{"id":19437,"date":"2026-09-28T17:36:58","date_gmt":"2026-09-28T17:36:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=19437"},"modified":"2026-09-24T11:39:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-24T11:39:39","slug":"bitcoin-une-serie-de-gains-inedite-depuis-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-une-serie-de-gains-inedite-depuis-2012\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin : Une s\u00e9rie de gains in\u00e9dite depuis 2012 ?"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Le <strong>Bitcoin (BTC)<\/strong> a atteint le seuil des <strong>86 140 $<\/strong> cette semaine. Ce prix s\u2019inscrit dans une progression de <strong>10,9 %<\/strong> pour le mois de septembre, prolongeant un rallye que la cryptomonnaie n\u2019a connu qu\u2019une seule fois auparavant dans toute son histoire boursi\u00e8re.<\/p>\r\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" style=\"text-align: center;\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/09\/content-img-1-38.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\r\n<p>La question qui br\u00fble d\u00e9sormais les l\u00e8vres de tous les traders : le mois d\u2019octobre va-t-il briser cette s\u00e9rie ou pr\u00e9parer le terrain pour une explosion bien plus importante ?<\/p>\r\n<p>Le Bitcoin est en passe de cl\u00f4turer les mois de juillet, ao\u00fbt et septembre dans le vert, une s\u00e9quence de trois mois cons\u00e9cutifs observ\u00e9e pour la derni\u00e8re fois en <strong>2012<\/strong>.<\/p>\r\n<p><\/p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> is above all its key levels, which confirms a cycle bottom.<br><br>But that doesn't mean up-only.<br><br>IMO, Bitcoin will have an 8%-10% correction from here to flush out late longs. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/6hcvO5ziQ0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/6hcvO5ziQ0<\/a><\/p>\u2014 Ted (@TedPillows) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TedPillows\/status\/2102683515414577299?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">September 23, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\r\n<h2><span id=\"la_serie_victorieuse_de_juillet_a_septembre_sous_la_loupe\">La s\u00e9rie victorieuse de juillet \u00e0 septembre sous la loupe<\/span><\/h2>\r\n<p>La s\u00e9quence de 2026 s\u2019est manifest\u00e9e par une hausse de <strong>4,8 %<\/strong> en juillet, un bond de <strong>25,2 %<\/strong> en ao\u00fbt et une progression de <strong>10,9 %<\/strong> en septembre (donn\u00e9es arr\u00eat\u00e9es au 23 septembre selon CoinDesk). Le chiffre de septembre reste provisoire, le mois n\u2019\u00e9tant pas encore cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 au moment de la r\u00e9daction ; la confirmation d\u00e9pendra d\u2019une cl\u00f4ture positive et non d\u2019une simple figure graphique.<\/p>\r\n<p>Le seul pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent historique remonte \u00e0 2012, ann\u00e9e o\u00f9 le cours du BTC avait grimp\u00e9 de <strong>41,0 %<\/strong> en juillet, <strong>6,4 %<\/strong> en ao\u00fbt et <strong>24,4 %<\/strong> en septembre. Cette s\u00e9rie s\u2019\u00e9tait interrompue en octobre avec une baisse de <strong>9,7 %<\/strong>, touchant un point bas proche de <strong>10,17 $<\/strong> le 26 octobre.<\/p>\r\n<p>\u00c0 partir de ce creux, le Bitcoin avait entam\u00e9 une ascension de 165 jours pour atteindre environ <strong>230 $<\/strong> en avril 2013, soit un mouvement d\u00e9passant les <strong>2 000 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/09\/content-img-2-22.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/figure>\r\n\r\n<p>Ce chiffre constitue un contexte historique et non un objectif de prix pour 2026. L\u2019\u00e9chantillon statistique se limite \u00e0 un seul \u00e9v\u00e9nement, et CoinDesk pr\u00e9cise explicitement que cela ne suffit pas pour tirer des conclusions fiables sur la suite des \u00e9v\u00e9nements. Les traders souhaitant confronter cette configuration \u00e0 l\u2019action actuelle des prix trouveront plus d\u2019informations sur les dynamiques de r\u00e9sistance et de demande dans <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/news\/bitcoin-bull-market-close\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">cette analyse technique r\u00e9cente de la cl\u00f4ture du march\u00e9 du Bitcoin<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n<h2><span id=\"les_flux_des_etf_modernes_modifient_la_structure_du_marche\">Les flux des ETF modernes modifient la structure du march\u00e9<\/span><\/h2>\r\n<p>En 2012, le Bitcoin s\u2019\u00e9changeait autour de 10 $ et pouvait \u00eatre influenc\u00e9 par un groupe relativement restreint d\u2019acheteurs. Le march\u00e9 de 2026 n\u2019a plus rien \u00e0 voir : c\u2019est une classe d\u2019actifs de plusieurs billions de dollars, dot\u00e9e d\u2019une liquidit\u00e9 profonde sur les march\u00e9s au comptant (spot) et d\u00e9riv\u00e9s, r\u00e9partie sur des dizaines de plateformes.<\/p>\r\n<p>Les <strong>ETF Bitcoin au comptant<\/strong> ont attir\u00e9 plus de <strong>5,5 milliards de dollars<\/strong> depuis ao\u00fbt, selon les donn\u00e9es de SoSoValue. Vikram Subburaj, PDG de la plateforme Giottus, a averti qu\u2019une r\u00e9p\u00e9tition de l\u2019ampleur du rallye de 2012 ne peut \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme une attente raisonnable pour 2026. Il soutient que la durabilit\u00e9 des allocations institutionnelles importe d\u00e9sormais davantage que le pourcentage de variation historique lui-m\u00eame.<\/p>\r\n<p>Les lecteurs peuvent approfondir la mani\u00e8re dont cette tendance de flux interagit avec la <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/news\/bitcoin-etf-inflows-market-depth\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">profondeur du march\u00e9 et la liquidit\u00e9<\/a>, et si la <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/news\/bitcoin-etfs-inflows-rally-test\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">demande actuelle pour les ETF peut survivre au positionnement \u00e0 court terme<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n<h2><span id=\"ce_quoctobre_pourrait_reveler_deux_trajectoires_historiques_pour_le_bitcoin\">Ce qu\u2019octobre pourrait r\u00e9v\u00e9ler : deux trajectoires historiques pour le Bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Si septembre cl\u00f4ture en territoire positif et qu\u2019un \u00e9ventuel repli en octobre reproduit le sch\u00e9ma de 2012 plut\u00f4t que de le briser, le pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent montre qu\u2019une baisse peut pr\u00e9c\u00e9der une avance bien plus large : la course de 165 jours vers les 230 $ avait suivi directement le point bas du 26 octobre 2012. Certains mod\u00e8les de cycle sugg\u00e8rent qu\u2019une phase haussi\u00e8re pourrait s\u2019ouvrir vers octobre ou novembre.<\/li>\r\n<li>La s\u00e9rie de 2012 elle-m\u00eame s\u2019est termin\u00e9e en octobre par une chute de 9,7 %. Une r\u00e9p\u00e9tition confirmerait simplement que ce sch\u00e9ma rare ne garantit pas une continuation imm\u00e9diate. Avec la participation institutionnelle actuelle, une liquidit\u00e9 accrue et l\u2019exposition aux d\u00e9riv\u00e9s, un rallye \u00e9galant le pourcentage de progression de 2012 est beaucoup plus difficile \u00e0 orchestrer, quelle que soit la direction prise.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<p>Aucune de ces trajectoires n\u2019est garantie. La s\u00e9quence de 2012 est rare pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment parce qu\u2019elle ne s\u2019est produite qu\u2019une seule fois.<\/p>\r\n<p>La structure actuelle du Bitcoin, domin\u00e9e par les flux des ETF et le capital institutionnel plut\u00f4t que par un petit groupe d\u2019adoptants pr\u00e9coces, signifie qu\u2019octobre 2026 sera jug\u00e9 selon ses propres fondamentaux.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le Bitcoin enregistre une performance historique en septembre. D\u00e9couvrez pourquoi ce signal rare de 2012 captive les traders et l&rsquo;impact des ETF.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":158,"featured_media":19432,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-19437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin : Une s\u00e9rie de gains in\u00e9dite depuis 2012 ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"BTC atteint 86 140 $, prolongeant un rallye que la cryptomonnaie n&#039;a connu qu&#039;une seule fois auparavant dans toute son histoire boursi\u00e8re.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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