{"id":12857,"date":"2025-10-22T19:00:17","date_gmt":"2025-10-22T19:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=12857"},"modified":"2025-10-22T17:46:13","modified_gmt":"2025-10-22T17:46:13","slug":"bitcoin-menace-plonger-sous-100-000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-menace-plonger-sous-100-000\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin menac\u00e9 de plonger sous les 100 000 $"},"content":{"rendered":"

Standard Chartered pr\u00e9vient une cassure \u00e9clair sous les 100 000 $ pour le Bitcoin<\/strong>, sur fond de tensions commerciales entre Washington et P\u00e9kin. L\u2019alerte est sign\u00e9e Geoff Kendrick, qui y voit pourtant une opportunit\u00e9 d\u2019achat avant un nouveau sommet annuel.<\/p>\n

Un sc\u00e9nario de rupture mais courte<\/span><\/h2>\n

Selon Kendrick,<\/a> la baisse sous les 100 000 $ serait in\u00e9vitable, cons\u00e9quence d\u2019un march\u00e9 fragilis\u00e9 par la volatilit\u00e9 r\u00e9cente et par un climat g\u00e9opolitique tendu<\/a>. L\u2019argument central tient en deux points. La liquidit\u00e9 se resserre, et le flux de nouvelles macro reste d\u00e9favorable \u00e0 l\u2019app\u00e9tit pour le risque. Dans cette lecture, le seuil \u00e0 six chiffres agit moins comme un plancher que comme une zone de passage<\/strong> o\u00f9 les ordres d\u00e9clencheurs peuvent acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer un mouvement d\u00e9j\u00e0 enclench\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Le contexte macro renforce ce biais prudent. La Maison-Blanche a brandi la menace de tarifs \u00e0 100 % sur une large gamme d\u2019importations chinoises<\/strong> \u00e0 partir du 1\u1d49\u02b3 novembre si aucun compromis n\u2019\u00e9merge.<\/p>\n

Les signaux envoy\u00e9s ces derniers jours entretiennent l\u2019incertitude avec une promesse d\u2019un deal d\u2019un c\u00f4t\u00e9, rappel de la fermet\u00e9 tarifaire de l\u2019autre. Un march\u00e9 crypto hyper-sensible \u00e0 la lisibilit\u00e9 du commerce mondial surr\u00e9agit \u00e0 ces \u00e0-coups.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"Cours<\/p>\n

Techniquement, le bitcoin a \u00e9chou\u00e9 \u00e0 s\u2019installer au-dessus de 113 000 $ \u2013 114 000 $<\/strong> et a d\u00e9j\u00e0 montr\u00e9 sa capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 reperdre du terrain \u00e0 la moindre m\u00e8che haussi\u00e8re. Une glissade vers des supports psychologiques<\/strong> ronds n\u2019aurait donc rien d\u2019exceptionnel \u00e0 court terme, surtout apr\u00e8s un automne marqu\u00e9 par un sommet historique au-del\u00e0 de 125 000 $.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin : pourquoi une rechute peut pr\u00e9c\u00e9der une acc\u00e9l\u00e9ration<\/span><\/h2>\n

Kendrick ne voit pas dans ce passage sous 100 000 $ la fin d\u2019un cycle.<\/strong> Il y lit plut\u00f4t la derni\u00e8re chance d\u2019acqu\u00e9rir du bitcoin sous six chiffres avant un red\u00e9ploiement haussier. En effet, la secousse d\u2019octobre, avec pr\u00e8s de 19 milliards de dollars de positions liquid\u00e9es<\/a>, a purg\u00e9 l\u2019exc\u00e8s de levier. Une capitulation sans suite, coupl\u00e9e \u00e0 un calendrier macro moins agressif,<\/strong> cr\u00e9e un terrain fertile pour un rebond plus sain.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin<\/p>\n

La m\u00e9canique des flux renforce cette hypoth\u00e8se. Malgr\u00e9 les coups de tabac, les entr\u00e9es nettes dans les produits institutionnels restent un pilier du narratif haussier.<\/strong> Elles \u00e9largissent la base d\u2019acheteurs contracycliques et lissent la volatilit\u00e9 directionnelle. Dans ce cadre, une pointe sous 100 000 $ d\u00e9clencherait des achats programm\u00e9s<\/strong>, des r\u00e9\u00e9quilibrages et des couvertures vendeuses rachet\u00e9es, autant de carburant pour inverser la dynamique.<\/p>\n

S\u2019ajoute le facteur taux. Si la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale confirme l\u2019assouplissement engag\u00e9 par l\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine, l\u2019arbitrage risque-rendement basculera de nouveau vers les actifs de croissance.<\/strong> Le message de Standard Chartered est clair. M\u00eame dans un sc\u00e9nario m\u00e9dian, le bitcoin peut retrouver 150 000 $ rapidement,<\/a> la borne haute restant, selon la banque, autour de 200 000 $ d\u2019ici fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n

La variable Chine\u2013\u00c9tats-Unis, juge de paix du court terme<\/span><\/h3>\n

Les march\u00e9s ne redoutent pas seulement les tarifs. Ils craignent l\u2019impr\u00e9visibilit\u00e9. Une annonce de derni\u00e8re minute, un report, un tweet martial ou conciliant, et l\u2019algorithme du risque se reparam\u00e8tre. Par ailleurs, l\u2019or, traditionnel barom\u00e8tre de l\u2019aversion au risque, vacille<\/a> alors que le Bitcoin revendique tour \u00e0 tour statut de techno-actif et de r\u00e9serve alternative.<\/p>\n

La bascule r\u00e9cente du m\u00e9tal jaune rappelle que les flux arbitrent sans \u00e9tat d\u2019\u00e2me. Elle sugg\u00e8re aussi que la prime de risque se recompose, parfois au b\u00e9n\u00e9fice du bitcoin apr\u00e8s les d\u00e9charges initiales. Cette plasticit\u00e9 explique la coexistence<\/strong> d\u2019un appel \u00e0 la prudence imm\u00e9diate et d\u2019un cap haussier annuel.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Standard Chartered pr\u00e9vient une cassure \u00e9clair sous les 100 000 $ pour le Bitcoin, sur fond de tensions commerciales…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":12860,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,92],"class_list":["post-12857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-chute","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nStandard Chartered : le Bitcoin va plonger sous les 100 000 $ !<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Standard Chartered anticipe une chute du Bitcoin sous les 100 000 $ en raison des tensions commerciales entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et la Chine\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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