{"id":6035,"date":"2025-08-09T18:00:31","date_gmt":"2025-08-09T18:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=6035"},"modified":"2025-08-09T18:03:01","modified_gmt":"2025-08-09T18:03:01","slug":"tout-va-seffondrer-seul-le-bitcoin-survivra","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/tout-va-seffondrer-seul-le-bitcoin-survivra\/","title":{"rendered":"Tout va s\u2019effondrer, seul le Bitcoin survivra"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Robert Kiyosaki, auteur de Rich Dad Poor Dad, pr\u00e9dit une nouvelle Grande D\u00e9pression et affirme que <strong>seuls les d\u00e9tenteurs de bitcoin sortiront r\u00e9ellement gagnants<\/strong>. Cette alerte tombe alors que Washington ouvre, du moins en th\u00e9orie, la voie \u00e0 l\u2019inclusion du bitcoin dans les 401(k), et que le cours a bri\u00e8vement reconquis les 117 000 $. L\u2019affaire fait du bruit : promesse de refuge ou slogan trop tranch\u00e9 ?<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"kiyosaki_relance_lalarme__rien_nest_sur_sauf_le_bitcoin\">Kiyosaki relance l\u2019alarme : \u00ab rien n\u2019est s\u00fbr, sauf le bitcoin \u00bb<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>D\u00e8s le d\u00e9part, Kiyosaki<a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/theRealKiyosaki\/status\/1953585009883074745\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> place le d\u00e9cor<\/a> : march\u00e9 en perdition, actions et obligations vou\u00e9es \u00e0 souffrir, et une conclusion choc : <em>\u00ab seuls les bitcoiners survivront \u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Financial Planners lie when they sat \u201cBonds are safe.\u201d  There is nothing safe in a market crash.<\/p>\n<p>The commercial real estate market is crashing.<\/p>\n<p>Moodys down graded US bonds.<\/p>\n<p>Asians buying gold.<\/p>\n<p>No one is showing up to buy bonds.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019ve been buying real gold, silver, and\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/theRealKiyosaki\/status\/1953585009883074745?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">August 7, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Dans ses derni\u00e8res prises de parole, il mart\u00e8le qu\u2019il n\u2019y a \u00ab rien de s\u00fbr dans un krach \u00bb. Son intuition ? <strong>La prochaine vague sera d\u00e9vastatrice pour les portefeuilles<\/strong> trop expos\u00e9s aux actifs traditionnels.<\/p>\n<p>Son argumentaire s\u2019appuie sur trois signaux : la faiblesse persistante de l\u2019immobilier commercial et la d\u00e9fiance envers les obligations cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments nourrissent son scepticisme sur la fameuse s\u00e9curit\u00e9 obligataire brandie par nombre de conseillers. Sur X, Kiyosaki vise d\u2019ailleurs directement ces \u00ab mensonges \u00bb sur<strong> la pr\u00e9tendue s\u00fbret\u00e9 des bonds<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Dans le m\u00eame souffle, <strong>il revendique accumuler depuis des ann\u00e9es du bitcoin<\/strong>, mais aussi de l\u2019or, de l\u2019argent, du p\u00e9trole et m\u00eame du b\u00e9tail.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 ses yeux, ce panier \u00ab durs \u00bb le rendra plus riche quand le choc se mat\u00e9rialisera. Sa th\u00e8se est binaire : actionnaires et porteurs d\u2019obligations vont s\u2019appauvrir,<strong> les bitcoiners s\u2019en sortiront<\/strong>. On peut discuter le ton, mais le message est clair et coh\u00e9rent avec ses positions publiques.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"401k_tournant_historique_ou_mirage_reglementaire\">401(k) : tournant historique ou mirage r\u00e9glementaire ?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Dans ce contexte, l\u2019annonce politique du 7 ao\u00fbt p\u00e8se lourd : Donald Trump a sign\u00e9 un d\u00e9cret ex\u00e9cutif demandant aux agences f\u00e9d\u00e9rales d\u2019ouvrir les <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-116000-trump-401k\/\" rel=\"\">401(k)<\/a> aux \u00ab actifs alternatifs \u00bb, dont les cryptos. C\u2019est <strong>un signal politique puissant<\/strong>, m\u00eame si tout n\u2019est pas effectif du jour au lendemain.<\/p>\n<p>M\u00eame si la porte s\u2019entrouvre, <strong>cela ne signifie pas que les grands administrateurs choisiront spontan\u00e9ment le bitcoin<\/strong>. Le sp\u00e9cialiste ETF de Bloomberg Eric Balchunas rappelle que la plupart des gestionnaires restent focalis\u00e9s sur actions\/obligations, et qu\u2019<strong>investir en bitcoin exige un minimum d\u2019\u00e9ducation<\/strong> et de conviction qu\u2019ils n\u2019ont pas tous. En clair, l\u2019offre potentielle n\u2019\u00e9quivaut pas \u00e0 une adoption massive imm\u00e9diate.<\/p>\n<h3><span id=\"ce_que_disent_les_marches_bitcoin_a_117_000_mais_la_route_reste_chaotique\">Ce que disent les march\u00e9s : bitcoin \u00e0 117 000 $, mais la route reste chaotique<\/span><\/h3>\n<p>C\u00f4t\u00e9 prix, le bitcoin a repris la barre des 117 000 $ avant de refluer l\u00e9g\u00e8rement. Cette pouss\u00e9e a co\u00efncid\u00e9 avec<strong> les annonces politiques<\/strong> et un climat plus \u00ab risk-on \u00bb ponctuel. Bref, l\u2019actif phare a rappel\u00e9 son \u00e9lasticit\u00e9, au gr\u00e9 des flux et des gros titres.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-6036 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin vs USDT\" width=\"1830\" height=\"611\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29.png 1830w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29-300x100.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29-1024x342.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29-768x256.png 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29-1536x513.png 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/08\/BTCUSD_2025-08-09_19-47-29-1568x524.png 1568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1830px) 100vw, 1830px\"><\/p>\n<p>Dans les 24 heures, la hausse avoisinait 3 % et le march\u00e9 a oscill\u00e9 autour de 116 800 \u2013 117 000 $. Des chiffres qui valident la reprise technique, sans l\u2019\u00e9riger en nouvelle tendance irr\u00e9versible. Le momentum reste nerveux, avec des allers-retours rapides.<\/p>\n<p>Les niveaux \u00e0 surveiller ? Plusieurs traders \u00e9voquent <strong>une zone pivot vers 116 000 \u2013 117 600 $. <\/strong>Au-dessus, les regards se tournent vers 118 000 $ puis 120 000 $. En dessous, gare aux acc\u00e9l\u00e9rations de vente. Rien d\u2019anormal : la volatilit\u00e9 est consubstantielle au bitcoin, d\u2019o\u00f9 l\u2019importance de g\u00e9rer le risque plut\u00f4t que de l\u2019ignorer.<\/p>\n<h3><span id=\"faut-il_croire_au_bitcoin_seul_survivant__trois_scenarios_pour_decider\">Faut-il croire au \u00ab bitcoin seul survivant \u00bb ? Trois sc\u00e9narios pour d\u00e9cider<\/span><\/h3>\n<h4><span id=\"scenario_1_grosse_crise_economique\">Sc\u00e9nario 1 : Grosse crise \u00e9conomique<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Si l\u2019immobilier commercial continue de perdre de la valeur, que la dette am\u00e9ricaine reste sous pression apr\u00e8s sa d\u00e9gradation, et que l\u2019argent circule moins facilement, <strong>les investisseurs chercheront \u00e0 placer leur argent dans des valeurs s\u00fbres<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Pour certains, ce sera l\u2019or ou les bons du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain. Pour d\u2019autres, ce sera le bitcoin, parce qu\u2019il n\u2019est pas li\u00e9 \u00e0 la dette ou \u00e0 la sant\u00e9 financi\u00e8re d\u2019un pays ou d\u2019une entreprise.<\/p>\n<p>Mais attention : m\u00eame s\u2019il peut jouer ce r\u00f4le, <strong>le bitcoin reste tr\u00e8s instable<\/strong> et peut conna\u00eetre de fortes variations de prix.<\/p>\n<h4><span id=\"scenario_2_ralentissement_maitrise\">Sc\u00e9nario 2 : Ralentissement ma\u00eetris\u00e9<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Dans cette version, l\u2019\u00e9conomie ralentit mais ne s\u2019effondre pas. Les autorit\u00e9s encadrent<strong> l\u2019int\u00e9gration du bitcoin dans les plans de retraite 401(k) aux \u00c9tats-Unis<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Cela se fait par \u00e9tapes, via des fonds tr\u00e8s surveill\u00e9s et avec des limites claires. L\u2019adoption se fait doucement, entreprise par entreprise.<\/p>\n<p>R\u00e9sultat : le bitcoin gagne en cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9, mais ne capte pas d\u2019un coup toute l\u2019\u00e9pargne longue. La progression est lente et accompagn\u00e9e de <strong>beaucoup de p\u00e9dagogie<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h4><span id=\"scenario_3_enthousiasme_puis_retour_a_la_realite\">Sc\u00e9nario 3 : Enthousiasme puis retour \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9<\/span><\/h4>\n<p>Ici, l\u2019annonce d\u2019une ouverture r\u00e9glementaire attire rapidement des investisseurs opportunistes, ce qui fait monter les prix. Mais ensuite, les contraintes (frais, complexit\u00e9, manque de liquidit\u00e9) refroidissent les gestionnaires de fonds.<\/p>\n<p>Les 401(k) gardent un peu de bitcoin, mais dans de petites proportions, comme un test. L\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019un effondrement total o\u00f9 seul le bitcoin survivrait se heurte alors au rythme lent des institutions, et <strong>les march\u00e9s continuent de suivre leurs cycles habituels<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Robert Kiyosaki, auteur de Rich Dad Poor Dad, pr\u00e9dit une nouvelle Grande D\u00e9pression et affirme que seuls les d\u00e9tenteurs&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":6037,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[15,154],"class_list":["post-6035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-robert-kiyosaki","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ 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