{"id":15024,"date":"2025-11-14T19:00:55","date_gmt":"2025-11-14T19:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=15024"},"modified":"2025-12-01T22:31:21","modified_gmt":"2025-12-01T22:31:21","slug":"opinion-faut-il-craindre-bear-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/opinion-faut-il-craindre-bear-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Opinion : faut-il craindre ce Bear Market ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le Bitcoin est fermement pass\u00e9 sous la barre des 100\u00a0000 $. Pour de nombreux investisseurs, c\u2019est la preuve que le Bear Market<\/strong> tant redout\u00e9 est enfin install\u00e9. Pourtant, les analystes se montrent moins pessimistes<\/strong> vis-\u00e0-vis de cette correction.<\/p>\n

Certes, le risque de voir<\/strong> le prix de BTC d\u00e9gringoler jusqu\u2019\u00e0 80\u00a0000 $<\/strong> ou moins est bien r\u00e9el. Mais, structurellement, les march\u00e9s crypto ne se sont jamais port\u00e9 aussi bien.<\/p>\n

Le Bear Market est-il r\u00e9ellement install ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

En ce moment, le Bitcoin plonge et il entra\u00eene les autres actifs dans sa chute. Mais, objectivement, les conditions d\u2019un Bear Market ne sont pas encore tout \u00e0 fait r\u00e9unies. De nombreux analystes soulignent que le repli du BTC n\u2019est pas d\u00fb \u00e0 une contraction du march\u00e9 ou \u00e0 des conditions d\u00e9favorables<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En effet, la baisse du prix de BTC est presque enti\u00e8rement imputable \u00e0 la pression des vendeurs<\/a>. Pour d\u00e9terminer si un v\u00e9ritable Bear Market s\u2019annonce, il faut plut\u00f4t se tourner vers les d\u00e9tenteurs de courte dur\u00e9e. Notamment, ceux qui se sont positionn\u00e9s lorsque le Bitcoin \u00e9tait \u00e0 94\u00a0000 $ environ<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"@ki_young_ju
Source : @ki_young_ju sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Si ces investisseurs se retirent, le BTC pourrait alors plonger sous 90\u00a0000 $<\/a>. Un signal qui confirmerait effectivement l\u2019entr\u00e9e dans un v\u00e9ritable Bear Market. Pour rappel, en ce moment le Bitcoin s\u2019\u00e9change \u00e0 95\u00a0900 $ environ<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Un Bear Market moins catastrophique que par le pass\u00e9 ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Quoi qu\u2019il en soit, les analystes se montrent peu pessimistes m\u00eame en cas de Bear Market<\/a>. Ils estiment que les conditions actuelles du march\u00e9 n\u2019ont rien d\u2019inqui\u00e9tant par rapport \u00e0 des phases baissi\u00e8res ant\u00e9rieures<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En 2022 par exemple, les scandales FTX<\/a>, Luna<\/strong> et 3AC<\/strong> \u00e9taient consid\u00e9rablement plus graves que le crash du 10 octobre dernier. De m\u00eame, l\u2019effondrement des NFT<\/strong>, la perte d\u2019\u00e9quivalence des stablecoins<\/strong>, l\u2019\u00e9touffement r\u00e9glementaire ont v\u00e9ritablement manqu\u00e9 d\u2019abattre la crypto.<\/p>\n

\"@apsk32
Source : @apsk32 sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

En comparaison, les march\u00e9s crypto actuels sont simplement secou\u00e9s par des rumeurs d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u00e9menties de ventes de BTC par Strategy<\/strong>. Essentiellement, les march\u00e9s sont simplement ralentis par un manque de liquidit\u00e9<\/strong>. Mais fondamentalement, l\u2019\u00e9cosyst\u00e8me crypto est nettement mieux structur\u00e9 et beaucoup plus robuste que par le pass\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Bear Market ou simple manque de liquidit\u00e9 ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Le shutdown du gouvernement a laiss\u00e9 un gouffre de liquidit\u00e9 qui affecte les march\u00e9s crypto. Ce manque de liquidit\u00e9 co\u00efncide avec la vente par les d\u00e9tenteurs de longue dur\u00e9e et l\u2019incertitude quant aux chiffres de l\u2019inflation. C\u2019est ce cocktail de circonstances malheureuses<\/strong> qui pousse le BTC vers le fond.<\/p>\n

Cependant, aucun de ces catalyseurs n\u00e9gatifs n\u2019impactera le BTC sur la dur\u00e9e<\/strong>. M\u00eame en cas d\u2019inflation galopante, les investisseurs ajusteront leurs strat\u00e9gies avant de trouver de meilleurs points d\u2019entr\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

De m\u00eame, la fin du shutdown et les mesures \u00e9conomiques de fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e devraient conduire \u00e0 un afflux de liquidit\u00e9 massif d\u00e8s le d\u00e9but de 2026<\/a>. Sans oublier que les d\u00e9tenteurs de longue dur\u00e9e du BTC seront bient\u00f4t \u00e0 court de munitions pour faire baisser le prix du BTC.<\/p>\n

En somme, ce Beark Market n\u2019en est pas v\u00e9ritablement un<\/strong> pour l\u2019instant. Les march\u00e9s crypto ont encore le potentiel de rebondir et le prix de BTC pourrait conna\u00eetre une hausse remarquable d\u00e8s le premier trimestre de 2026.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Le Bitcoin est fermement pass\u00e9 sous la barre des 100\u00a0000 $. Pour de nombreux investisseurs, c\u2019est la preuve que…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":15025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nOpinion : faut-il craindre ce Bear Market ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Le Bear Market est-il v\u00e9ritablement install\u00e9 ? 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