de vente massives entre 115k et 118k $"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00c0 la veille du CPI am\u00e9ricain (mardi 12 ao\u00fbt 2025, 8h30 ET), le march\u00e9 des d\u00e9riv\u00e9s se tend. Les traders de bitcoin ach\u00e8tent des options de vente regroup\u00e9es autour de 115 000\u2013118 000 $<\/strong> pour se couvrir d\u2019un possible choc macro. En clair : l\u2019inflation dira si la hausse peut reprendre ou s\u2019il faut lever le pied.<\/p>\n

Options : couverture serr\u00e9e avant la donn\u00e9e<\/span><\/h2>\n

Les investisseurs ach\u00e8tent beaucoup d\u2019options de vente (\u201cputs\u201d) qui leur rapporteraient de l\u2019argent si le Bitcoin tombait entre 115 000 et 118 000 dollars<\/strong>. Cette zone est jug\u00e9e fragile : si le march\u00e9 devient soudain plus agit\u00e9, le prix pourrait y chuter rapidement.<\/p>\n

Comme ces protections co\u00fbtent de plus en plus cher, cela montre que les traders restent prudents, m\u00eame si, globalement, ils pensent que la tendance reste \u00e0 la hausse. Si le cours repasse clairement au-dessus de cette zone, le prix de ces protections pourrait redescendre.<\/strong> Mais pour l\u2019instant, rien n\u2019est s\u00fbr.<\/p>\n

Le consensus attend une inflation globale \u00e0 2,8 % sur un an. Un chiffre plus bas conforterait les paris de baisse de taux en septembre et desserrerait l\u2019\u00e9tau sur les actifs risqu\u00e9s ; plus haut, il g\u00e8lerait l\u2019\u00e9lan. \u00c0 court terme, la volatilit\u00e9 sera d\u00e9pendante des chiffres.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Spot et capitalisation : tonique mais prudent<\/span><\/h2>\n

Entre prudence et app\u00e9tit<\/a>, le spot tient bon. Bitcoin a fr\u00f4l\u00e9 122 000 $ ce week-end<\/strong>, tout pr\u00e8s de son sommet de mi-juillet. Ether se maintient sur des plus hauts pluriannuels, signe que le flux acheteur ne se limite pas au seul BTC.<\/p>\n

La capitalisation totale a repass\u00e9 4 000 Md$<\/strong>, avec une dominance bitcoin toujours \u00e9lev\u00e9e. Le seuil des 4 T$ touch\u00e9 mi-juillet joue, au passage, un r\u00f4le psychologique.<\/p>\n

Le nombre total de contrats d\u2019options ouverts sur le Bitcoin reste \u00e9norme, proche de ses records. Fin du trimestre, il avait m\u00eame d\u00e9pass\u00e9 45 milliards de dollars sur toutes les plateformes<\/strong>. Sur Ethereum, c\u2019est pareil : le march\u00e9 est presque au plus haut historique, avec une progression continue depuis l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9 2024<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"Open<\/p>\n

Comme beaucoup de ces options sont concentr\u00e9es sur quelques prix cibles pr\u00e9cis, le march\u00e9 r\u00e9agit vite aux surprises \u00e9conomiques.<\/p>\n

D\u2019ici \u00e0 la publication du CPI, le co\u00fbt des options \u00e0 court terme devrait rester \u00e9lev\u00e9, puis baisser si les chiffres sont clairs. Si le cours d\u00e9passe nettement certaines r\u00e9sistances, la volatilit\u00e9 pourrait retomber rapidement<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une mauvaise surprise ferait repartir la demande de protection. En r\u00e9sum\u00e9 : cette semaine, ce sont surtout les mouvements rapides de prix \u00e0 court terme qui dicteront le rythme.<\/p>\n

Apr\u00e8s le chiffre : flux ETF Bitcoin et trajectoires 150k\u2013200k<\/span><\/h2>\n

Au-del\u00e0 de mardi, les flux vers les produits d\u2019investissement restent le barom\u00e8tre. Apr\u00e8s une semaine de respiration, CoinShares a recens\u00e9 572 M$ d\u2019entr\u00e9es nettes, men\u00e9es par l\u2019ETH<\/a> et un retour des achats sur BTC. Si le rythme tient, il soutiendra l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019un march\u00e9 structurellement haussier<\/strong>, malgr\u00e9 les \u00e0-coups.<\/p>\n

Les ETF spot, lanc\u00e9s en 2024, ont \u00e9largi la base d\u2019acheteurs du retail encadr\u00e9 aux tr\u00e9soreries d\u2019entreprises, et acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 la r\u00e9action du march\u00e9 aux nouvelles macro. Effet collat\u00e9ral : les cycles se transmettent plus vite. Tout le monde ne s\u2019en plaindra pas, mais cela demande une gestion du risque plus fine<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

C\u00f4t\u00e9 objectifs, la fourchette reste large mais orient\u00e9e vers le haut : Standard Chartered<\/a> vise 200 000 $ d\u2019ici fin 2025 si le contexte s\u2019y pr\u00eate ; Bitwise d\u00e9fend la m\u00eame cible dans ses pr\u00e9dictions annuelles. \u00c0 plus court terme, un CPI \u201cdoux\u201d et des flux ETF positifs remettraient 123k, puis 130k $ \u00e0 port\u00e9e. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, les couvertures sur 115k\u2013118k $ retrouveraient vite de l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat.<\/strong><\/p>\n

En bref : march\u00e9 ceintur\u00e9 mais opportuniste. Les protections s\u2019accumulent avant le CPI, sans tuer l\u2019app\u00e9tit en cas de d\u00e9tente de l\u2019inflation. Si la macro s\u2019aligne, la voie reste d\u00e9gag\u00e9e ; sinon, les puts feront leur office jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la prochaine fen\u00eatre de tir<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00c0 la veille du CPI am\u00e9ricain (mardi 12 ao\u00fbt 2025, 8h30 ET), le march\u00e9 des d\u00e9riv\u00e9s se tend. Les…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":6151,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[15,68,161],"class_list":["post-6146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-run","tag-prediction-prix","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin : Le march\u00e9 verrouille la zone 115\u2013118k $ avant le CPI US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Avant le CPI US, des puts massifs sur 115\u2013118k $ signalent une prudence accrue sur Bitcoin ; volatilit\u00e9 li\u00e9e aux chiffres.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-options-de-vente-massives-entre-115k-et-118k\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin : Le march\u00e9 verrouille la zone 115\u2013118k $ avant le CPI US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Avant le CPI US, des puts massifs sur 115\u2013118k $ signalent une prudence accrue sur Bitcoin ; 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