{"id":4677,"date":"2025-07-26T20:02:36","date_gmt":"2025-07-26T20:02:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=4677"},"modified":"2025-07-26T20:03:13","modified_gmt":"2025-07-26T20:03:13","slug":"bitcoin-correction-pas-finie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-correction-pas-finie\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin : La correction n\u2019est peut-\u00eatre pas finie"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin a r\u00e9cemment atteint un nouveau sommet historique \u00e0 <strong>123\u202f236\u202f$ le 14 juillet<\/strong> 2025. Mais \u00e0 peine deux semaines plus tard, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-retournement-indicateurs-rouge\/\" rel=\"\">la crypto est retomb\u00e9e<\/a> \u00e0 un creux intrajournalier de 114\u202f518\u202f$<\/strong>, avant un l\u00e9ger rebond autour de 115\u202f692\u202f$.<\/p>\n<p>Pour Justin Spittler, analyste chez RiskHedge, l\u2019essentiel est ailleurs : <strong>Bitcoin n\u2019a pas encore trouv\u00e9 son vrai plancher<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Unfortunately, I don't think <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> has bottomed yet.<\/p>\n<p>Looks like a breakdown retest on the 4H currently.<\/p>\n<p>Still think we got a little bit more pain in the near term.<\/p>\n<p>I don't think it will be a deep retracement for a couple reasons.<\/p>\n<p>1) BTC literally just broke out.<br>2) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$ETH<\/a> and\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lbPEQ09SSn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/lbPEQ09SSn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Justin Spittler (@JSpitTrades) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JSpitTrades\/status\/1948735220296925563?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 25, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Une d\u00e9claration qui tranche avec <strong>l\u2019euphorie ambiante, et qui m\u00e9rite qu\u2019on s\u2019y attarde<\/strong>. Car derri\u00e8re ce repli se cache peut-\u00eatre plus qu\u2019un simple souffle court du march\u00e9.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"bitcoin_une_correction_a_court_terme_attendue_mais_pas_un_retournement\">Bitcoin : une correction \u00e0 court terme attendue, mais pas un retournement<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Spittler anticipe <strong>une phase de repli mod\u00e9r\u00e9e<\/strong>, avec un possible retour vers la zone des 113\u202f000\u202f$, voire un l\u00e9ger enfoncement temporaire.<\/p>\n<p>Pour autant, i<strong>l exclut un d\u00e9crochage brutal<\/strong> : selon lui, le r\u00e9cent breakout haussier est trop r\u00e9cent pour d\u00e9clencher une vraie capitulation. Le momentum reste pr\u00e9sent, bien que fragile.<\/p>\n<p>D\u2019autres partagent ce constat. <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/cburniske\/status\/1948581381342461977\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Chris Burniske<\/a> (Placeholder) note ainsi l\u2019absence de panique claire, notamment gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/prix-ethereum-palier-important-saison-altcoins\/\" rel=\"\">la tenue des altcoins comme Ethereum<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>L<strong>\u2019ETH\/BTC a m\u00eame progress\u00e9 d\u2019environ 1\u202f% pendant le recul de Bitcoin.<\/strong> Un comportement qui, \u00e0 ses yeux, sugg\u00e8re un march\u00e9 en consolidation plus qu\u2019en chute libre.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"open_interest_au_plus_haut_volatilite_sous_tension\">Open interest au plus haut : volatilit\u00e9 sous tension<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le open interest (OI) de Bitcoin vient d\u2019atteindre<strong> un record \u00e0 44,5\u202fmilliards<\/strong> de dollars, alors que le prix, lui, recule.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tradingview.com\/news\/u_today%3Aa5c33369c094b%3A0-top-trader-bitcoin-has-not-bottomed-yet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Ce d\u00e9calage<\/a> est parlant : cela signifie que <strong>de nombreuses nouvelles positions sont ouvertes<\/strong> (longues ou courtes) dans un contexte d\u2019incertitude. La sp\u00e9culation s\u2019intensifie, et avec elle, le risque de soubresauts.<\/p>\n<p>Spittler met en garde : un tel niveau d\u2019engagement, dans un march\u00e9 d\u00e9j\u00e0 f\u00e9brile, pourrait <strong>pr\u00e9cipiter des liquidations en cascade<\/strong> en cas de retournement soudain. Ce type de r\u00e9action en cha\u00eene n\u2019a rien de th\u00e9orique on l\u2019a d\u00e9j\u00e0 vu dans des phases de march\u00e9 pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"une_prudence_justifiee_malgre_la_tendance_haussiere_globale\">Une prudence justifi\u00e9e malgr\u00e9 la tendance haussi\u00e8re globale<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Certaines pr\u00e9visions institutionnelles, comme celle de<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ainvest.com\/news\/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-falls-6-record-high-top-trader-warns-floor-untested-2507\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Citigroup<\/a>, voient Bitcoin grimper \u00e0 <strong>135\u202f000\u202f$ d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e<\/strong>, voire 199\u202f000\u202f$ dans leur sc\u00e9nario optimiste.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-4678 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Usdt\" width=\"1830\" height=\"574\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50.png 1830w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50-300x94.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50-1024x321.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50-768x241.png 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50-1536x482.png 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/07\/BTCUSD_2025-07-26_21-58-50-1568x492.png 1568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1830px) 100vw, 1830px\"><\/p>\n<p>Mais pour Spittler, cette lecture est trop lin\u00e9aire : les niveaux de support autour de 118\u202f000\u202f$ sont encore fragiles, et <strong>le seuil des 113\u202f000\u202f$ pourrait faire office de pivot<\/strong> psychologique \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019analyse on-chain n\u2019apporte pas de r\u00e9ponse tranch\u00e9e. Les portefeuilles des d\u00e9tenteurs \u00e0 court terme sont rest\u00e9s relativement stables ce qui peut aussi bien refl\u00e9ter une phase de digestion qu\u2019<strong>un manque d\u2019\u00e9lan acheteur<\/strong> pour relancer la hausse.<\/p>\n<p>On observe aussi <strong>des prises de b\u00e9n\u00e9fices par les particuliers<\/strong>, dans une ambiance attentiste. Certains s\u00e9curisent leurs gains, d\u2019autres pr\u00e9f\u00e8rent rester en retrait en attendant un nouveau signal macro ou technique.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019arriv\u00e9e des ETF spot comme l\u2019IBIT de<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-700-000-prediction-blackrock\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"> BlackRock<\/a>, qui a attir\u00e9 \u00e0 lui seul plus de 50\u202fmilliards de dollars en moins d\u2019un an a profond\u00e9ment transform\u00e9 le cycle Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<p>La dynamique traditionnelle du halving, qui rythmait les march\u00e9s tous les quatre ans, semble d\u00e9sormais rel\u00e9gu\u00e9e au second plan.<\/p>\n<p>Le prix est devenu <strong>beaucoup plus sensible aux donn\u00e9es macro\u00e9conomiques,<\/strong> aux annonces de la Fed ou aux turbulences sur les indices am\u00e9ricains comme le S&amp;P 500. Un changement de nature qui impose de revoir certaines grilles de lecture.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"deux_scenarios_en_ligne_de_mire_pour_le_bitcoin\">Deux sc\u00e9narios en ligne de mire pour le bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 semble \u00e9voluer dans une zone de transition.<\/p>\n<p>Deux hypoth\u00e8ses se d\u00e9gagent : <strong>un retest technique autour des 113\u202f000\u202f$<\/strong>, suivi d\u2019un rebond progressif : sc\u00e9nario pr\u00e9f\u00e9r\u00e9 par les investisseurs de long terme, ou une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration de la baisse, si les liquidations s\u2019emballent ou si les donn\u00e9es macro viennent troubler la f\u00eate.<\/p>\n<p>Mais Spittler insiste : pas de krach en vue. <strong>Une correction plus s\u00e9v\u00e8re irait \u00e0 l\u2019encontre des fondamentaux actuels<\/strong> et de la structure r\u00e9cente du march\u00e9, qui reste globalement haussi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n<p>Le pire n\u2019est peut-\u00eatre pas encore pass\u00e9, mais cela ne veut pas dire que le march\u00e9 est en train de s\u2019effondrer.<\/p>\n<p>Spittler, comme d\u2019autres, anticipe<strong> une phase de consolidation,<\/strong> rendue instable par un open interest record, une sp\u00e9culation effervescente, et des signaux techniques sous tension.<\/p>\n<p>Pour les investisseurs, cela implique une chose : ajuster la gestion des risques, garder un \u0153il sur <strong>les niveaux cl\u00e9s comme les 113\u202f000\u202f$<\/strong>, et rester attentif aux prochains marqueurs macro\u00e9conomiques.<\/p>\n<p>Le cap haussier n\u2019est pas remis en question \u00e0 moyen terme mais le chemin, lui, pourrait encore tanguer un peu avant la prochaine pouss\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin a r\u00e9cemment atteint un nouveau sommet historique \u00e0 123\u202f236\u202f$ le 14 juillet 2025. Mais \u00e0 peine deux semaines&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":4667,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,7],"tags":[15,68],"class_list":["post-4677","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","category-news","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-run","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin : Le pire est encore \u00e0 venir<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin n\u2019a pas encore touch\u00e9 son plancher selon Justin Spittler. 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