{"id":18889,"date":"2026-07-29T08:07:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-29T08:07:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=18889"},"modified":"2026-07-28T12:08:14","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T12:08:14","slug":"goldman-sachs-lia-booste-les-devises-dasie-et-les-cryptos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/goldman-sachs-lia-booste-les-devises-dasie-et-les-cryptos\/","title":{"rendered":"Goldman Sachs : L&rsquo;IA booste les devises d&rsquo;Asie et les cryptos"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Goldman Sachs vient de publier l\u2019une de ses pr\u00e9visions de change pour l\u2019Asie les plus marquantes de 2026, d\u00e9signant le won sud-cor\u00e9en, le dollar ta\u00efwanais et le ringgit malaisien comme les principaux b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires d\u2019un changement structurel port\u00e9 par l\u2019explosion mondiale des investissements dans l\u2019IA.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p><\/p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Asia\u2019s currency market is increasingly becoming a play on artificial intelligence, according to Goldman Sachs.<br><br>Here's what the bank said that means for markets.<br><br>Read more on CNBC Pro: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ldClstzDBb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/ldClstzDBb<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/XuK7UE25Xk\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/XuK7UE25Xk<\/a><\/p>\u2014 CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2081620623223050297?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 27, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\r\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Cette dynamique distingue nettement ces \u00e9conomies exportatrices de puces des importateurs d\u2019\u00e9nergie, tels que le baht tha\u00eflandais et la roupie indon\u00e9sienne, pour lesquels la banque pr\u00e9voit une stagnation persistante.<\/p>\r\n<p>L\u2019exc\u00e9dent de la balance courante de la Cor\u00e9e du Sud devrait presque doubler pour atteindre environ 300 milliards de dollars cette ann\u00e9e, soit 13,9 % du PIB. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, Ta\u00efwan projette un exc\u00e9dent de 25 % du PIB, le plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 d\u2019Asie, soutenu par des exportations de semi-conducteurs en plein essor et des avoirs substantiels en d\u00e9p\u00f4ts libell\u00e9s en USD.<\/p>\r\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2026\/07\/content-img-1-33.jpg\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\r\n<p>La fracture macro\u00e9conomique identifi\u00e9e par Goldman \u2014 entre les d\u00e9penses d\u2019investissement dans l\u2019IA et l\u2019exposition aux chocs d\u2019approvisionnement \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique \u2014 ne se limite pas aux bureaux de change. Une liquidit\u00e9 accrue en devises locales en Cor\u00e9e et \u00e0 Ta\u00efwan se traduit directement par une force de frappe financi\u00e8re plus importante sur les plateformes d\u2019\u00e9change crypto r\u00e9gionales, des positions plus agressives sur les jetons li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019IA et une expansion globale de la liquidit\u00e9 dans les march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents, cr\u00e9ant les conditions classiques pour une rotation vers les altcoins.<\/p>\r\n<p><\/p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Goldman Sachs lists Asian currencies riding the AI boom <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ymHOUFpi2X\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/ymHOUFpi2X<\/a><\/p>\u2014 CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/CNBC\/status\/2081595948770251246?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">July 27, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\r\n<p>La question cruciale que le march\u00e9 doit d\u00e9sormais trancher est de savoir si le cycle d\u2019investissement dans l\u2019IA durera assez longtemps pour transformer cette surperformance des devises en un soutien durable pour la liquidit\u00e9 crypto, ou si un retournement de sentiment sur l\u2019IA comprimera simultan\u00e9ment ces deux secteurs.<\/p>\r\n<h2><span id=\"fracture_des_devises_asiatiques_selon_goldman_sachs_limpact_macro_de_lia\">Fracture des devises asiatiques selon Goldman Sachs : l\u2019impact macro de l\u2019IA<\/span><\/h2>\r\n<p>Le contexte apporte un \u00e9clairage essentiel sur ces chiffres bruts. Goldman identifie deux forces qui redessinent les march\u00e9s macro\u00e9conomiques asiatiques en 2026 : un choc mondial de l\u2019offre \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique qui p\u00e8se sur les \u00e9conomies importatrices de p\u00e9trole, et un boom des investissements en IA qui g\u00e9n\u00e8re des revenus d\u2019exportation et des investissements directs \u00e9trangers (IDE) soutenus pour les hubs de semi-conducteurs.<\/p>\r\n<p>Selon l\u2019analyse de la banque, cette divergence est d\u00e9sormais le moteur dominant de la dispersion des taux de change au sein de l\u2019Asie.<\/p>\r\n<p>Concernant le won sud-cor\u00e9en, la th\u00e8se haussi\u00e8re de Goldman repose sur un exc\u00e9dent courant qui s\u2019\u00e9tend plus rapidement que ne peuvent le compenser les sorties de capitaux vers les actions \u00e9trang\u00e8res. La banque note que la r\u00e9duction des sorties de capitaux a att\u00e9nu\u00e9 la pression sur l\u2019exc\u00e9dent croissant, ouvrant la voie \u00e0 un rallye du won.<\/p>\r\n<p>Pour le dollar ta\u00efwanais, le m\u00e9canisme est similaire : des exportations de semi-conducteurs \u00e0 des niveaux records et un exc\u00e9dent courant de 25 % du PIB offrent un soutien structurel \u00e0 la monnaie, m\u00eame avec des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat maintenus stables.<\/p>\r\n<p>Le ringgit malaisien compl\u00e8te ce trio haussier, soutenu par une croissance \u00e9conomique r\u00e9siliente tir\u00e9e par l\u2019IA, de solides performances \u00e0 l\u2019exportation et des investissements directs \u00e9trangers durables.<\/p>\r\n<p>La banque se montre plus prudente ailleurs : la baisse des cours de l\u2019or et des taux r\u00e9els p\u00e8se sur le baht tha\u00eflandais ; l\u2019Indon\u00e9sie fait face \u00e0 des incertitudes sur sa gouvernance ; et le peso philippin reste sensible aux co\u00fbts \u00e9lev\u00e9s du p\u00e9trole. La Chine fait figure d\u2019exception : le yuan a progress\u00e9 de +3,32 % depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, \u00e9tant la seule monnaie asiatique en hausse face au dollar vert. Goldman maintient une pr\u00e9vision \u00e0 12 mois pour l\u2019USD\/CNY \u00e0 6,50, invoquant une sous-\u00e9valuation et l\u2019internationalisation du yuan.<\/p>\r\n<p>Toutefois, cette surperformance est relative. L\u2019indice du dollar (DXY) est en hausse de pr\u00e8s de +3 % en 2026, ce qui signifie que chaque devise asiatique li\u00e9e \u00e0 l\u2019IA favoris\u00e9e par Goldman a tout de m\u00eame perdu du terrain en termes absolus : le won est en baisse de -1,64 %, le ringgit de -0,67 % et le dollar ta\u00efwanais de -3,05 %.<\/p>\r\n<p>Les importateurs d\u2019\u00e9nergie ont subi un sort bien pire : la roupie indon\u00e9sienne a chut\u00e9 de 7,30 %, le baht de 5,97 % et le peso de 4,48 %. Le pari de Goldman est que cette divergence va persister \u2014 et s\u2019accentuer \u2014 tant que les investissements dans l\u2019IA resteront solides.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Goldman Sachs anticipe une explosion des surplus en Cor\u00e9e et Ta\u00efwan gr\u00e2ce \u00e0 l&rsquo;IA, favorisant une rotation vers les altcoins et les jetons AI.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":158,"featured_media":18887,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Goldman Sachs : L&#039;IA booste les devises d&#039;Asie et les 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