{"id":12695,"date":"2025-10-21T13:30:20","date_gmt":"2025-10-21T13:30:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=12695"},"modified":"2025-11-11T21:18:57","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T21:18:57","slug":"btc-analyse-cryptoquant-pour-fin-2025-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/btc-analyse-cryptoquant-pour-fin-2025-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"BTC : l&rsquo;analyse de CryptoQuant pour fin 2025 et pour 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>En ce moment, le <strong>Bitcoin s\u2019\u00e9change \u00e0 109 000 $ environ<\/strong>. Apr\u00e8s un repli jusqu\u2019\u00e0 107 500 $ aujourd\u2019hui, le jeton semble pr\u00eat \u00e0 reconqu\u00e9rir son niveau \u00e0 111 000 $ si sa progression perdure.<\/p>\n<p>Pour <strong>CryptoQuant<\/strong>, ces mouvements quotidiens ont moins d\u2019importance que la lecture \u00e0 moyen et long terme. Dans un entretien donn\u00e9 \u00e0 <strong>Milk Road<\/strong>, l\u2019un des analystes en chef de CryptoQuant expose <strong>les \u00e9l\u00e9ments \u00e0 surveiller en cette fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e et jusqu\u2019en 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"des_donnees_on-chain_qui_apportent_une_lecture_transparente\">Des donn\u00e9es on-chain qui apportent une lecture transparente<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>En ce moment, le prix de BTC se situe sous <strong>le niveau de prix effectif des investisseurs on-chain<\/strong>. Autrement dit, ce sont ces investisseurs qui se sont positionn\u00e9s \u00e0 <strong>un prix sup\u00e9rieur, qui est d\u2019environ 114 000 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Typiquement, une telle configuration s\u2019accompagne d\u2019une pression baissi\u00e8re importante. Ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne qui a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9t\u00e9 constat\u00e9 et qui a donn\u00e9 lieu \u00e0 une tendance descendante. Cependant, la chute a tendance \u00e0 s\u2019interrompre so<strong>us un prix 10 % inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 ce niveau critique<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12696\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12696\" style=\"width: 720px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12696\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@jjcmoreno-Bitcoin-Trader-on-chain-Realized-Price-Bands.jpg\" alt=\"@jjcmoreno - Bitcoin Trader on-chain Realized Price Bands\" width=\"720\" height=\"405\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@jjcmoreno-Bitcoin-Trader-on-chain-Realized-Price-Bands.jpg 720w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@jjcmoreno-Bitcoin-Trader-on-chain-Realized-Price-Bands-300x169.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12696\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/jjcmoreno\/status\/1979192643461558497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Source : @jjcmoreno sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Dans le cas actuel, ceci signifie simplement que <strong>la pression baissi\u00e8re devrait s\u2019\u00e9puiser d\u00e8s l\u2019approche des 100 000 $<\/strong>. Ce niveau constituera certainement le support le plus important de BTC au cours de ce cycle. D\u2019autant plus que c\u2019est un <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-cent-mille-palier-psychologique\/\" rel=\"\">niveau de prix psychologique important<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"predictions_du_prix_de_btc\">Pr\u00e9dictions du prix de BTC<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Dans son interview avec <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/MilkRoadDaily\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Milk Road<\/a>, <strong>Julio Moreno<\/strong> s\u2019est \u00e9galement pench\u00e9 sur les pr\u00e9dictions de prix pour la fin de 2025. Interrog\u00e9 sur la question, il a pr\u00e9cis\u00e9 que la r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 franchir pour grimper se situe \u00e0 <strong>115 000 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Last Big Dip Before ATHs? Rate Cuts, Trade Deals &amp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> Supply Shock w\/ <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@cryptoquant_com<\/a> Head of Research <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jjcmoreno?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@jjcmoreno<\/a> <\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin held strong after a $20B flush.<\/p>\n<p>Why?<\/p>\n<p>Institutions didn\u2019t panic. OG whales did.<\/p>\n<p>Julio explains how this rotation sets up the next major move.<\/p>\n<p>Tune in\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9EER1zonj0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/9EER1zonj0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Milk Road (@MilkRoadDaily) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MilkRoadDaily\/status\/1980358527110742431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">October 20, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>En cas de perc\u00e9e au-dessus de ce niveau, il estime que le <strong>Bitcoin peut se hisser jusqu\u2019\u00e0 130 000 $ ou potentiellement 195 000 $<\/strong> si les conditions du march\u00e9 sont favorables. Une pr\u00e9diction qui reste fid\u00e8le aux <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/btc-200000-fin-2025-prediction-cryptoquant\/\" rel=\"\">analyses ant\u00e9rieures de CryptoQuant<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Cette pr\u00e9diction pourrait \u00e9galement \u00eatre r\u00e9alis\u00e9e sous l\u2019impulsion des <strong>projets L2 du Bitcoin<\/strong> comme <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/visit\/bitcoinhyper\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Bitcoin Hyper<\/a>. Actuellement en pr\u00e9vente \u00e0 0,013145 $, il a le potentiel de <strong>transformer la blockchain Bitcoin en un environnement propice pour la DeFi<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #00DBC1;margin: auto;width: 50%;text-align: center;padding: 8px;border-radius: 5px;background-image: linear-gradient(107deg,#00DBC1,#00E676);color: white;padding-left: 1em;padding-right: 1em;font-size: 16px\"><a style=\"text-decoration: none;color: white\" href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/visit\/bitcoinhyper\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Acheter Bitcoin Hyper<\/a><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Les crypto-actifs repr\u00e9sentent un investissement risqu\u00e9.<\/em><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"quand_est-ce_que_le_pic_du_cycle_haussier_interviendra\">Quand est-ce que le pic du cycle haussier interviendra ?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Au sujet des conditions de march\u00e9, l\u2019analyste souligne que <strong>les taux de la<\/strong> <strong>Fed<\/strong> attendus pour le <strong>28 ou le 29 octobre<\/strong> sont d\u00e9j\u00e0 pris en compte par le march\u00e9. Cependant, <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/guerre-commerciale-repli-84000-pour-bitcoin\/\" rel=\"\">l\u2019incertitude autour de la guerre commerciale entre les USA et la Chine<\/a> est le grand catalyseur.<\/p>\n<p>Dans l\u2019\u00e9ventualit\u00e9 d\u2019une r\u00e9solution positive de cette crise commerciale, il a ensuite estim\u00e9 le pic du cycle haussier. D\u2019apr\u00e8s lui, le pic devrait arriver <strong>au plus tard au cours du premier trimestre de 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Il pr\u00e9cise par ailleurs qu\u2019un nouvel ATH du Bitcoin n\u2019est techniquement pas si difficile \u00e0 r\u00e9aliser. <strong>On-chain et off-chain, les conditions sont r\u00e9unies<\/strong> pour qu\u2019un nouvel \u00e9lan haussier le permette. Il faut simplement que les march\u00e9s crypto puissent b\u00e9n\u00e9ficier d\u2019<strong>une plus grande clart\u00e9<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin\u2019s MVRV Ratio Slips Below 365-Day Average, Cyclical Bottom Forming?<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHistorically, each time the ratio dropped below the 365 SMA, it has marked a buying opportunity and local bottom signal.\u201d \u2013 By <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ShayanBTC7?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">@ShayanBTC7<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/svIRcKIuQf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/svIRcKIuQf<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cryptoquant_com\/status\/1980315543422005368?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">October 20, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>En effet, le sentiment du march\u00e9 est que <strong>le BTC a d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9tabli son palier local<\/strong>. Pour les investisseurs, le prix actuel est <strong>un bon point d\u2019entr\u00e9e<\/strong> avant que le champ se d\u00e9gage et que <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/btc-105000-que-predisent-analystes\/\" rel=\"\">le BTC amorce sa prochaine perc\u00e9e<\/a>.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p class=\"disclaimer-rw\"><em>Cet article ne repr\u00e9sente en aucun cas un conseil en investissement. Les informations fournies ici ne doivent pas \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es comme base pour prendre des d\u00e9cisions financi\u00e8res. Les investissements en crypto-monnaie comportent des risques et peuvent entra\u00eener des pertes importantes. Il convient d\u2019investir uniquement ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre et d\u2019effectuer vos propres recherches avant de prendre toute d\u00e9cision d\u2019investissement.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En ce moment, le Bitcoin s\u2019\u00e9change \u00e0 109 000 $ environ. Apr\u00e8s un repli jusqu\u2019\u00e0 107 500 $ aujourd\u2019hui,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":12697,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[40],"class_list":["post-12695","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin-hyper","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>BTC : l&#039;analyse de CryptoQuant pour fin 2025 et pour 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pour les analystes de CryptoQuant, le Bitcoin peut encore profiter d\u2019un \u00e9lan haussier jusqu\u2019au premier trimestre de 2026\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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