{"id":10483,"date":"2025-09-29T13:00:59","date_gmt":"2025-09-29T13:00:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/?p=10483"},"modified":"2025-09-29T12:46:58","modified_gmt":"2025-09-29T12:46:58","slug":"bitcoin-menace-chuter-nouveau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-menace-chuter-nouveau\/","title":{"rendered":"Le prix du Bitcoin menace de s\u2019effondrer\u00a0\u00e0\u00a0nouveau"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le bitcoin a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 la semaine au-dessus de 112 000 dollars, mais l\u2019\u00e9quilibre reste pr\u00e9caire. <strong>Les traders parlent d\u00e9j\u00e0 d\u2019un retour possible vers 108 000<\/strong>, tant que la r\u00e9sistance \u00e0 113 500 ne c\u00e8de pas. La fin du mois et du trimestre ajoute de la tension, avec un contexte macro\u00e9conomique charg\u00e9. L\u2019or, en pleine ascension, accentue la comparaison d\u00e9favorable. Le march\u00e9 crypto joue donc un dangereux ping-pong entre espoir de rebond et menace d\u2019effondrement.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"tension_autour_de_112_000_et_risque_de_ping-pong\">Tension autour de 112 000 et risque de ping-pong<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le mouvement phare est d\u00e9j\u00e0 pos\u00e9. Le bitcoin a fini la semaine au-dessus des 112 000, mais il a aussit\u00f4t rechut\u00e9 quand les march\u00e9s asiatiques ont rouvert. Les traders parlent d\u2019un bras de fer. Sans reprise nette, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/news\/bitcoin-chute-cap-sur-104-000\/\" rel=\"\">le prix du bitcoin peut glisser<\/a> vers le bas de la fourchette locale proche de 108 000.<\/strong><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24BTC&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$BTC<\/a> also had a pump just like <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%24ETH&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">$ETH<\/a>, mostly due to short positions getting closed.<\/p>\n<p>For a strong Bitcoin rally, a daily close above $113,500 is needed.<\/p>\n<p>Otherwise, BTC will most likely revisit its lows again. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/8ydahlHokw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pic.twitter.com\/8ydahlHokw<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Ted (@TedPillows) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TedPillows\/status\/1972571547488403466?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">September 29, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>Des traders insistent sur un signal binaire. Une cl\u00f4ture journali\u00e8re au-dessus de 113 500 validerait un vrai souffle haussier. En dessous, le sc\u00e9nario dominant reste la d\u00e9rive en va-et-vient entre 108 000 et la zone de r\u00e9sistance.<\/p>\n<p>Ce n\u2019est pas une figure de style. <strong>C\u2019est l\u2019interpr\u00e9tation d\u2019un march\u00e9 qui manque encore de volume pour casser. <\/strong>En outre,<strong> les liquidations se sont encore emball\u00e9es avec un total proche de 345 millions sur vingt-quatre heures,<\/strong> dont pr\u00e8s de 260 millions c\u00f4t\u00e9 vendeurs \u00e0 d\u00e9couvert.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-10502\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/Capture-decran-2025-09-29-130730-e1759148824750.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin liquidation\" width=\"1200\" height=\"549\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/Capture-decran-2025-09-29-130730-e1759148824750.png 712w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/Capture-decran-2025-09-29-130730-e1759148824750-300x137.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/p>\n<p>Une telle purge peut inverser un mouvement. Elle peut aussi l\u2019\u00e9puiser. Pour l\u2019instant, la cartographie montre des poches de risque sous 107 000, capables d\u2019aspirer le prix si la pression retombe.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"clotures_mensuelles_et_calendrier_macro_sous_haute_tension_pour_bitcoin\">Cl\u00f4tures mensuelles et calendrier macro sous haute tension pour bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le timing n\u2019aide pas. Fin septembre rime avec<strong> double cl\u00f4ture mensuelle et trimestrielle<\/strong>. Les donn\u00e9es de performance montrent un bilan modeste. Autour de trois pour cent sur le mois et un peu plus de quatre pour cent sur le trimestre si 112 000 tient. L\u2019historique du troisi\u00e8me trimestre plaide pour la prudence.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-10500 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSD_2025-09-29_12-50-46.png\" alt=\"Bitcoin \" width=\"1435\" height=\"808\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSD_2025-09-29_12-50-46.png 1435w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSD_2025-09-29_12-50-46-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSD_2025-09-29_12-50-46-1024x577.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/BTCUSD_2025-09-29_12-50-46-768x432.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1435px) 100vw, 1435px\"><\/p>\n<p>La suite d\u00e9pend surtout du travail. Litt\u00e9ralement. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/schedule\/news_release\/empsit.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Les chiffres de l\u2019emploi aux \u00c9tats-Unis<\/a> sont attendus vendredi 3 octobre. Ce rendez-vous guide les attentes de politique mon\u00e9taire et la liquidit\u00e9 globale. En cas de choc sur l\u2019emploi, <strong>la distribution des risques sur les actifs sensibles comme Bitcoin peut bouger en quelques minutes.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Autre grain de sable. Un risque de fermeture partielle du gouvernement am\u00e9ricain plane encore. Un tel \u00e9pisode peut d\u00e9caler la publication des statistiques et d\u00e9placer la volatilit\u00e9. Les march\u00e9s de change ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 r\u00e9agi en amont. <strong>Cette incertitude nourrit l\u2019h\u00e9sitation c\u00f4t\u00e9 crypto.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"or_au_sommet_et_pression_sur_le_bitcoin\">Or au sommet et pression sur le bitcoin<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Pendant que bitcoin tergiverse, l\u2019or \u00e9crit un nouveau sommet. Le m\u00e9tal a franchi 3 800 dollars l\u2019once et reprend son r\u00f4le de couverture star \u00e0 la faveur d\u2019un dollar plus faible et d\u2019espoirs de nouvelles baisses de taux. La comparaison p\u00e8se sur le r\u00e9cit pro-Bitcoin \u00e0 court terme.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-10507 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/XAUUSD_2025-09-29_13-16-19.png\" alt=\"prix or \" width=\"1322\" height=\"755\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/XAUUSD_2025-09-29_13-16-19.png 1322w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/XAUUSD_2025-09-29_13-16-19-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/XAUUSD_2025-09-29_13-16-19-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/XAUUSD_2025-09-29_13-16-19-768x439.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1322px) 100vw, 1322px\"><\/p>\n<p>Ce d\u00e9calage n\u2019est pas une condamnation. Les cycles montrent souvent un retard entre les mouvements de l\u2019or et ceux de bitcoin. La m\u00e9canique est simple. La sensibilit\u00e9 de l\u2019or r\u00e9agit plus vite aux taux. Bitcoin r\u00e9pond davantage aux anticipations de croissance et de liquidit\u00e9 plus structurelles. <strong>Quand ces attentes pivotent, la corr\u00e9lation rattrape.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Si l\u2019or continue sur sa lanc\u00e9e, la pression s\u2019accro\u00eet sur les taureaux crypto pour d\u00e9fendre 112 000 et reprendre 113 500. Sans cela, le flux refuge peut d\u00e9serter les actifs risqu\u00e9s jusqu\u2019aux prochaines d\u00e9cisions de la banque centrale.<\/p>\n<h2><span id=\"mecanique_de_marche_et_signaux_on-chain\">M\u00e9canique de march\u00e9 et signaux on-chain<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Le march\u00e9 d\u00e9riv\u00e9s laisse une autre empreinte. Un nouveau trou de cotation s\u2019est ouvert sur les contrats \u00e0 terme du CME pendant le week-end. <strong>Ces \u00e9carts se referment souvent lorsque le carnet retrouve un prix d\u2019\u00e9quilibre.<\/strong> Ce comportement n\u2019est pas une loi. C\u2019est une habitude statistique que les op\u00e9rateurs jouent volontiers.<\/p>\n<p>Sur la cha\u00eene, l\u2019histoire reste classique. Les porteurs de court terme valident des pertes. Les anciens conservent. Les mesures de profitabilit\u00e9 comme l<a href=\"https:\/\/cryptoquant.com\/insights\/quicktake\/68da227349ecef5897758c93-BTC-SOPR-ratio-LTH-SOPR-STH-SOPR-has-dropped-back-near-15\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">e SOPR confirment cette bascule<\/a>. Lors des corrections pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes, cette configuration a co\u00efncid\u00e9 avec des zones de plancher. Cela n\u2019offre aucune garantie. Cela cadre la probabilit\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-10525 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/SOPR.jpg\" alt=\"SOPR Bitcoin \" width=\"1057\" height=\"561\" srcset=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/SOPR.jpg 1057w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/SOPR-300x159.jpg 300w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/SOPR-1024x543.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/icobench.com\/fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2025\/09\/SOPR-768x408.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1057px) 100vw, 1057px\"><\/p>\n<p>Un dernier rep\u00e8re aide \u00e0 garder la t\u00eate froide. Le co\u00fbt moyen des porteurs r\u00e9cents se situe autour de 109 800. Sous ce niveau, <strong>les ventes d\u00e9fensives se multiplient.<\/strong> Au-dessus, la pression se rel\u00e2che peu \u00e0 peu. Tant que le march\u00e9 jouera ce chat et la souris, le risque d\u2019un faux d\u00e9part vers le bas restera \u00e9lev\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Le bitcoin a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 la semaine au-dessus de 112 000 dollars, mais l\u2019\u00e9quilibre reste pr\u00e9caire. Les traders parlent d\u00e9j\u00e0&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":241,"featured_media":10488,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[15,68],"class_list":["post-10483","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-bull-run","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin menace de chuter vers 108 000 $ malgr\u00e9 un rebond fragile<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bitcoin tente de d\u00e9fendre les 112 000 dollars, mais la cl\u00f4ture mensuelle et la pression macro font planer le risque d\u2019un repli brutal.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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