{"id":16029,"date":"2025-12-01T14:30:56","date_gmt":"2025-12-01T14:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=16029"},"modified":"2025-12-01T22:29:29","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T22:29:29","slug":"pas-un-crash-comprendre-bear-market-structurel","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/pas-un-crash-comprendre-bear-market-structurel\/","title":{"rendered":"Pas un crash, comprendre le \u00ab\u00a0bear market\u00a0\u00bb structurel"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, les investisseurs d\u00e9couvrent un march\u00e9 crypto en plein repli. Le Bitcoin a perdu 4\u00a0000 $ en tout juste 2 heures et s\u2019est stabilis\u00e9 \u00e0 <strong>86\u00a0000 $ environ<\/strong>. Dans l\u2019ensemble, <strong>les principales cryptomonnaies ont recul\u00e9 de 6 % depuis hier<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Et pourtant, les analystes sont r\u00e9ticents \u00e0 parler d\u2019un crash. Ce repli, malgr\u00e9 son impact n\u00e9gatif, ne serait pas caus\u00e9 par une faille fondamentale du BTC ou des march\u00e9s crypto. Il s\u2019agit plut\u00f4t d\u2019une <strong>faille structurelle qui a affect\u00e9 l\u2019ensemble des march\u00e9s<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"crepuscule_des_marches_au_pays_du_soleil_levant\">Cr\u00e9puscule des march\u00e9s au Pays du Soleil Levant<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Hier, <a href=\"https:\/\/fr.tradingview.com\/symbols\/TVC-JP10Y\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">le rendement des obligations de l\u2019\u00c9tat japonais sur 10 ans<\/a> a grimp\u00e9 \u00e0 <strong>1,88 %<\/strong>. C\u2019est un indicateur que r\u00e9aliser un emprunt au Japon est devenu plus co\u00fbteux. Pour les analystes, c\u2019est surtout un pr\u00e9sage que les autorit\u00e9s pourraient adopter <strong>des mesures d\u2019aust\u00e9rit\u00e9<\/strong>. Une situation qui pourrait nuire aux investissements.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: Japan's 10Y Government Bond Yield surges to 1.84%, its highest level since April 2008.<\/p>\n<p>This chart is concerning to say the least. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/fBkMMyBnqy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/fBkMMyBnqy<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1995341836848972244?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">December 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>C\u2019est l\u2019indicateur qui a fait souffler <strong>un vent de peur sur les march\u00e9s<\/strong>. Et, tout comme les march\u00e9s traditionnels, les march\u00e9s crypto en ont fait les frais. Ainsi, le Bitcoin et <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/cmc20-coinmarketcap-inaugure-premier-jeton-index-bnb-chain\/\" rel=\"\">les principales cryptomonnaies du TOP 20<\/a> ont recul\u00e9 de <strong>plus de 6 % depuis la veille<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>C\u2019est toute <strong>l\u2019industrie du trading sur \u00e9cart de rendement qui s\u2019effondre<\/strong>. En effet, le Japon n\u2019avait pas enregistr\u00e9 une telle hausse de son taux <strong>depuis 2008.<\/strong> Et ceci intervient dans un contexte o\u00f9 la liquidit\u00e9 est d\u00e9j\u00e0 insuffisante pour alimenter les march\u00e9s crypto.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"une_liquidite_insuffisante_assoiffe_les_investisseurs\">Une liquidit\u00e9 insuffisante assoiffe les investisseurs<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Depuis hier, ce sont <a href=\"https:\/\/www.coinglass.com\/LiquidationData\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">plus de 600 millions $ en positions longues qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 purg\u00e9es<\/a>. D\u00e8s le d\u00e9but du repli, le BTC a affich\u00e9 une chandelle descendante impressionnante. Ceci a amen\u00e9 un cort\u00e8ge de liquidations des positions \u00e0 effet de levier encore trop abondantes.<\/p>\n<p>C\u2019est un effet domino dans lequel la hausse du volume de vente conspire avec <strong>le nombre important de positions \u00e0 effet de levier pour acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer le repli<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">BREAKING: Bitcoin falls -$4,000 in 2 hours as mass liquidations return.<\/p>\n<p>$400 million worth of levered longs have been liquidated over the last 60 minutes. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qKB7MYJapu\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/qKB7MYJapu<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KobeissiLetter\/status\/1995295289268371468?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">December 1, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>En termes simples, les taux r\u00e9duits permettaient aux investisseurs d\u2019emprunter au Japon pour investir ailleurs. Essentiellement ils pouvaient <strong>acheter des titres du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain<\/strong>, <strong>investir dans les cryptomonnaies<\/strong> ou r\u00e9aliser tout autre placement.<\/p>\n<p>Mais avec des <strong>taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat proches de 2 %<\/strong>, ce capital doit \u00eatre rapatri\u00e9 pour faire face \u00e0 la pression interne. Ceci se traduit par une reconfiguration des portefeuilles qui prive les cryptomonnaies d\u2019une <strong>source non n\u00e9gligeable de liquidit\u00e9<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"un_bear_market_structurel\">Un \u201cbear market\u201d structurel ?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>La baisse des cryptomonnaies observ\u00e9e aujourd\u2019hui n\u2019est pas le fruit d\u2019un probl\u00e8me fondamental des march\u00e9s crypto. Certes, les positions \u00e0 effet de levier constituent encore une part tr\u00e8s importante des positions ouvertes. C\u2019est ce qui <strong>amplifie autant les mouvements baissiers<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Mais, essentiellement, il faut percevoir le repli actuel comme une reconfiguration du risque. <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/mitigation-risques-utilite-emporte-sur-speculation\/\" rel=\"\">Les investisseurs perdent l\u2019app\u00e9tit du risque<\/a> et ont donc tendance \u00e0 se tourner vers les commodit\u00e9s et les actifs susceptibles d\u2019\u00eatre des refuges. C\u2019est pour cette raison que <strong>l\u2019or et l\u2019argent continuent de progresser<\/strong> malgr\u00e9 l\u2019annonce du rendement japonais.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aujourd\u2019hui, les investisseurs d\u00e9couvrent un march\u00e9 crypto en plein repli. Le Bitcoin a perdu 4\u00a0000 $ en tout juste&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":16032,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16029","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Pas un crash, comprendre le &quot;bear market&quot; structurel<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les march\u00e9s crypto ont recul\u00e9 de 6 % parce que les investisseurs anticipent un vide de liquidit\u00e9 apr\u00e8s les chiffres du rendement japonais\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link 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