{"id":14289,"date":"2025-11-07T14:37:20","date_gmt":"2025-11-07T14:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=14289"},"modified":"2025-11-07T14:37:28","modified_gmt":"2025-11-07T14:37:28","slug":"bitcoin-a-100-000-mais-cap-sur-56-000-selon-bloomberg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-a-100-000-mais-cap-sur-56-000-selon-bloomberg\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin \u00e0 100 000 $, mais cap sur 56 000 $ selon Bloomberg"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c0 100 000 $, bitcoin reste sur le fil. Pour Mike McGlone (Bloomberg Intelligence), ce palier n\u2019est qu\u2019un dos d\u2019\u00e2ne sur la route d\u2019un retour vers 56 000 $. D\u2019autres lectures, on-chain, sugg\u00e8rent pourtant <strong>un simple creux de cycle, sans panique apparente.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"cap_sur_56_000__la_these_de_mcglone\">Cap sur 56 000 $ : la th\u00e8se de McGlone<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>\u201c100 000 $ est un speed bump vers 56 000 $\u201d. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikemcglone11\/status\/1986461312507945417\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">McGlone<\/a> s\u2019appuie sur un r\u00e9flexe bien connu du march\u00e9. Apr\u00e8s <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-la-fed-et-hyper-le-pousseront-ils-a-126k\/\" rel=\"\">des rallies \u00e9tir\u00e9s<\/a>, Bitcoin tend \u00e0 revenir vers sa moyenne mobile de 48 mois, aujourd\u2019hui proche de 56 000 $. Cette m\u00e9canique, observ\u00e9e sur plusieurs cycles, justifie selon lui un recul plus profond que celui d\u00e9j\u00e0 encaiss\u00e9.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">$100,000 Bitcoin \u2013 a Speed Bump Toward $56,000?<br>\"Look at the chart\" has been a mantra from Bitcoin bulls, but the market gods can refresh humility when prices stretch too far. Synonymous with humility is mean reversion, and my look at the chart shows how normal it's been for the\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ijzJ8L4SjT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/ijzJ8L4SjT<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikemcglone11\/status\/1986461312507945417?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 6, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Ce diagnostic s\u2019inscrit dans un contexte plus large de normalisation. Les derni\u00e8res semaines ont vu l\u2019actif glisser sous des niveaux techniques clefs, ce qui nourrit la tentation de <strong>laisser faire la gravit\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 une zone de valeur plus basse<\/strong>. L\u2019id\u00e9e n\u2019implique pas un naufrage structurel, mais un retour \u00e0 la moyenne, classique en fin d\u2019impulsion.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14290 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2.png\" alt=\"Cours Bitcoin\" width=\"1640\" height=\"820\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2.png 1640w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2-1024x512.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2-1536x768.png 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-2-1568x784.png 1568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1640px) 100vw, 1640px\"><\/p>\n<p>Reste l\u2019angle psychologique. \u00c0 100 000 $, le chiffre rond sert de totem. Le casser bri\u00e8vement ne suffit pas \u00e0 conclure. La question est plut\u00f4t de savoir si la demande revient sur repli ou si le march\u00e9 laisse filer vers cette moyenne de long terme. Pour l\u2019instant, l\u2019\u00e9quilibre demeure fragile.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"des_signaux_on-chain_qui_temperent_la_peur\">Des signaux on-chain qui temp\u00e8rent la peur<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le contre-r\u00e9cit tient en un chiffre de 3,1 %. C\u2019est le niveau actuel du Relative Unrealized Loss, <a href=\"https:\/\/insights.glassnode.com\/the-week-onchain-week-44-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">l\u2019indicateur Glassnode<\/a> qui mesure les pertes latentes rapport\u00e9es \u00e0 la capitalisation. Un niveau mod\u00e9r\u00e9, comparable aux corrections de milieu de cycle observ\u00e9es en 2024 et au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2025, et loin des extr\u00eames du march\u00e9 baissier 2022\u20132023. Autrement dit, il s\u2019agit de <strong>la revalorisation ordonn\u00e9e, pas de capitulation.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14292 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Bitcoin-price.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin price\" width=\"1175\" height=\"631\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Bitcoin-price.png 1175w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Bitcoin-price-300x161.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Bitcoin-price-1024x550.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Bitcoin-price-768x412.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1175px) 100vw, 1175px\"><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-sous-100000-capitulation-bearmarket\/\" rel=\"\">La chute sous 100 000 $<\/a> jusqu\u2019\u00e0 98 000 $ le 4 novembre a marqu\u00e9 un point bas local, avant un retour au-dessus de 101 000 $ au moment des derni\u00e8res publications. <strong>Ce comportement, heurt\u00e9 mais sans d\u00e9bandade<\/strong>, cadre avec l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019une respiration plut\u00f4t que d\u2019une d\u00e9route.<\/p>\n<p>il sugg\u00e8re que le prix de march\u00e9 se rapproche du co\u00fbt moyen des investisseurs, ce qui, historiquement, co\u00efncide souvent avec des zones d\u2019accumulation discr\u00e8te. Rien d\u2019infaillible, mais un \u00e9clairage de plus qui limite l\u2019alarmisme.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"lombre_de_lor_et_le_souffle_des_etf_bitcoin\">L\u2019ombre de l\u2019or et le souffle des ETF Bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Pour JPMorgan, Bitcoin para\u00eet \u201cbon march\u00e9\u201d face \u00e0 l\u2019or une fois ajust\u00e9 de la volatilit\u00e9. Leur mod\u00e8le d\u2019alignement sur l\u2019investissement priv\u00e9 dans le m\u00e9tal jaune sugg\u00e8re<strong> un juste prix autour de 170 000<\/strong> $ sur un horizon de six \u00e0 douze mois, apr\u00e8s un \u00e9pisode de d\u00e9lestage des produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s d\u00e9sormais \u201clargement derri\u00e8re nous\u201d. <strong>Une th\u00e8se qui place la correction actuelle<\/strong> dans un continuum de rattrapage, pas de rupture.<\/p>\n<p>Ce regard s\u2019articule avec <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/etf-bitcoin-saignent-plus-de-2-milliards-de-dollars-envoles\/\" rel=\"\">la m\u00e9canique des flux.<\/a> Glassnode pointe des sorties sur les ETF au comptant et un app\u00e9tit moindre des traders pour le levier, signes d\u2019un march\u00e9 qui se met en retrait sans paniquer. Moins d\u2019entr\u00e9es, plus de prudence. De quoi comprimer la prime de momentum, sans condamner l\u2019actif si la demande revient.<\/p>\n<p>Toutefois, la concurrence silencieuse des stablecoins dans les \u00e9conomies \u00e9mergentes. Cathie Wood (ARK Invest) a d\u2019ailleurs revu \u00e0 la baisse, de 300 000 $, sa projection long terme, estimant que <strong>ces monnaies stables grignotent le r\u00f4le d\u2019\u00e9pargne autrefois promis \u00e0 Bitcoin<\/strong> dans ces zones. Le signal est strat\u00e9gique : l\u2019usage quotidien et la r\u00e9serve de valeur se partagent d\u00e9sormais le terrain.<\/p>\n<p>Si la logique de retour \u00e0 la moyenne domine, <strong>la trajectoire vers 56 000 $ deviendra plausible<\/strong>, ne serait-ce que par inertie statistique. Les investisseurs y verraient une zone de re-accumulation naturelle, \u00e0 condition que la liquidit\u00e9 ne se d\u00e9robe pas davantage. \u00c0 court terme, 100 000 $ reste un champ de bataille.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c0 100 000 $, bitcoin reste sur le fil. Pour Mike McGlone (Bloomberg Intelligence), ce palier n\u2019est qu\u2019un dos&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":14291,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14289","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin \u00e0 100 000 $ : Bloomberg pr\u00e9voit une chute vers 56 000 $<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin \u00e0 100 000 $ : Bloomberg anticipe un repli vers 56 000 $, mais les donn\u00e9es on-chain indiquent une correction ordonn\u00e9e.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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