{"id":14037,"date":"2025-11-05T11:00:36","date_gmt":"2025-11-05T11:00:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=14037"},"modified":"2025-11-05T10:53:11","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T10:53:11","slug":"bitcoin-sous-100000-capitulation-bearmarket","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-sous-100000-capitulation-bearmarket\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin s&rsquo;effondre sous les 100 000$ : les investisseurs capitulent craignant le bearmarket"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le seuil symbolique des 100\u00a0000\u00a0$ vient de c\u00e9der. En quelques heures, Bitcoin a plong\u00e9 sous ce niveau, provoquant une vague de liquidations estim\u00e9e \u00e0 plus de <strong>2,5\u00a0milliards de dollars<\/strong> selon plusieurs plateformes d\u2019analyse. Le choc a entra\u00een\u00e9 une chute brutale des altcoins, amplifiant le sentiment de panique. Les march\u00e9s oscillent entre capitulation \u00e9motionnelle et attente d\u2019un rebond technique. De nombreux investisseurs redoutent un retour prolong\u00e9 du <strong>bearmarket<\/strong>, tandis que certains analystes voient dans cette purge un nettoyage sain avant la prochaine phase haussi\u00e8re.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"psychologie_de_marche_peur_capitulation_et_attentes_contradictoires\">Psychologie de march\u00e9\u00a0: peur, capitulation et attentes contradictoires<\/span><\/h2>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin \u2013 finally all that liquidity has been swept.<\/p>\n<p>Now or never.<\/p>\n<p>It's all set for a rebound. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MMIUwiMcXZ\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/MMIUwiMcXZ<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Stockmoney Lizards (@StockmoneyL) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StockmoneyL\/status\/1985833258534293543?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>La cassure des 100 000 $ agit comme un <strong>d\u00e9clencheur psychologique<\/strong>. Les traders fortement expos\u00e9s ont \u00e9t\u00e9 liquid\u00e9s en cha\u00eene, accentuant la chute. Le ratio de positions longues s\u2019est effondr\u00e9 sur les exchanges, tandis que les indicateurs de sentiment montrent un retour \u00e0 la peur extr\u00eame. Cependant, plusieurs analystes rappellent que ce type de correction marque souvent la fin d\u2019un exc\u00e8s. Selon CryptoQuant, une purge de cette ampleur r\u00e9initialise le march\u00e9 et peut pr\u00e9parer le terrain pour un nouveau cycle d\u2019accumulation. Le sc\u00e9nario inverse, <strong>une glissade prolong\u00e9e vers 72 000 $<\/strong>, \u00e9voqu\u00e9e dans leurs mod\u00e8les, d\u00e9pendra de la capacit\u00e9 du Bitcoin \u00e0 reconqu\u00e9rir rapidement son ancien support. Certains voient m\u00eame <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/le-bitcoin-pourrait-chuter-jusqua-22-000\/\" rel=\"\">Bitcoin chuter jusqu\u2019\u00e0 22 000$<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Les investisseurs institutionnels, eux, n\u2019ont pas massivement vendu. Les donn\u00e9es on-chain montrent des <strong>sorties mod\u00e9r\u00e9es des portefeuilles de long terme<\/strong>. Cette divergence nourrit l\u2019espoir d\u2019une stabilisation progressive, m\u00eame si la volatilit\u00e9 pourrait rester \u00e9lev\u00e9e pendant plusieurs semaines.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"scenarios_possibles_reprise_lateralisation_ou_correction_prolongee\">Sc\u00e9narios possibles\u00a0: reprise, lat\u00e9ralisation ou correction prolong\u00e9e<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Trois trajectoires se dessinent. La premi\u00e8re\u00a0: une <strong>reconqu\u00eate rapide des 100\u00a0000\u00a0$<\/strong>, avec une cl\u00f4ture hebdomadaire au-dessus du seuil, signalant la fin de la panique. Ce sc\u00e9nario maintiendrait la structure haussi\u00e8re de long terme. La deuxi\u00e8me\u00a0: une phase de <strong>range lat\u00e9ral entre 90\u00a0000\u00a0$ et 105\u00a0000\u00a0$<\/strong>, permettant au march\u00e9 de dig\u00e9rer le levier et de reconstruire une base solide. Enfin, la troisi\u00e8me, plus pessimiste, verrait un <strong>retour vers 80\u00a0000\u00a0$ voire 72\u00a0000\u00a0$<\/strong>, zone cit\u00e9e par plusieurs analystes techniques. Dans ce cas, les altcoins subiraient un nouvel \u00e9pisode de capitulation, avec des pertes parfois sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 30\u00a0%.<\/p>\n<p>Pour les investisseurs, <strong>la prudence domine<\/strong>. Le march\u00e9 reste fragile, mais des signaux de divergence haussi\u00e8re apparaissent sur certains indicateurs comme le RSI et le volume d\u2019accumulation. Ces signaux laissent esp\u00e9rer une <strong>stabilisation progressive<\/strong> si la pression vendeuse continue de diminuer. <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptohayes.substack.com\/p\/hallelujah\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Selon Arthur Hayes<\/a>, il faut s\u2019attendre \u00e0 un march\u00e9 compliqu\u00e9 jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin du <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/shutdown-prolonge-cryptos-commencent-faire-les-frais\/\" rel=\"\">shutdown du gouvernement am\u00e9ricain<\/a>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/BTC?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#BTC<\/a> is at a critical level.<\/p>\n<p>Multiple closes below the 50W would confirm the top being in as it always has each cycle.<\/p>\n<p>Regardless of whether the top is in, or if we go slightly higher, I still think 2026 will be a bear market, just like all prior midterm years. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4T9fAsQchs\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/4T9fAsQchs<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/intocryptoverse\/status\/1985771197460558099?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">November 4, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"altcoins_et_macro_un_contexte_sous_tension\">Altcoins et macro\u00a0: un contexte sous tension<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>La dominance de Bitcoin a grimp\u00e9 de plus de deux points depuis le d\u00e9but du mois, refl\u00e9tant une <strong>fuite vers la s\u00e9curit\u00e9<\/strong>. Les altcoins souffrent davantage\u00a0: ETH, SOL et XRP enregistrent des pertes \u00e0 deux chiffres. Tant que BTC ne repassera pas durablement au-dessus de 100\u00a0000\u00a0$, <strong>une rotation vers les alts para\u00eet improbable.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Sur le plan macro\u00e9conomique, la situation reste tendue\u00a0: les investisseurs scrutent la <strong>politique mon\u00e9taire am\u00e9ricaine<\/strong>, la liquidit\u00e9 globale et les tensions autour du march\u00e9 obligataire. Ces facteurs pourraient influencer la trajectoire du Bitcoin \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n<p>En r\u00e9sum\u00e9, la chute de Bitcoin sous les 100\u00a0000\u00a0$ symbolise une <strong>capitulation massive<\/strong>, mais pas forc\u00e9ment la fin du cycle. Si le seuil est reconquis rapidement, la confiance reviendra et le march\u00e9 pourrait rebondir vigoureusement. En revanche, un rejet prolong\u00e9 renforcerait la th\u00e8se d\u2019un <strong>bearmarket naissant<\/strong>, avec une p\u00e9riode de consolidation \u00e9tendue avant le prochain cycle haussier.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le seuil symbolique des 100\u00a0000\u00a0$ vient de c\u00e9der. En quelques heures, Bitcoin a plong\u00e9 sous ce niveau, provoquant une&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":245,"featured_media":14053,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin s&#039;effondre sous les 100 000$ : les investisseurs capitulent craignant le bearmarket<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sous 100 000 $, Bitcoin d\u00e9clenche une vague de peur. 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