{"id":12207,"date":"2025-10-15T18:33:02","date_gmt":"2025-10-15T18:33:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=12207"},"modified":"2025-10-15T18:37:14","modified_gmt":"2025-10-15T18:37:14","slug":"pari-140-m-contre-bitcoin-74-000","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/pari-140-m-contre-bitcoin-74-000\/","title":{"rendered":"Un pari \u00e0 140 M$ contre Bitcoin : cap sur 74 000 $ ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Une baleine a ouvert une position courte de 140 millions de dollars sur Hyperliquid contre le bitcoin. Le signal a agi comme un coup de tonnerre sur un ciel d\u00e9j\u00e0 charg\u00e9 par un biseau ascendant <strong>mena\u00e7ant 74 000 dollars<\/strong>. Le march\u00e9 teste la solidit\u00e9 de son plancher.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"bitcoin_un_pari_massif_qui_change_lequation\">Bitcoin : un pari massif qui change l\u2019\u00e9quation<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Un portefeuille identifi\u00e9 par <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1978382183153697251\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lookonchain<\/a> a vendu \u00e0 d\u00e9couvert 1 240 bitcoin avec un levier 5x, pour une valeur d\u2019environ 140 millions de dollars, avec<strong> liquidation vers 137 700 dollars<\/strong>. Ce n\u2019est pas un pari symbolique. Il cible une zone o\u00f9 la volatilit\u00e9 r\u00e9veille les exc\u00e8s.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Another whale, 0xc2a3, just opened a 5x short on 1,240 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a>($140M) on <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Hyperliquid?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">#Hyperliquid<\/a>. <\/p>\n<p>Liquidation price: $137,700<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9PPQWCKRHj\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/t.co\/9PPQWCKRHj<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/3yLHGDKMAi\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/3yLHGDKMAi<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Lookonchain (@lookonchain) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lookonchain\/status\/1978382183153697251?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">October 15, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Ce mouvement ne survient pas en vase clos. <strong>D\u2019autres adresses augmentent aussi leur exposition<\/strong> vendeuse sur bitcoin. Cela prolonge un biais d\u00e9fensif n\u00e9 apr\u00e8s l\u2019acc\u00e8s de faiblesse r\u00e9cent. La s\u00e9quence renforce l\u2019id\u00e9e que la smart money cherche un meilleur point d\u2019entr\u00e9e, quitte \u00e0 forcer une purge.<\/p>\n<p>Dans ce contexte,<strong> 110 000 dollars sert de t\u00e9moin<\/strong>. Tant que les cl\u00f4tures hebdomadaires flottent au-dessus, les acheteurs conservent l\u2019initiative. En dessous, la m\u00e9canique de couverture des positions longues pourrait acc\u00e9l\u00e9rer la glissade. C\u2019est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment ce que vise une partie des shorts.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"un_biseau_ascendant_sous_surveillance\">Un biseau ascendant sous surveillance<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le cadre technique demeure lisible. Le prix du bitcoin \u00e9volue dans un coin ascendant, configuration classiquement baissi\u00e8re lorsqu\u2019elle casse par le bas. <strong>La cible th\u00e9orique converge vers 74 000 dollars<\/strong>, soit environ 34 % sous les niveaux actuels. L\u2019alignement entre titre, introduction et ce premier constat s\u2019impose. <strong>Le pari \u00e0 140 M$ cherche \u00e0 mon\u00e9tiser cette trajectoire en misant sur la baisse du bitcoin.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Captain Faibik souligne une dynamique qui faiblit \u00e0 l\u2019int\u00e9rieur du biseau. Lorsque l\u2019oblique c\u00e8de, les vendeurs prennent la main et la correction s\u2019intensifie. Ce r\u00e9cit technique, banal en apparence, s\u2019av\u00e8re redoutable quand la liquidit\u00e9 se rar\u00e9fie.<\/p>\n<p>Peter Brandt, v\u00e9t\u00e9ran des march\u00e9s, ajoute une nuance utile. <strong>Il n\u2019attend plus de chutes de 80 % comme par le pass\u00e9,<\/strong> mais il imagine une secousse capable de <strong>renvoyer Bitcoin \u00e0 50 000\u201360 000 dollars avant une reprise vers les sommets<\/strong>. Autrement dit, m\u00eame un cycle haussier mature tol\u00e8re encore des d\u00e9compressions s\u00e9v\u00e8res.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"des_signaux_on-chain_a_lorange\">Des signaux on-chain \u00e0 l\u2019orange<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Les donn\u00e9es on-chain confirment la tension. Le ratio profits\/pertes non r\u00e9alis\u00e9s (NUPL) vient de basculer d\u2019optimisme \u00e0 euphorie. Historiquement, ce passage s\u2019observe pr\u00e8s de pics de cycle ou juste <strong>avant des souffles coup\u00e9s qui remettent les pendules \u00e0 l\u2019heure<\/strong>. Voir cette jauge grimper pendant que <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/trader-flash-crash-refait-surface-baleines-filent-vers-bitcoin-hyper\/\" rel=\"\">les baleines vendent<\/a> \u00e0 d\u00e9couvert n\u2019a rien d\u2019anodin.<\/p>\n<p>Cette euphorie se conjugue avec une particularit\u00e9 de la phase actuelle. Une majorit\u00e9 de l\u2019offre flotte en profit latent, ce qui \u00e9largit le r\u00e9servoir de vendeurs potentiels au moindre stress. <strong>Les prises de gains se d\u00e9clenchent alors en cha\u00eene<\/strong>, surtout si des niveaux techniques cl\u00e9s c\u00e8dent. Le bitcoin n\u2019a pas besoin d\u2019un narratif dramatique. Une poign\u00e9e de bougies bien plac\u00e9es suffit.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12212 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Euphorie.jpg\" alt=\"Bitcoin Euphorie\" width=\"1536\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Euphorie.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Euphorie-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Euphorie-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Euphorie-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/Bitcoin-Euphorie-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1536px) 100vw, 1536px\"><\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 court terme, tout \u00e9volue au rythme des cl\u00f4tures. <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-menace-plonger-107-000\/\" rel=\"\">Une semaine sous 110 000<\/a> dollars pour bitcoin raviverait le sc\u00e9nario 74 000 dollars. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, un rejet haussier propre sur ce support invaliderait la cassure et redonnerait de l\u2019allant aux acheteurs. Les deux issues coexistent, mais la balance du risque penche c\u00f4t\u00e9 prudence lorsque l\u2019euphorie grimpe.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"que_ferait_le_bitcoin_a_74_000\">Que ferait le bitcoin \u00e0 74 000 $ ?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Un retour \u00e0 74 000 dollars ne casserait pas la grande histoire du cycle. <strong>Il ram\u00e8nerait le prix du bitcoin vers une zone de congestion ancienne, proche du sommet de mars 2024,<\/strong> et purgerait l\u2019exc\u00e8s d\u2019optimisme sans invalider la tendance primaire. Dans ce type de respiration, l\u2019offre impatiente change de mains et la courbe se renforce \u00e0 long terme.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-12213 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3.png\" alt=\"Cours Bitcoin\" width=\"1640\" height=\"820\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3.png 1640w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3-1024x512.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3-1536x768.png 1536w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/10\/coincodex.com-bitcoin-graph-3-1568x784.png 1568w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1640px) 100vw, 1640px\"><\/p>\n<p>Pour les op\u00e9rateurs, <strong>la cl\u00e9 consiste \u00e0 traiter 110 000 dollars comme pivot.<\/strong> En dessous, r\u00e9duire l\u2019exposition, \u00e9viter l\u2019effet de levier impulsif, garder de la poudre s\u00e8che. Au-dessus, privil\u00e9gier des entr\u00e9es progressives et accepter l\u2019id\u00e9e d\u2019un march\u00e9 qui monte en escalier et descend en ascenseur. La gestion du risque prime sur la recherche du point parfait.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Une baleine a ouvert une position courte de 140 millions de dollars sur Hyperliquid contre le bitcoin. Le signal&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":12209,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,92],"class_list":["post-12207","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-chute","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Une baleine mise 140 M$ contre Bitcoin : Cap vers 74 000 $<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Une baleine parie 140 millions $ contre Bitcoin, visant une chute vers 74 000 $. 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