{"id":14304,"date":"2025-11-07T15:30:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T15:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=14304"},"modified":"2025-11-07T14:40:57","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T14:40:57","slug":"novogratz-cycle-pas-termine-bullish-crypto","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/novogratz-cycle-pas-termine-bullish-crypto\/","title":{"rendered":"Le cycle n&rsquo;est pas termin\u00e9 pour Mike Novogratz qui reste bullish sur les cryptos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La correction r\u00e9cente a raviv\u00e9 les doutes. Pourtant, <strong>Mike Novogratz<\/strong>, patron de <strong>Galaxy Digital<\/strong>, reste haussier. Selon lui, le march\u00e9 traverse une purge de levier classique mais constructive. Les flux au comptant tiennent, les acteurs institutionnels s\u2019organisent et la politique mon\u00e9taire pourrait devenir moins restrictive. Autrement dit, le cycle n\u2019a pas livr\u00e9 son sommet. La suite d\u00e9pendra de la reconqu\u00eate des niveaux cl\u00e9s et d\u2019une volatilit\u00e9 mieux contenue.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"novogratz_le_sommet_du_cycle_nest_pas_derriere_nous\">Novogratz\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0le sommet du cycle n\u2019est pas derri\u00e8re nous\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/h2>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24GLXY&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$GLXY<\/a> continues to work day after day building long term shareholder value.   Of course, I wish our stock went up every day but we can\u2019t control who buy and sells.  What we can do is invest for the future, chase down loose balls, and recruit great talent.  <\/p>\n<p>We are excited about\u2026<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mike Novogratz (@novogratz) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/novogratz\/status\/1986205051438698853?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 5, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/novogratz\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mike Novogratz<\/a> persiste et signe\u00a0: <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/fin-cycle-crypto-2025-ou-bull-run-2026\/\" rel=\"\"><strong>le cycle n\u2019a pas encore livr\u00e9 son sommet<\/strong><\/a>. Selon lui, la correction r\u00e9cente rel\u00e8ve surtout d\u2019un d\u00e9sendettement n\u00e9cessaire. Elle purifie le march\u00e9, r\u00e9duit le risque syst\u00e9mique et pr\u00e9pare la prochaine jambe haussi\u00e8re. \u00c0 court terme, la volatilit\u00e9 reste \u00e9lev\u00e9e, mais le socle de demande se renforce d\u00e8s que la pression vendeuse retombe.<\/p>\n<p>Il avance <strong>trois catalyseurs<\/strong> : la normalisation du levier sur les d\u00e9riv\u00e9s, qui assainit la structure du march\u00e9, la mont\u00e9e en puissance des flux au comptant, port\u00e9e par des v\u00e9hicules r\u00e9glement\u00e9s et des acteurs traditionnels, et un <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/fed-baisse-taux-fin-qt-marche-crypto\/\" rel=\"\"><strong>contexte mon\u00e9taire potentiellement plus souple<\/strong><\/a> si la banque centrale adopte un ton moins restrictif. Pris ensemble, ces \u00e9l\u00e9ments soutiennent, selon lui, une tendance haussi\u00e8re de fond.<\/p>\n<p>Il insiste \u00e9galement sur un changement discret mais puissant\u00a0: <strong>la maturation des portefeuilles<\/strong>. Les investisseurs de long terme arbitrent mieux, diversifient davantage et \u00e9vitent les emballements. Cette discipline amortit les chocs et favorise des phases d\u2019accumulation plus saines, propices aux breakouts durables.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"les_signaux_de_marche_que_linvestisseur_surveille\">Les signaux de march\u00e9 que l\u2019investisseur surveille<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Pour valider son sc\u00e9nario, Novogratz s\u2019appuie sur <strong>des signaux concrets<\/strong>. D\u2019abord, le retour au-dessus des niveaux psychologiques perdus pendant la phase de stress, avec des cl\u00f4tures hebdomadaires nettes. Ensuite, la respiration des indicateurs de levier\u00a0: financement, open interest et part des liquidations longues. Moins de levier implique moins d\u2019effet domino lors des secousses suivantes.<\/p>\n<p>Il suit aussi <strong>les flux au comptant<\/strong>, signes d\u2019un app\u00e9tit r\u00e9el hors produits \u00e0 marge. Lorsque ces flux se stabilisent apr\u00e8s une purge, la probabilit\u00e9 d\u2019une reprise organis\u00e9e augmente. Enfin, il observe l\u2019\u00e9lasticit\u00e9 de la demande\u00a0: la vitesse et la profondeur des rachats sur les creux. Plus le carnet absorbe vite l\u2019offre, plus la confiance revient.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4t\u00e9 narratif, il note un basculement progressif. Apr\u00e8s la peur, les discussions se tournent vers des <strong>th\u00e8ses de reconstruction<\/strong>\u00a0: retours de tr\u00e9soreries d\u2019entreprises, tokenisation plus visible, solutions de paiement int\u00e9grant des stablecoins. Ces th\u00e8mes ravivent l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat des institutionnels et cr\u00e9ent de nouveaux points d\u2019entr\u00e9e moins d\u00e9pendants du seul prix du Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"altcoins_infrastructures_et_tokenisation_ou_se_jouent_les_prochaines_performances\">Altcoins, infrastructures et tokenisation\u00a0: o\u00f9 se jouent les prochaines performances<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Novogratz ne limite pas son optimisme \u00e0 Bitcoin. Il identifie des poches de valeur dans les <strong>infrastructures crypto<\/strong>\u00a0: solutions de scalabilit\u00e9, gestion des donn\u00e9es, s\u00e9curit\u00e9 et garde. Ces briques captent des revenus r\u00e9currents et profitent directement de la croissance on-chain. Lorsque la volatilit\u00e9 baisse, les flux se r\u00e9allouent souvent vers ces actifs de base, jug\u00e9s plus lisibles par les comit\u00e9s d\u2019investissement.<\/p>\n<p>Il \u00e9voque aussi deux moteurs latents\u00a0: la <strong>tokenisation d\u2019actifs r\u00e9els<\/strong> (d\u00e9p\u00f4ts tokenis\u00e9s, obligations courtes, parts de fonds mon\u00e9taires) et l\u2019<strong>hybridation IA-crypto<\/strong>. Dans le premier cas, les banques et gestionnaires d\u2019actifs multiplient les pilotes et les int\u00e9grations progressives. Dans le second, les agents intelligents automatisent identit\u00e9, tra\u00e7abilit\u00e9 et paiements programmables. Ces croisements g\u00e9n\u00e8rent une demande d\u2019usage plus stable et des revenus on-chain moins cycliques.<\/p>\n<p>Pour les altcoins, la feuille de route est claire : stabilisation de la dominance du BTC, accumulation sur les projets fondamentaux (cash-flows, TVL durable, roadmaps livr\u00e9es), puis identification de catalyseurs pr\u00e9cis (mises \u00e0 jour r\u00e9seau, listings, partenariats industriels). Sans ces jalons, les rebonds resteront tactiques, avec eux, une rotation haussi\u00e8re peut s\u2019installer \u00e9tape par \u00e9tape.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"comment_se_positionner_dans_un_marche_encore_nerveux\">Comment se positionner dans un march\u00e9 encore nerveux<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>La strat\u00e9gie de Novogratz repose sur un principe simple\u00a0: <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-sous-100000-capitulation-bearmarket\/\" rel=\"\">survivre aux purges pour profiter des expansions<\/a>. Il pr\u00e9conise <strong>une gestion du risque stricte<\/strong>\u00a0: exposition graduelle, stops r\u00e9fl\u00e9chis et pr\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour des achats au comptant sur zones d\u2019accumulation plut\u00f4t que des paris agressifs au levier. Cette m\u00e9thode r\u00e9duit les erreurs irr\u00e9m\u00e9diables et maximise le temps de march\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Il recommande \u00e9galement de hi\u00e9rarchiser les positions\u00a0: un noyau <strong>BTC\/ETH<\/strong> pour la robustesse, une exposition mesur\u00e9e aux <strong>infrastructures g\u00e9n\u00e9ratrices de revenus on-chain<\/strong>, et des satellites plus opportunistes selon les catalyseurs. Enfin, il rappelle l\u2019importance du contexte macro\u00e9conomique\u00a0: <strong>une politique mon\u00e9taire plus accommodante<\/strong> modifie rapidement la fonction de r\u00e9action des march\u00e9s et r\u00e9ouvre des fen\u00eatres d\u2019opportunit\u00e9 pour le risque.<\/p>\n<p>En somme, son message reste haussier, mais disciplin\u00e9. <strong>Le cycle, selon lui, n\u2019est pas termin\u00e9<\/strong>. Il se recompose autour d\u2019acteurs plus solides, de flux institutionnels et d\u2019usages plus concrets. Si les signaux techniques confirment et que la macro ne s\u2019oppose pas, le march\u00e9 pourrait encore surprendre positivement.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La correction r\u00e9cente a raviv\u00e9 les doutes. Pourtant, Mike Novogratz, patron de Galaxy Digital, reste haussier. Selon lui, le&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":245,"featured_media":14327,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Le cycle n&#039;est pas termin\u00e9 pour Mike Novogratz qui reste bullish sur les cryptos<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Mike Novogratz affirme que le cycle crypto n\u2019a pas atteint son sommet. 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