{"id":14057,"date":"2025-11-05T15:03:41","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T15:03:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=14057"},"modified":"2025-11-05T15:06:03","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T15:06:03","slug":"bain-de-sang-marche-crypto-3-indicateurs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bain-de-sang-marche-crypto-3-indicateurs\/","title":{"rendered":"Bain de sang sur le march\u00e9 crypto : ces 3 indicateurs sont cruciaux"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le march\u00e9 crypto s\u2019est enfonc\u00e9. <strong>Bitcoin est repass\u00e9 sous les 100 000 $<\/strong>. Pourtant, trois signaux macro et on-chain dessinent d\u00e9j\u00e0 un possible plancher. Leur lecture rapide aide \u00e0 \u00e9viter les faux rebonds et \u00e0 rep\u00e9rer un retour de flux.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"liquidite_de_la_fed\">Liquidit\u00e9 de la Fed<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>La R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a annonc\u00e9<strong> la fin de la r\u00e9duction de bilan d\u00e8s le 1er d\u00e9cembre<\/strong>, autour d\u2019un niveau de 6,6 billions $. Elle va r\u00e9investir les titres arrivant \u00e0 maturit\u00e9<strong>.<\/strong> C\u2019est un pivot technique, pas encore du QE, mais c\u2019est d\u00e9j\u00e0 moins de pression sur la liquidit\u00e9. Pour les actifs risqu\u00e9s, crypto comprise, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-hyper-la-fed-assouplit-envolee-du-btc\/\" rel=\"\">le souffle est imm\u00e9diat<\/a> quand le robinet cesse de se refermer.<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8 BREAKING<\/p>\n<p>The FED printed $3.4 billion today, bringing the total to $41.5 billion printed in the last few days.<\/p>\n<p>This is the biggest money printing event of the last 5 years.<\/p>\n<p>The crypto market is about to go parabolic. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qbSzexJrCn\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/qbSzexJrCn<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Alex Mason \ud83d\udc41\u25b3 (@AlexMasonCrypto) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlexMasonCrypto\/status\/1985877110444212284?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 5, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Signe compl\u00e9mentaire, l\u2019utilisation du Standing Repo Facility a bondi fin octobre. La Fed a inject\u00e9 29,4 milliards $ en une s\u00e9ance, un niveau record depuis la mise en place de l\u2019outil. Cela ne change pas la tendance \u00e0 lui seul, mais cela amortit les tensions de financement quand les r\u00e9serves bancaires se rapprochent de 2,8 billions $. <strong>Moins de stress interbancaire, plus de marge pour les march\u00e9s.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14061 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Fed-robinet-Bitcoin.jpg\" alt=\"Crypto Fed robinet Bitcoin.\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Fed-robinet-Bitcoin.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Fed-robinet-Bitcoin-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Fed-robinet-Bitcoin-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Fed-robinet-Bitcoin-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Fed-robinet-Bitcoin-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\"><\/p>\n<p>Ce couple \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/fed-baisse-taux-fin-qt-marche-crypto\/\" rel=\"\">fin de QT + SRF actif<\/a>\u201d n\u2019implique pas une reprise en ligne droite. Le message, en revanche, est clair : le durcissement quantitatif fait une pause. Historiquement, les cryptos respirent quand le bilan de la Fed cesse de se contracter, m\u00eame si la volatilit\u00e9 reste \u00e9lev\u00e9e. Le timing des flux ETF fera le reste.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"detente_commerciale_chineusa\">D\u00e9tente commerciale Chine\u2013USA<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/china\/china-confirms-suspension-24-tariff-us-goods-retains-10-levy-2025-11-05\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">P\u00e9kin prolonge la suspension du tarif<\/a> additionnel de 24 % sur une s\u00e9rie d\u2019importations am\u00e9ricaines pendant un an, tout en maintenant un pr\u00e9l\u00e8vement de 10 % sur d\u2019autres lignes. Le geste ne r\u00e8gle pas tout, mais<a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-pire-octobre-novembre\/\" rel=\"\"> il enl\u00e8ve un facteur d\u2019incertitude globale<\/a>. Et les march\u00e9s d\u2019actifs risqu\u00e9s aiment l\u2019absence de mauvaises surprises.<\/p>\n<p>Concr\u00e8tement, des droits plus pr\u00e9visibles fluidifient les cha\u00eenes d\u2019approvisionnement et <strong>stabilisent les anticipations de prix<\/strong>. Cela peut r\u00e9duire la prime de risque exig\u00e9e par les investisseurs. M\u00eame indirectement, cette d\u00e9tente soutient les app\u00e9tits pour le risque et, par ricochet, la profondeur sur Bitcoin et les grandes capitalisations crypto.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14063 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Detente-Chine%E2%80%93USA-opposes.jpg\" alt=\"Crypto D\u00e9tente Chine\u2013USA oppos\u00e9s\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Detente-Chine\u2013USA-opposes.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Detente-Chine\u2013USA-opposes-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Detente-Chine\u2013USA-opposes-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Detente-Chine\u2013USA-opposes-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/Crypto-Detente-Chine\u2013USA-opposes-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\"><\/p>\n<p>Le lien n\u2019est pas m\u00e9canique. Mais dans un march\u00e9 en qu\u00eate de catalyseurs positifs, toute d\u00e9crue des tensions commerciales nourrit l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019un plancher macro. C\u2019est d\u2019autant plus vrai quand la baisse des cryptos s\u2019est accompagn\u00e9e d\u2019un recul coordonn\u00e9 des autres actifs risqu\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"les_baleines_crypto_bougent_les_bourses_absorbent\">Les baleines crypto bougent, les bourses absorbent<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><strong>La cassure sous 100 000 $ a d\u00e9clench\u00e9 des afflux vers les exchanges<\/strong>. Des milliards de dollars de bitcoin ont transit\u00e9 ces derniers jours, illustrant \u00e0 la fois des prises de profits et des achats opportunistes. La photographie n\u2019est pas binaire. Ce m\u00e9lange d\u2019offre et de demande contribue \u00e0 <strong>stabiliser la zone psychologique \u00e0 six chiffres,<\/strong> sans garantir un rebond vertical.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14060 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/BTCUSD_2025-11-05_13-22-25.png\" alt=\"Cours bitcoin\" width=\"983\" height=\"597\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/BTCUSD_2025-11-05_13-22-25.png 983w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/BTCUSD_2025-11-05_13-22-25-300x182.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/11\/BTCUSD_2025-11-05_13-22-25-768x466.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 983px) 100vw, 983px\"><\/p>\n<p>Des analyses on-chain montrent aussi une forte \u201crevival\u201d d\u2019offre dormante en 2025. Des stocks anciens reviennent sur le march\u00e9, parfois pour arbitrer entre d\u00e9riv\u00e9s et spot. Ce mouvement n\u2019est pas n\u00e9cessairement baissier si la contrepartie en face est institutionnelle et patiente. La cl\u00e9 devient la profondeur de carnet et la liquidit\u00e9 d\u00e9riv\u00e9e sur options.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4t\u00e9 structure de march\u00e9, plusieurs traders jugent 2025 plus sain que 2022. Mais ils pr\u00e9viennent. <strong>La vraie reprise exige des flux frais des ETF et produits list\u00e9s<\/strong>. Autrement dit, le facteur \u201cliquidit\u00e9 syst\u00e9mique\u201d domine le storytelling du halving. Suivre les entr\u00e9es nettes et la courbe des bases sur futures devient plus instructif que de r\u00e9p\u00e9ter un cycle quadriennal affaibli.<\/p>\n<p>Le bain de sang est factuel. <strong>Bitcoin a enfonc\u00e9 100 000 $ pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis juin<\/strong>, effa\u00e7ant plus de 20 % depuis <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-corrige-apres-ath-126k-uptober-peril\/\" rel=\"\">le pic du 6 octobre<\/a> et pr\u00e8s de 1 000 milliards $ de capitalisation crypto. Dans ce cas, trois indicateurs prennent le dessus : la m\u00e9canique de bilan de la Fed, la d\u00e9tente commerciale sino-am\u00e9ricaine, et les flux on-chain vers les exchanges. Leur trajectoire, plus que les r\u00e9cits, dicter<strong>a la vitesse d\u2019un \u00e9ventuel redressement.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le march\u00e9 crypto s\u2019est enfonc\u00e9. Bitcoin est repass\u00e9 sous les 100 000 $. Pourtant, trois signaux macro et on-chain&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":14059,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[61],"class_list":["post-14057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-crypto","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bain de sang sur le march\u00e9 crypto : 3 indicateurs cl\u00e9s<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"March\u00e9 crypto en chute. 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