{"id":15115,"date":"2025-11-17T17:30:55","date_gmt":"2025-11-17T17:30:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=15115"},"modified":"2025-11-17T17:20:53","modified_gmt":"2025-11-17T17:20:53","slug":"tom-lee-blame-une-erreur-de-teneur-de-marche-pour-la-chute-du-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/tom-lee-blame-une-erreur-de-teneur-de-marche-pour-la-chute-du-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Tom Lee bl\u00e2me une erreur de teneur de march\u00e9 pour la chute du Bitcoin"},"content":{"rendered":"

La r\u00e9cente chute du bitcoin ne serait pas le signe d\u2019un essoufflement de la crypto, mais le r\u00e9sultat d\u2019un dysfonctionnement dans les coulisses du march\u00e9.<\/strong> Tom Lee, pr\u00e9sident de BitMine et figure historique de Wall Street, \u00e9voque un trou dans le bilan d\u2019un ou plusieurs teneurs de march\u00e9, \u00e0 l\u2019origine d\u2019une vague de ventes forc\u00e9es. Pour lui, le choc est brutal, mais surtout temporaire.<\/p>\n

Un trou chez les teneurs de march\u00e9, pas dans le r\u00e9cit du Bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\n

Lee insiste que si le bitcoin plonge<\/a>, ce n\u2019est pas parce que les investisseurs se d\u00e9tournent de l\u2019actif ou que l\u2019adoption ralentit<\/strong>. Selon lui, la baisse vient d\u2019un d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre massif dans le bilan de certains teneurs de march\u00e9, ces acteurs qui assurent la liquidit\u00e9 au quotidien. Quand l\u2019un d\u2019eux se retrouve mal couvert, il doit vendre dans l\u2019urgence, et tout le march\u00e9 encaisse le choc.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ce type de faille structurelle cr\u00e9e une dynamique tr\u00e8s particuli\u00e8re. Les ordres de vente se superposent, les spreads s\u2019\u00e9largissent, la profondeur dispara\u00eet. Lee compare la situation<\/a> \u00e0 des requins tournant autour d\u2019une proie affaiblie.<\/strong> Des traders opportunistes profitent de la faiblesse pour pousser le prix du bitcoin plus bas. Cela d\u00e9clenche de nouveaux ordres de liquidation et alimentant la spirale.<\/p>\n

\"Cours<\/p>\n

Lors d\u2019une intervention r\u00e9cente, il n\u2019a pas exclu un recul total pouvant atteindre 50 % par rapport aux sommets, preuve selon lui non pas d\u2019un effondrement du narratif, mais d\u2019une fragilit\u00e9 de la micro-structure du march\u00e9 crypto. Les supports techniques c\u00e8dent, le sentiment se retourne, m<\/strong>ais en arri\u00e8re-plan, l\u2019adoption institutionnelle et l\u2019usage de Bitcoin continuent de progresser. Le sc\u00e9nario qu\u2019il dessine ressemble davantage \u00e0 une crise de plomberie financi\u00e8re qu\u2019\u00e0 un retournement de cycle.<\/p>\n

Stress de march\u00e9, liquidations en cha\u00eene et r\u00f4le du levier<\/span><\/h2>\n

Pour comprendre ce stress, il faut regarder du c\u00f4t\u00e9 du levier. Dans un march\u00e9 o\u00f9 une part importante des positions sur le bitcoin est financ\u00e9e \u00e0 cr\u00e9dit, la moindre acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration baissi\u00e8re d\u00e9clenche des appels de marge<\/strong>, puis des liquidations automatiques. Ce ne sont plus les investisseurs qui vendent par conviction, mais les plateformes elles-m\u00eames qui ferment de force les positions en perte.<\/p>\n

Tom Lee souligne que ce sont justement les traders les plus expos\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019effet de levier qui encaissent le choc le plus violent. Quand les teneurs de march\u00e9 r\u00e9duisent la voilure en m\u00eame temps que les plateformes liquident, le prix du bitcoin devient hypersensible,<\/strong> avec des mouvements qui n\u2019ont plus grand-chose \u00e0 voir avec la valeur fondamentale du r\u00e9seau ou de sa s\u00e9curit\u00e9. C\u2019est une volatilit\u00e9 d\u2019ing\u00e9nierie, pas une volatilit\u00e9 de conviction.<\/p>\n

Il \u00e9voque d\u2019ailleurs un horizon de six \u00e0 huit semaines pour voir les premi\u00e8res vraies respirations haussi\u00e8res, une fois le gros des liquidations absorb\u00e9 et la confiance revenue du c\u00f4t\u00e9 des teneurs de march\u00e9. Pour les investisseurs patients, cela ressemble plus \u00e0 une zone de turbulence qu\u2019\u00e0 l\u2019atterrissage d\u2019urgence du bitcoin.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ethereum en supercycle, macro en toile de fond<\/span><\/h2>\n

Pendant que le bitcoin encaisse ce choc de liquidit\u00e9, Lee mart\u00e8le que sa vision long terme sur Ethereum n\u2019a pas boug\u00e9 d\u2019un millim\u00e8tre.<\/strong> Il parle d\u2019un \u00ab supercycle \u00bb ETH, comparable \u00e0 celui qu\u2019a connu Bitcoin \u00e0 partir de 2017, port\u00e9 par l\u2019adoption institutionnelle et la mont\u00e9e en puissance des applications on-chain.<\/p>\n

\"Cours<\/p>\n

BitMine, qu\u2019il pr\u00e9side, illustre cette conviction<\/a>. L\u2019entreprise accumule des millions d\u2019ETH en tr\u00e9sorerie, dans une logique proche de celle de MicroStrategy avec le bitcoin, mais appliqu\u00e9e \u00e0 Ethereum. Ces achats, r\u00e9guli\u00e8rement communiqu\u00e9s au march\u00e9, servent de preuve concr\u00e8te que la strat\u00e9gie ne se limite pas \u00e0 un discours t\u00e9l\u00e9vis\u00e9.<\/strong>\u00a0 Si la finance traditionnelle migre sur la blockchain, une part significative de cette activit\u00e9 passera par l\u2019\u00e9cosyst\u00e8me ETH.<\/p>\n

En parall\u00e8le, la toile de fond macro reste tr\u00e8s politique. Le secr\u00e9taire au Tr\u00e9sor Scott Bessent<\/a> vise un accord \u00c9tats-Unis\u2013Chine sur les terres rares d\u2019ici Thanksgiving, afin d\u2019\u00e9viter une nouvelle guerre commerciale sur ces minerais cl\u00e9s pour la d\u00e9fense, l\u2019\u00e9nergie et la tech. Un tel compromis r\u00e9duirait le risque de choc suppl\u00e9mentaire sur les cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement<\/strong> et, par ricochet, sur la liquidit\u00e9 globale qui irrigue aussi les march\u00e9s crypto.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La r\u00e9cente chute du bitcoin ne serait pas le signe d\u2019un essoufflement de la crypto, mais le r\u00e9sultat d\u2019un…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":15116,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin : Tom Lee pointe un trou chez les teneurs de march\u00e9<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tom Lee explique que la baisse du Bitcoin vient d\u2019un d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre chez les teneurs de march\u00e9, un stress temporaire.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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