{"id":14736,"date":"2025-11-12T11:00:09","date_gmt":"2025-11-12T11:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=14736"},"modified":"2025-11-21T20:22:56","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T20:22:56","slug":"bitcoin-en-danger-baisse-prolongee-horizon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-en-danger-baisse-prolongee-horizon\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin en danger, une baisse prolong\u00e9e \u00e0 l’horizon ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Apr\u00e8s avoir flanch\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 98\u00a0000 $, le prix de BTC a rebondi pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir autour de 103\u00a0000 $<\/strong>. Ce rebond n\u2019a toutefois pas restaur\u00e9 la confiance des investisseurs. Et malgr\u00e9 des analyses optimistes qui promettent encore une hausse, les investisseurs restent prudents.<\/p>\n

En ce moment, les march\u00e9s retiennent leur souffle. Les craintes de correction<\/strong> et l\u2019\u00e9puisement de l\u2019\u00e9lan haussier<\/strong> font anticiper un repli. Cette h\u00e9sitation des march\u00e9s est aussi exacerb\u00e9e par de nouvelles incertitudes autour de la d\u00e9cision de la Fed<\/strong> concernant les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat.<\/p>\n

Le Bitcoin n\u2019a gagn\u00e9 que 13 % tout au long de 2025<\/span><\/h2>\n

Le Bitcoin n\u2019a pas \u00e9t\u00e9 particuli\u00e8rement performant cette ann\u00e9e. Depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, il n\u2019a gagn\u00e9 que 13 %<\/strong>, ce qui le rend moins int\u00e9ressant que d\u2019autres investissements comme le S&P 500<\/strong> qui a enregistr\u00e9 une progression de 17 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Cette faiblesse relative contraste avec les afflux dont les ETF Bitcoin<\/a> ont b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Les analystes partent du principe que le BTC perd en attractivit\u00e9 aux yeux des investisseurs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"@mikemcglone11
Source : @mikemcglone11 sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

D\u2019apr\u00e8s Mike McGlone<\/strong>, analyste chez Bloomberg<\/strong>, cette faiblesse relative pourrait continuer jusqu\u2019en 2026. Auquel cas, l\u2019actif peinera \u00e0 attirer les investisseurs sp\u00e9culatifs. En l\u2019absence de ces afflux, il d\u00e9pendra d\u2019autres catalyseurs pour se maintenir \u00e0 proximit\u00e9 105\u00a0000 $<\/strong>, sous peine de perdre son support.<\/p>\n

Un potentiel retour au support \u00e0 90\u00a0000 ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Depuis le 4 novembre, le Bitcoin a connu de nombreux rejets au-dessus de 105\u00a0000 $. En ce moment, le prix de BTC flotte entre 100\u00a0000 $ et 107\u00a0000 $<\/strong> avec une tendance baissi\u00e8re soutenue. Notons cependant qu\u2019au moment de la r\u00e9daction de cet article, les chandelles haussi\u00e8res se multiplient et le Bitcoin s\u2019\u00e9change \u00e0 105\u00a0000 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En cas de rejets r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s, il y a fort \u00e0 craindre que l\u2019actif perde son support \u00e0 100\u00a0000 $<\/a> et teste le prochain support autour de 90\u00a0000 $<\/a>. Dans une telle \u00e9ventualit\u00e9, le risque de flancher encore plus bas pour le Bitcoin<\/a> est bien r\u00e9el.<\/p>\n

\"@CryptoMichNL
Source : @CryptoMichNL sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Cette analyse souligne \u00e9galement que le BTC peut entamer une nouvelle p\u00e9riode haussi\u00e8re en cas de retour de liquidit\u00e9. En particulier, si l\u2019actif parvient \u00e0 se hisser jusqu\u2019\u00e0 107\u00a0200 $ et plus<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Une tendance baissi\u00e8re prolong\u00e9e du Bitcoin ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Globalement, les march\u00e9s sont incertains vis-\u00e0-vis du Bitcoin et de sa capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 rebondir sur le court terme<\/a>. Certains analystes soulignent par ailleurs qu\u2019une tendance baissi\u00e8re prolong\u00e9e pourrait arriver<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En effet, le prix de BTC dessine actuellement une configuration d\u00e9j\u00e0 observ\u00e9e entre 2015 \u2013 2018, puis entre 2018 et 2022. Si cette analyse est av\u00e9r\u00e9e, ceci signifierait que l\u2019actif entre potentiellement dans une p\u00e9riode hivernale avec une baisse lente tout au long de 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"@ali_charts
Source : @ali_charts sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Incertitude et volatilit\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin de 2025 ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Qu\u2019il s\u2019agisse des analystes optimistes ou des plus pessimistes, tous s\u2019accordent \u00e0 dire que les 6 prochaines semaines seront certainement tr\u00e8s volatiles. Mais, pour d\u00e9terminer dans quelle direction la tendance s\u2019\u00e9tablira, le prochain catalyseur marquant est la d\u00e9cision de la Fed<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Cette d\u00e9cision est attendue le 10 d\u00e9cembre au plus tard. Cependant, des sources indiquent que des conflits internes s\u2019articulent autour d\u2019une nouvelle baisse. Les analystes estiment qu\u2019il y a 66 % de chances qu\u2019une nouvelle baisse soit prononc\u00e9e<\/a>. Mais en attendant la d\u00e9cision dans 28 jours, cette probabilit\u00e9 pourrait chuter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Apr\u00e8s avoir flanch\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 98\u00a0000 $, le prix de BTC a rebondi pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir autour de 103\u00a0000 $. Ce…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":14744,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14736","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin en danger, une baisse prolong\u00e9e \u00e0 l'horizon ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Les analystes se montrent globalement pessimistes quant aux chances du Bitcoin de conna\u00eetre une nouvelle hausse avant 2026\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-en-danger-baisse-prolongee-horizon\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" 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