{"id":5966,"date":"2025-08-08T14:30:28","date_gmt":"2025-08-08T14:30:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=5966"},"modified":"2025-08-08T13:39:41","modified_gmt":"2025-08-08T13:39:41","slug":"jusquou-ira-le-bitcoin-novogratz-pose-ses-jalons","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/jusquou-ira-le-bitcoin-novogratz-pose-ses-jalons\/","title":{"rendered":"Jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 ira le Bitcoin ? Novogratz pose ses jalons"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le Bitcoin revient dans la lumi\u00e8re, cette fois sous l\u2019impulsion de Mike Novogratz, patron de Galaxy Digital. Son message est limpide : tant que les gouvernements creusent leurs d\u00e9ficits, <strong>le cours a de quoi grimper<\/strong>. Derri\u00e8re cette id\u00e9e, un cocktail de th\u00e8mes macro\u00e9conomiques (dette publique, affaiblissement du dollar, adoption par les grands fonds) et un acteur discret : les stablecoins. L\u2019argumentaire est ambitieux, mais il ne laisse pas tout le monde convaincu.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"le_deficit_budgetaire_moteur_inattendu_pour_bitcoin\">Le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire, moteur inattendu pour bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Pour Novogratz, la logique est implacable : des \u00c9tats qui d\u00e9pensent plus qu\u2019ils ne per\u00e7oivent finissent par <strong>affaiblir la confiance dans leur monnaie.<\/strong> Et dans ce contexte, un actif \u00e0 l\u2019offre limit\u00e9e comme le Bitcoin trouve un terrain fertile.<\/p>\n<p>Il parle m\u00eame d\u2019un effet m\u00e9canique : plus la dette s\u2019accumule, plus la \u00ab <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/crypto-ideale-verrouiller-1-000\/\" rel=\"\">valeur refuge<\/a> \u00bb du Bitcoin se renforce. Une lecture qui s\u00e9duit une partie du march\u00e9\u2026 mais qui suppose que l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque reste intact, m\u00eame en p\u00e9riode de tensions financi\u00e8res.<\/p>\n<p>Autre point cl\u00e9 : selon lui, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=8fh-ch2Q1Yw&amp;ab_channel=CNBCTelevision\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">le Bitcoin n\u2019est plus seulement un jeu de traders.<\/a> Il prend d\u00e9sormais place dans la cat\u00e9gorie des \u00ab macro-assets \u00bb, aux c\u00f4t\u00e9s de l\u2019or. Les signes ? L\u2019arriv\u00e9e de BlackRock, les achats de fonds souverains, et des tr\u00e9soreries d\u2019entreprises qui se positionnent.<\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz: Bitcoin prices will keep climbing as long as debt-to-GDP keeps climbing\" width=\"750\" height=\"422\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/8fh-ch2Q1Yw?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>S\u2019il atteignait la capitalisation de l\u2019or, l<strong>e Bitcoin pourrait, th\u00e9oriquement, viser le million de dollars<\/strong>. Un calcul simple\u2026 mais qui reste hautement sp\u00e9culatif.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"conjoncture_macro_et_dollar_affaibli\">Conjoncture macro et dollar affaibli<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Novogratz pointe aussi<strong> le r\u00f4le de la politique mon\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricaine<\/strong> et la faiblesse du dollar. Ajoutez \u00e0 cela les <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-etf-craquent\/\" rel=\"\">ETF Bitcoin<\/a>, d\u00e9sormais accessibles \u00e0 un public institutionnel, et vous obtenez un march\u00e9 plus ouvert que jamais.<\/p>\n<p>Le soutien affich\u00e9 de figures comme Larry Fink (<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/blackrock-soffre-1-million-deth-en-18-jours\/\" rel=\"\">BlackRock<\/a>) a renforc\u00e9 cette dynamique. Mais <strong>la corr\u00e9lation entre ces facteurs et la hausse durable du cours reste \u00e0 d\u00e9montrer<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Dernier pilier de son raisonnement : les stablecoins. Ils alimentent la liquidit\u00e9 et fluidifient les paiements transfrontaliers. Tether et Circle dominent, mais des mastodontes comme<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/jpmorgan-alliance-coinbase-crypto\/\" rel=\"\"> JPMorgan entrent aussi dans l\u2019ar\u00e8ne<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Pour Novogratz, ces monnaies stables ne sont pas un d\u00e9tail : elles cr\u00e9ent une infrastructure qui permet au Bitcoin de s\u2019ancrer dans l\u2019\u00e9conomie r\u00e9elle. Reste \u00e0 savoir si <strong>cette m\u00e9canique survivra aux r\u00e9gulations qui se profilent<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>En r\u00e9sum\u00e9 : dette publique persistante, entr\u00e9e des grands investisseurs, affaiblissement du dollar et infrastructures de paiement en place. Voil\u00e0, selon Novogratz, le socle d\u2019une trajectoire haussi\u00e8re pouvant mener le Bitcoin vers des niveaux in\u00e9dits.<br>\nMais entre la th\u00e9orie et le march\u00e9, l\u2019\u00e9cart reste large. Les cycles pass\u00e9s ont montr\u00e9 que la route est rarement lin\u00e9aire, et qu\u2019avant le million, il y a beaucoup d\u2019\u00e9tapes \u00e0 franchir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Bitcoin revient dans la lumi\u00e8re, cette fois sous l\u2019impulsion de Mike Novogratz, patron de Galaxy Digital. Son message&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":5971,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[15,68,162,161],"class_list":["post-5966","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-run","tag-prediction","tag-prediction-prix","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Jusqu\u2019o\u00f9 ira le Bitcoin ? 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