{"id":10487,"date":"2025-09-29T12:00:56","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T12:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=10487"},"modified":"2025-09-29T11:56:59","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T11:56:59","slug":"altseason-etf-crypto-octobre-sec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/altseason-etf-crypto-octobre-sec\/","title":{"rendered":"Altseason : Tout va se jouer en octobre pour les ETF crypto"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Octobre s\u2019annonce d\u00e9cisif pour les <strong>ETF crypto<\/strong>. La SEC doit se prononcer sur une s\u00e9rie de dossiers li\u00e9s aux altcoins. Le march\u00e9 anticipe un tournant. En cas de feu vert, la liquidit\u00e9 pourrait affluer vers plusieurs actifs, avec un effet d\u2019entra\u00eenement sur tout le segment.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"pourquoi_octobre_concentre_tous_les_enjeux\">Pourquoi octobre concentre tous les enjeux<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Depuis mi-septembre, <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/sec-ouvre-voie-etf-crypto\/\" rel=\"\"><strong>la SEC a<\/strong> <strong>simplifi\u00e9<\/strong><\/a> le cadre d\u2019approbation des ETF au comptant. Le calendrier s\u2019est donc acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9. R\u00e9sultat : <strong>seize d\u00e9cisions<\/strong> doivent tomber tout au long d\u2019octobre. Ce lot couvre plusieurs altcoins majeurs. Par cons\u00e9quent, les traders surveillent des dates pr\u00e9cises, susceptibles d\u2019agir comme d\u00e9clencheur.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00e8s le <strong>2 octobre<\/strong>, un premier dossier sur <a href=\"https:\/\/coinmarketcap.com\/currencies\/litecoin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>Litecoin<\/strong><\/a> arrive \u00e0 \u00e9ch\u00e9ance. Puis, le <strong>10 octobre<\/strong>, la SEC se penche sur <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/solana-seffondre-sous-200-crypto\/\" rel=\"\"><strong>Solana<\/strong><\/a> (conversion d\u2019un produit existant). Le <strong>16 octobre<\/strong>, d\u2019autres ETF Solana passent au tamis. Ensuite, la mi-octobre s\u2019ouvre \u00e0 <strong>Dogecoin<\/strong> et <strong>XRP<\/strong>. Enfin, une <strong>s\u00e9rie de d\u00e9cisions<\/strong> d\u00e9di\u00e9es \u00e0 XRP \u00e9grenent la fin du mois. Ce s\u00e9quencement ne garantit rien. Toutefois, il cr\u00e9e une fen\u00eatre rare o\u00f9 plusieurs actifs peuvent obtenir, l\u2019un apr\u00e8s l\u2019autre, un <strong>s\u00e9same boursier<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Dans le m\u00eame temps, le r\u00e9gulateur a admis des <strong>r\u00e8gles de cotation g\u00e9n\u00e9riques<\/strong>. Elles raccourcissent les d\u00e9lais lorsqu\u2019un produit respecte des crit\u00e8res standardis\u00e9s. Cette \u00e9volution r\u00e9duit l\u2019incertitude op\u00e9rationnelle pour les \u00e9metteurs. Elle facilite aussi la <strong>mise sur le march\u00e9<\/strong> de paniers multi-actifs. Autrement dit, la m\u00e9canique d\u2019offre progresse en parall\u00e8le des d\u00e9cisions unitaires.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">NEW: Here is a list of all the filings and\/or applications I'm tracking for Crypto ETPs here in the US. There are 92 line items in this spreadsheet. You will almost certainly have to squint and zoom to see but best I can do on here <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/lDhRGEQBoW\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/lDhRGEQBoW<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 James Seyffart (@JSeyff) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JSeyff\/status\/1961171325374095552?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">August 28, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"comment_un_feu_vert_pourrait_declencher_une_altseason\">Comment un feu vert pourrait d\u00e9clencher une altseason<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Un ETF au comptant <strong>abaisse les frictions<\/strong> d\u2019acc\u00e8s pour les investisseurs traditionnels. Il ouvre la porte aux comptes titres classiques, aux plans d\u2019\u00e9pargne, et \u00e0 des flux <strong>r\u00e9currents<\/strong>. En outre, il apporte un <strong>r\u00e9f\u00e9rentiel de prix<\/strong> cot\u00e9, avec cr\u00e9ation\/rachat de parts. Cette structure am\u00e9liore la formation des prix, surtout sur les altcoins o\u00f9 la liquidit\u00e9 reste morcel\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Ensuite, <strong>l\u2019effet est<\/strong> <strong>psychologique<\/strong>. Une approbation valide un actif aux yeux d\u2019un public plus large. Elle incite des g\u00e9rants \u00e0 <strong>mod\u00e9liser<\/strong> un poids minimal dans leurs portefeuilles th\u00e9matiques. Elle encourage aussi des produits d\u00e9riv\u00e9s encadr\u00e9s (options sur ETF, par exemple), donc des strat\u00e9gies de couverture plus propres. \u00c0 court terme, l\u2019annonce peut cr\u00e9er un <strong>choc d\u2019attention<\/strong>, souvent suivi d\u2019une rotation de capitaux.<\/p>\n<p>Enfin, la dynamique peut devenir cumulative. Si plusieurs altcoins obtiennent le feu vert en quelques semaines, les flux se dispersent moins. Ils circulent entre produits cot\u00e9s d\u2019un m\u00eame th\u00e8me. Le rebond ne se limite plus \u00e0 un \u201ctrade unique\u201d. Il s\u2019apparente \u00e0 une <strong>r\u00e9allocation de classe d\u2019actifs<\/strong>. C\u2019est pr\u00e9cis\u00e9ment ce qui nourrit une <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/altcoins-altseason-sommets\/\" rel=\"\"><strong>altseason<\/strong><\/a> : volumes en hausse, corr\u00e9lations internes plus fortes, et surperformance des grandes capitalisations hors Bitcoin.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"les_limites_a_garder_en_tete_pour_ne_pas_se_tromper_de_cycle\">Les limites \u00e0 garder en t\u00eate pour ne pas se tromper de cycle<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Tout feu vert n\u2019implique pas une <strong>hausse durable<\/strong>. D\u2019abord, le march\u00e9 peut avoir <strong>int\u00e9gr\u00e9<\/strong> une partie du sc\u00e9nario. Un \u201csell the news\u201d n\u2019est pas impossible, surtout apr\u00e8s une forte anticipation. Ensuite, la <strong>s\u00e9lectivit\u00e9<\/strong> restera forte. Les actifs dot\u00e9s d\u2019un \u00e9cosyst\u00e8me robuste, de frais ma\u00eetris\u00e9s et d\u2019un usage r\u00e9el capteront davantage de flux.<\/p>\n<p>Par ailleurs, la macro\u00e9conomie compte encore. Des <strong>taux \u00e9lev\u00e9s<\/strong> ou une aversion au risque persistante limiteraient la profondeur des achats. De m\u00eame, le positionnement des investisseurs sur les d\u00e9riv\u00e9s peut amplifier les \u00e0-coups. Une structure de financement trop tendue cr\u00e9e des liquidations rapides. Dans ce contexte, la gestion du levier et des tailles de position demeure centrale.<\/p>\n<p>Enfin, les conditions techniques jouent un r\u00f4le. Un ETF apporte de la liquidit\u00e9 formelle, mais pas n\u00e9cessairement de la <strong>liquidit\u00e9 r\u00e9elle<\/strong> sur chaque carnet. Il faut du market-making actif, des spreads serr\u00e9s, et des co\u00fbts de roulement contenus. Sans ces briques, l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat peut retomber apr\u00e8s le pic d\u2019annonce.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"ce_quil_faut_surveiller_en_octobre_semaine_apres_semaine\">Ce qu\u2019il faut surveiller en octobre, semaine apr\u00e8s semaine<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Pour jauger le risque\/opportunit\u00e9, mieux vaut suivre un tableau de bord clair :<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Calendrier SEC<\/strong> : dates limites par actif, reports \u00e9ventuels, contenu des ordonnances.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Flux<\/strong> : cr\u00e9ations nettes sur les ETF existants, inscriptions d\u2019achats r\u00e9currents, et volumes sur les bourses am\u00e9ricaines.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Structure de march\u00e9<\/strong> : spreads des ETF vs r\u00e9f\u00e9rence au comptant, \u00e9cart de suivi, et profondeur des carnets.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rotation<\/strong> : dominance de Bitcoin, poids d\u2019Ethereum, puis part des altcoins dans les volumes.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Signal macro<\/strong> : attentes de taux, dollar, et app\u00e9tit pour le risque sur les actions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Si plusieurs d\u00e9cisions s\u2019alignent <strong>positivement<\/strong> et que les flux confirment, la th\u00e8se d\u2019une <strong>altseason d\u2019automne<\/strong> gagnera en cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9. \u00c0 l\u2019inverse, une salve de refus ou des reports r\u00e9p\u00e9t\u00e9s repousseraient le sc\u00e9nario. Dans ce cas, le march\u00e9 privil\u00e9gierait une <strong>lat\u00e9ralisation<\/strong> plus longue, en attendant une fen\u00eatre plus port\u00e9e par la macro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Octobre s\u2019annonce d\u00e9cisif pour les ETF crypto. La SEC doit se prononcer sur une s\u00e9rie de dossiers li\u00e9s aux&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":245,"featured_media":10513,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Altseason : Tout va se jouer en octobre pour les ETF crypto<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Octobre concentre les d\u00e9cisions cl\u00e9s de la SEC sur des ETF altcoins. 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