{"id":10814,"date":"2025-10-01T11:00:17","date_gmt":"2025-10-01T11:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=10814"},"modified":"2025-10-17T17:28:53","modified_gmt":"2025-10-17T17:28:53","slug":"malgre-shutdown-usa-btc-progresse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/malgre-shutdown-usa-btc-progresse\/","title":{"rendered":"Malgr\u00e9 le Shutdown aux USA, BTC progresse ?"},"content":{"rendered":"

C\u2019est officiel, le gouvernement des \u00c9tats-Unis est en plein \u201cshutdown\u201d<\/strong>. Il s\u2019agit d\u2019un arr\u00eat de tous les services non essentiels du gouvernement. C\u2019est une situation relativement rare qui intervient en l\u2019absence d\u2019un accord pour le passage de la loi des finances.<\/p>\n

Le dernier shutdown en 2018 avait conduit \u00e0 un repli des march\u00e9s financiers. Pour les cryptomonnaies, la donne \u00e9tait sensiblement diff\u00e9rente. Mais aujourd\u2019hui, le Bitcoin et les autres cryptomonnaies sont nettement plus rattach\u00e9s \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9 r\u00e9glementaire<\/strong>, macro\u00e9conomique et au contexte politique<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Le Bitcoin part \u00e0 la hausse : un investissement refuge face \u00e0 l\u2019incertitude ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

L\u2019annonce officielle du \u201cshutdown\u201d gouvernemental<\/a> aurait pu plonger les march\u00e9s dans le chaos. Tout au moins, les analystes s\u2019attendaient \u00e0 ce que la cessation des services essentiels pousse les march\u00e9s vers la stagnation.<\/p>\n

Contrairement \u00e0 ces pr\u00e9visions initiales, le Bitcoin affiche une tendance haussi\u00e8re de 3,00 %<\/strong> au cours des derni\u00e8res 24 heures. En ce moment, le BTC s\u2019\u00e9change \u00e0 116\u00a0500 $ environ<\/strong>. Une hausse remarquable compte tenu du contexte morose des derni\u00e8res semaines.<\/p>\n

Certains analystes attribuent cette hausse \u00e0 court terme \u00e0 un nouveau contexte d\u2019incertitude. Apr\u00e8s tout, le shutdown gouvernemental transforme le Bitcoin en actif refuge aux yeux des investisseurs<\/strong>. En effet, contrairement \u00e0 d\u2019autres actifs, l\u2019arr\u00eat de l\u2019activit\u00e9 gouvernementale est moins susceptible d\u2019avoir une incidence n\u00e9gative sur le Bitcoin<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Ceci dit, le risque de volatilit\u00e9 accrue<\/strong> doit \u00eatre pris en consid\u00e9ration pendant la p\u00e9riode du shutdown.<\/p>\n

Vers un repli prononc\u00e9 en cas de shutdown durable ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Historiquement, le shutdown du gouvernement am\u00e9ricain<\/a> s\u2019accompagne d\u2019un repli des march\u00e9s. Surtout, lorsque cette interruption des services non essentiels se poursuit pendant plus d\u2019une semaine.<\/p>\n

Dans ce contexte, les retards sur le plan r\u00e9glementaire, l\u2019absence de clarifications et les cons\u00e9quences sur le march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi commencent \u00e0 se faire sentir. En 2018<\/strong>, ceci avait conduit \u00e0 une chute du Bitcoin de 3\u00a0800 $ \u00e0 3\u00a0575 <\/strong>$<\/strong>. Soit une chute de 6 % pour un shutdown de 35 jours<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"@TedPillows
Source : @TedPillows sur X<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Par ailleurs, en cas de shutdown de plus d\u2019une semaine<\/a>, les catalyseurs attendus par les march\u00e9s pourraient \u00eatre compromis. D\u2019une part, la publication des donn\u00e9es sur le march\u00e9 de l\u2019emploi<\/strong> qui devraient orienter les d\u00e9cisions de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale en ce qui concerne les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

D\u2019autre part, les retards \u00e9ventuels pour tout ce qui touche \u00e0 l\u2019approbation tant attendue des ETF crypto<\/a>. Un retard qui conduirait certainement \u00e0 un repli des investisseurs et \u00e0 une baisse de l\u2019ensemble des altcoins<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Vers des rebonds plus robustes ?<\/span><\/h2>\n

Une particularit\u00e9 surprenante du shutdown est l\u2019effet de rebond<\/strong> qu\u2019il apporte aux march\u00e9s. Si cet effet venait \u00e0 se reproduire encore une fois, les march\u00e9s pourraient repartir \u00e0 la hausse apr\u00e8s une p\u00e9riode de stagnation<\/strong>. Ceci ne s\u2019applique toutefois qu\u2019\u00e0 un \u00e9ventuel shutdown de plus d\u2019une semaine.<\/p>\n

En effet, la reprise de l\u2019activit\u00e9 gouvernementale est un fait certain pour les investisseurs. Il s\u2019agit plut\u00f4t de savoir \u00e0 quel moment se positionner efficacement<\/strong> pour profiter de la hausse des march\u00e9s crypto ?<\/p>\n

En somme, \u00e0 court terme, le shutdown inqui\u00e8te <\/strong>peu les investisseurs<\/strong> institutionnels<\/strong>. Pour preuve, les influx des ETF Bitcoin et ETH<\/strong> ont respectivement atteint 429,9 millions $<\/strong> et 127 millions $<\/strong> hier, alors que le shutdown \u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 garanti par les analystes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

C\u2019est officiel, le gouvernement des \u00c9tats-Unis est en plein \u201cshutdown\u201d. Il s\u2019agit d\u2019un arr\u00eat de tous les services non…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":224,"featured_media":10819,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10814","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nMalgr\u00e9 le Shutdown aux USA, BTC progresse ?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Alors que certains analystes anticipaient un repli syst\u00e9matique, le Bitcoin et les autres cryptomonnaies progressent malgr\u00e9 le shutdown\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/malgre-shutdown-usa-btc-progresse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" 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