{"id":18492,"date":"2026-06-22T17:23:23","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T17:23:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=18492"},"modified":"2026-06-22T08:30:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T08:30:03","slug":"bitcoin-un-signal-dachat-rare-identifie-par-kraken","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-un-signal-dachat-rare-identifie-par-kraken\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin : un signal d&rsquo;achat rare identifi\u00e9 par Kraken"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Le Bitcoin s\u2019\u00e9change actuellement \u00e0 63 900 $, affichant une baisse de -1,8 % en 24 heures.<\/p>\r\n<p>Pourtant, l\u2019\u00e9conomiste en chef de Kraken vient de signaler l\u2019un des points d\u2019entr\u00e9e les plus fiables historiquement jamais produits par le march\u00e9.<\/p>\r\n<p>La configuration est pr\u00e9cise, les donn\u00e9es sont sans ambigu\u00eft\u00e9, et la fen\u00eatre d\u2019opportunit\u00e9 pourrait \u00eatre plus \u00e9troite que ne le pensent la plupart des traders. Voici ce que r\u00e9v\u00e8lent concr\u00e8tement les chiffres.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Thomas Perfumo, \u00e9conomiste en chef chez Kraken, souligne que le Bitcoin est pass\u00e9 sous sa moyenne mobile simple (SMA) sur 200 semaines \u00e0 deux reprises au cours des deux derni\u00e8res semaines, avant de cl\u00f4turer au-dessus \u00e0 chaque fois. Ce niveau, qui se situe actuellement aux alentours de 62 358 $, n\u2019a \u00e9t\u00e9 franchi que durant environ 10 % des jours de trading depuis la mi-2017.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><\/p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The Fed held at 3.5% to 3.75% today. The rate is the boring part.<br><br>Warsh's first FOMC statement is a wholesale communications shift.<br>\u27a1\ufe0f114 words, -53% vs April statement<br>\u27a1\ufe0fForward guidance removed<br>\u27a1\ufe0fUnanimous consensus (vs. 8-4 in April)<br>\u27a1\ufe0fA confident, \"The Committee will deliver\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/rR8Ky1mn2d\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/rR8Ky1mn2d<\/a><\/p>\u2014 Thomas Perfumo, CFA | thomasp.eth \ud83d\udc12 (@ThomasPerfumo) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ThomasPerfumo\/status\/2067311441174987263?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">June 17, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Les acheteurs ayant accumul\u00e9 sous ce seuil ont historiquement enregistr\u00e9 des rendements m\u00e9dians de 113 % sur un an et un chiffre impressionnant de 313 % sur deux ans. Le d\u00e9lai m\u00e9dian pour atteindre le point mort apr\u00e8s l\u2019entr\u00e9e n\u2019est que de deux jours. Quant au drawdown (baisse maximale) m\u00e9dian sur l\u2019ann\u00e9e suivante, il n\u2019est que de 9 %. Il ne s\u2019agit pas de moyennes choisies arbitrairement ; les chiffres m\u00e9dians permettent d\u2019\u00e9liminer la distorsion caus\u00e9e par les valeurs extr\u00eames, ce qui en fait l\u2019un des signaux statistiques les plus propres du secteur crypto.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Alors que le Bitcoin oscille juste au-dessus de cette zone d\u2019achat historique tandis que le momentum \u00e0 court terme s\u2019affaiblit, la question plus large est de savoir si ce repli repr\u00e9sente une phase d\u2019accumulation ou le d\u00e9but d\u2019une correction plus s\u00e9v\u00e8re. Des signaux d\u2019achat on-chain similaires se sont historiquement r\u00e9solus par une hausse, mais la confirmation reste essentielle.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span id=\"le_prix_du_btcusd_peut-il_reconquerir_les_66_000_et_viser_lobjectif_des_80_000\">Le prix du BTC\/USD peut-il reconqu\u00e9rir les 66 000 $ et viser l\u2019objectif des 80 000 $ ?<\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><\/p><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> <br><br>Very interesting pattern.<br><br>Every single time OIL nukes, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> ends up forming a macro bottom shortly after.<br><br>Right now, OIL is falling off a cliff while BTC is sitting roughly 52% below its highs.<br><br>If the historical relationship continues to hold, it would suggest that at\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/7AXgz6Abwf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/7AXgz6Abwf<\/a><\/p>\u2014 Killa (@KillaXBT) <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/KillaXBT\/status\/2067617234361438612?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">June 18, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.x.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>\u00c0 63 900 $ avec un mouvement de -2 % sur 24 heures, le Bitcoin consolide apr\u00e8s un repli li\u00e9 \u00e0 une aversion au risque depuis la zone des 65 000 $. Les indicateurs techniques montrent un RSI \u00e0 41,075 et un MACD n\u00e9gatif, avec un tableau des moyennes mobiles fortement orient\u00e9 vers des signaux de vente.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Les traders surveillent les 66 000 $ comme premier plafond de r\u00e9sistance significatif, tandis que le support se concentre dans la zone des 60 500 $ \u2013 61 000 $, juste au-dessus de cette SMA critique de 200 semaines.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Trois sc\u00e9narios m\u00e9ritent d\u2019\u00eatre cartographi\u00e9s ici :<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\r\n<li><strong>Sc\u00e9nario haussier :<\/strong> Le Bitcoin reconquiert les 66 000 $, le momentum redevient positif, et les analystes ciblant 79 537 $ comme d\u00e9clencheur de cassure voient leur th\u00e8se \u00e0 86 000 $ valid\u00e9e. Cela serait probablement port\u00e9 par de nouveaux flux entrants dans les ETF et un \u00ab\u00a0Golden Cross\u00a0\u00bb confirm\u00e9 sur des unit\u00e9s de temps sup\u00e9rieures.<\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Sc\u00e9nario de base :<\/strong> Le BTC \u00e9volue lat\u00e9ralement entre 62 000 $ et 66 000 $, comprimant la volatilit\u00e9 avant un mouvement directionnel que la plupart des traders manqueront en temps r\u00e9el.<\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Sc\u00e9nario baissier \/ invalidation :<\/strong> Une cl\u00f4ture hebdomadaire sous les 61 000 $ briserait la SMA de 200 semaines en cl\u00f4ture. Bien que cela soit historiquement rare, ce niveau doit \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9 comme un stop-loss strict pour les positions \u00e0 court terme.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>La SMA de 200 semaines \u00e0 62 358 $ est la ligne qui importe le plus actuellement. Elle a \u00e9t\u00e9 maintenue chaque semaine en cl\u00f4ture depuis 2017. Le prix pourrait la tester \u00e0 nouveau avant qu\u2019une reprise durable ne gagne du terrain.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span id=\"bitcoin_hyper_vise_un_avantage_precoce_alors_que_le_bitcoin_teste_des_niveaux_historiques\">Bitcoin Hyper vise un avantage pr\u00e9coce alors que le Bitcoin teste des niveaux historiques<\/span><\/h2>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Voici la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 inconfortable de l\u2019achat de Bitcoin au comptant \u00e0 64 000 $ : m\u00eame avec le rendement m\u00e9dian de 113 % sur un an d\u00e9crit par Kraken, le potentiel de hausse est limit\u00e9 par une capitalisation boursi\u00e8re qui se mesure d\u00e9j\u00e0 en billions.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Se positionner t\u00f4t dans la couche d\u2019infrastructure de Bitcoin, avant qu\u2019elle ne capture ce m\u00eame \u00e9lan macro\u00e9conomique, constitue un pari structurellement diff\u00e9rent. C\u2019est exactement l\u2019arbitrage autour duquel <a href=\"\/fr\/visit\/bitcoinhyper\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><strong>Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER)<\/strong><\/a> est construit.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Bitcoin Hyper se positionne comme le tout premier Layer 2 Bitcoin int\u00e9grant la Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), offrant une finalit\u00e9 de transaction en moins d\u2019une seconde et l\u2019ex\u00e9cution de contrats intelligents \u00e0 faible co\u00fbt, tout en h\u00e9ritant de la couche de s\u00e9curit\u00e9 de Bitcoin.<\/p>\r\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-16473\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin Hyper\" width=\"1274\" height=\"607\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334.png 1896w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334-300x143.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334-1024x488.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334-768x366.png 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334-130x63.png 130w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334-1536x732.png 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/12\/Capture-decran-2025-12-10-143334-1568x747.png 1568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1274px) 100vw, 1274px\"><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Le projet a d\u00e9j\u00e0 lev\u00e9 32 840 740,13 $ lors de sa pr\u00e9vente, avec des jetons actuellement au prix de 0,0136818 $. Le staking est actif avec des incitations APY \u00e9lev\u00e9es, et l\u2019architecture inclut un pont canonique d\u00e9centralis\u00e9 pour des transferts de BTC fluides.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Cela r\u00e9pond aux limitations fondamentales de Bitcoin concernant la vitesse, les frais et la programmabilit\u00e9 au sein d\u2019une pile technologique unique. Alors que le Bitcoin vise un retour vers les 70 000 $, les solutions d\u2019infrastructure Layer 2 amplifient historiquement le momentum de la cha\u00eene parente.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p><em>Cet article est fourni \u00e0 titre informatif uniquement et ne constitue pas un conseil financier. Les investissements en cryptomonnaies sont hautement volatils. Effectuez toujours vos propres recherches.<\/em><\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bitcoin teste sa moyenne mobile sur 200 semaines \u00e0 62 358 $. Kraken souligne un signal d&rsquo;achat historique offrant un rendement m\u00e9dian de 113 % sur un an.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":158,"featured_media":18491,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin : un signal d&#039;achat rare identifi\u00e9 par Kraken<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"L&#039;\u00e9conomiste en chef de Kraken vient de signaler l&#039;un des points d&#039;entr\u00e9e les plus fiables historiquement jamais produits par le march\u00e9.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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