{"id":12448,"date":"2025-10-17T15:30:19","date_gmt":"2025-10-17T15:30:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=12448"},"modified":"2025-11-05T20:13:58","modified_gmt":"2025-11-05T20:13:58","slug":"guerre-commerciale-repli-84000-pour-bitcoin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/guerre-commerciale-repli-84000-pour-bitcoin\/","title":{"rendered":"Guerre commerciale : repli jusqu&rsquo;\u00e0 84 000 $ pour le Bitcoin ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Les march\u00e9s crypto sont actuellement en repli. Apr\u00e8s les liquidations massives de la semaine derni\u00e8re, de nombreux actifs ont eu du mal \u00e0 r\u00e9cup\u00e9rer. Et \u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, dans un contexte de <strong>durcissement de la guerre commerciale entre les \u00c9tats-Unis et la Chine<\/strong>, les cryptomonnaies sombrent encore plus.<\/p>\n<p>En ce moment, le Bitcoin a recul\u00e9 de plus de 6 % en 24 heures. Un repli consid\u00e9rable qui pourrait annoncer <strong>une chute de 30 %<\/strong> et qui co\u00efncide avec <strong>les pr\u00e9dictions du cycle de quatre ans<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"vers_une_correction_de_30_pour_le_btc\">Vers une correction de 30 % pour le BTC ?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Les <a href=\"https:\/\/www.courrierinternational.com\/sujet\/tensions-chine-etats-unis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">tensions entre les USA et la Chine<\/a> ont impact\u00e9 l\u2019ensemble des march\u00e9s. Les cryptomonnaies n\u2019ont pas \u00e9chapp\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 et <strong>ont perdu plus de 6 % de leur capitalisation en un jour<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Ce n\u2019est pas la premi\u00e8re fois que les tensions commerciales ont impact\u00e9 le Bitcoin. Plus t\u00f4t au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e, ceci s\u2019\u00e9tait sold\u00e9 par <strong>une chute de 30 % du Bitcoin<\/strong>. Cette <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/trump-bouche-bitcoin-secroule\/\" rel=\"\">vague de turbulences commerciales<\/a> avait fait plonger la cryptomonnaie <strong>entre f\u00e9vrier et mai<\/strong> <strong>2025<\/strong>. Le retour de forme n\u2019\u00e9tait intervenu qu\u2019apr\u00e8s 79 jours.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The U.S.\u2013China trade tensions are back and so is Bitcoin\u2019s struggle.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this year, a similar flare-up triggered a 30% correction that took nearly three months to find a bottom.<\/p>\n<p>This time, Bitcoin is down about 13% from its high.<\/p>\n<p>The similarities between these drawdowns\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5cTtzVQS9e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/5cTtzVQS9e<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 ecoinometrics (@ecoinometrics) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ecoinometrics\/status\/1978866430461513943?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">October 16, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Certains analystes craignent <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/pourquoi-btc-baisse-chine-usa-inflation-etc\/\" rel=\"\">que le sch\u00e9ma se produise \u00e0 nouveau<\/a>. Ceci dit, la possibilit\u00e9 d\u2019une d\u00e9tente prochaine laisse optimiste vis-\u00e0-vis de ce sc\u00e9nario.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"le_niveau_critique_a_99_900\">Le niveau critique \u00e0 99 900 $<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>En ce moment, <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/btc-bord-precipice-bear-market-ou-rebond\/\" rel=\"\">le prix de BTC<\/a> se situe juste au-dessus de 105 000 $. La cryptomonnaie de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence a chut\u00e9 sous son support \u00e0 110 000 $ et s\u2019approche d\u2019un <strong>niveau critique \u00e0 99 900 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Notons cependant que pour l\u2019instant, le Bitcoin se montre r\u00e9silient. Malgr\u00e9 la chute et la pression des vendeurs, de nouveaux investisseurs se positionnent. Ainsi, l\u2019analyse des bougies sur les 4 derni\u00e8res heures affiche <strong>une tendance haussi\u00e8re apr\u00e8s l\u2019\u00e9puisement du mouvement baissier<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Bitcoin sits between key support levels, below the 200DMA ($107.4k) and just above the 365DMA ($99.9k), with the 111DMA ($114.7k) overhead. <\/p>\n<p>Holding the 365DMA could steady the trend, while a break lower risks a much deeper correction. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/GMZbQq0eYB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/GMZbQq0eYB<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 glassnode (@glassnode) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/glassnode\/status\/1979117705723592726?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">October 17, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>D\u2019apr\u00e8s les donn\u00e9es de <strong>Glassnode<\/strong>, la moyenne mobile sur les 365 jours est le niveau de support sous lequel BTC ne devrait pas passer pour mitiger la pression baissi\u00e8re. <strong>Cette moyenne se situe actuellement \u00e0 99 900 $<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Si l\u2019actif passe sous ce support, il pourrait d\u00e9gringoler jusqu\u2019\u00e0 84 000 $ ou moins. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, un passage au-dessus des 107 400 $, qui est la <strong>moyenne mobile sur 200 jours<\/strong>, pourrait annoncer <strong>un retour vers 115 000 $<\/strong> et plus.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"la_prophetie_du_cycle_de_quatre_ans\">La proph\u00e9tie du cycle de quatre ans ?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Les mouvements baissiers du Bitcoin sont une source d\u2019inqui\u00e9tude pour les adeptes de la <strong>th\u00e9orie du cycle de quatre ans<\/strong>. En effet, d\u2019apr\u00e8s ce mod\u00e8le d\u2019analyse, le \u201c<strong>bear market<\/strong>\u201d devrait commencer avec une chute importante du prix de BTC \u00e0 cette p\u00e9riode.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12449\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-12449\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12449\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@joao_wedson-Cycle-fractal-Bitcoin-octobre-2025.jpg\" alt=\"@joao_wedson - Cycle fractal Bitcoin octobre 2025\" width=\"1200\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@joao_wedson-Cycle-fractal-Bitcoin-octobre-2025.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@joao_wedson-Cycle-fractal-Bitcoin-octobre-2025-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@joao_wedson-Cycle-fractal-Bitcoin-octobre-2025-1024x512.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/@joao_wedson-Cycle-fractal-Bitcoin-octobre-2025-768x384.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-12449\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/joao_wedson\/status\/1978861184343220540\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Source : @joao_wedson sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Autrement dit, <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/theorie-cycle-fractal-bitcoin-face-destin-octobre\/\" rel=\"\">le mod\u00e8le fractal du Bitcoin<\/a> qui annonce les hausses et les baisses serait confirm\u00e9. Auquel cas, le prix de BTC pourrait d\u00e9gringoler et entra\u00eener l\u2019ensemble des cryptomonnaies dans sa chute.<\/p>\n<p>Quoi qu\u2019il en soit, une telle confirmation du mod\u00e8le s\u2019accompagnerait d\u2019une <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/michael-saylor-strategie-bitcoin\/\" rel=\"\">accumulation par les investisseurs institutionnels<\/a>. Il est donc probable que les prix soient <strong>moins impact\u00e9s que pendant les cycles baissiers ant\u00e9rieurs<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>De m\u00eame, le <strong>d\u00e9ploiement<\/strong> <strong>de L2 du Bitcoin<\/strong> peut contribuer \u00e0 la stabiliser du prix. Par exemple, le projet <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/visit\/bitcoinhyper\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Bitcoin Hyper<\/a> qui a lev\u00e9 pr\u00e8s de<strong> 24 millions $ au cours de sa pr\u00e9vente<\/strong> pourrait <strong>transformer la blockchain Bitcoin en un \u00e9cosyst\u00e8me DeFi<\/strong> moins sujet aux mouvements sp\u00e9culatifs.<\/p>\n<div style=\"background: #00DBC1;margin: auto;width: 50%;text-align: center;padding: 8px;border-radius: 5px;background-image: linear-gradient(107deg,#00DBC1,#00E676);color: white;padding-left: 1em;padding-right: 1em;font-size: 16px\"><a style=\"text-decoration: none;color: white\" href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/visit\/bitcoinhyper\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Acheter Bitcoin Hyper<\/a><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><em>Les crypto-actifs repr\u00e9sentent un investissement risqu\u00e9.<\/em><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p class=\"disclaimer-rw\"><em>Cet article ne repr\u00e9sente en aucun cas un conseil en investissement. Les informations fournies ici ne doivent pas \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es comme base pour prendre des d\u00e9cisions financi\u00e8res. Les investissements en crypto-monnaie comportent des risques et peuvent entra\u00eener des pertes importantes. Il convient d\u2019investir uniquement ce que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre et d\u2019effectuer vos propres recherches avant de prendre toute d\u00e9cision d\u2019investissement.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Les march\u00e9s crypto sont actuellement en repli. Apr\u00e8s les liquidations massives de la semaine derni\u00e8re, de nombreux actifs ont&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":12452,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[40],"class_list":["post-12448","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-bitcoin-hyper","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Guerre commerciale : repli jusqu&#039;\u00e0 84 000 $ pour le Bitcoin ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Dans un contexte de tensions commerciales, le prix du Bitcoin chute et les analystes anticipent un repli jusqu\u2019\u00e0 84 000 $\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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