{"id":4133,"date":"2025-09-23T06:40:12","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T06:40:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/es\/?p=4133"},"modified":"2025-09-22T15:57:06","modified_gmt":"2025-09-22T15:57:06","slug":"cz-fundador-de-binance-advierte-aun-no-estamos-en-un-mercado-alcista-real","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icobench.com\/es\/news\/cz-fundador-de-binance-advierte-aun-no-estamos-en-un-mercado-alcista-real\/","title":{"rendered":"CZ, fundador de Binance, advierte: \u201cA\u00fan no estamos en un mercado alcista real\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-start=\"564\" data-end=\"938\">Changpeng Zhao (CZ), fundador del exchange Binance, lanz\u00f3 el pasado 21 de septiembre un mensaje de cautela: el repunte actual de los mercados no puede calificarse a\u00fan como un \u201cbull market\u201d genuino. Seg\u00fan explic\u00f3 en redes sociales, la diferencia clave radica en si las subidas se apoyan en fundamentos econ\u00f3micos s\u00f3lidos o, por el contrario, en simple impulso especulativo.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"940\" data-end=\"1232\">CZ subray\u00f3 la relevancia del \u00edndice del <strong data-start=\"980\" data-end=\"1021\">Institute for Supply Management (ISM)<\/strong>, que mide la actividad manufacturera y de servicios en EE. UU. y suele anticipar beneficios corporativos. A su juicio, sin la confirmaci\u00f3n de este indicador, el entusiasmo de los inversores podr\u00eda ser fr\u00e1gil.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Dumb question about X. <\/p>\n<p>My followers grew quickly from 9-10m, in a bear market. Then slowed to a halt after 10m, even in this bull market. Followers grew fast in previous bull markets. Lost correlation?<\/p>\n<p>Is this normal? or something wrong with X? or am I being \"too KOL\"? \ud83d\ude02<\/p>\n<p>\u2014 CZ \ud83d\udd36 BNB (@cz_binance) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cz_binance\/status\/1969750006711161097?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">September 21, 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1234\" data-end=\"1283\"><span id=\"senales_de_sobrecalentamiento_en_wall_street\">Se\u00f1ales de sobrecalentamiento en Wall Street<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1285\" data-end=\"1660\">Las palabras de CZ coinciden con un creciente temor a la sobrevaloraci\u00f3n burs\u00e1til. El informe de mitad de a\u00f1o de <strong data-start=\"1398\" data-end=\"1416\">Charles Schwab<\/strong> sit\u00faa el PER del S&amp;P 500 en niveles no vistos desde el pico de 2021. En lo que va de 2025, el \u00edndice ha marcado 57 m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos, un ritmo comparable al de 2017 y 2021, ejercicios que posteriormente dieron paso a fases de consolidaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"1662\" data-end=\"1889\">Esta euforia se refleja tambi\u00e9n en el mercado cripto, muy correlacionado con la renta variable estadounidense. Un posible ajuste en los activos tradicionales podr\u00eda tener un impacto inmediato en Bitcoin y otras criptomonedas.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"1891\" data-end=\"1928\"><span id=\"crece_el_pesimismo_entre_traders\">Crece el pesimismo entre traders<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"1930\" data-end=\"2144\">El <strong data-start=\"1933\" data-end=\"1960\">Trader Sentiment Report<\/strong> de Schwab, correspondiente al segundo trimestre, muestra que el sentimiento bajista entre operadores alcanza su nivel m\u00e1s fuerte en dos a\u00f1os. Entre los principales temores destacan:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li data-start=\"2148\" data-end=\"2220\"><strong data-start=\"2148\" data-end=\"2171\">Riesgo de recesi\u00f3n:<\/strong> del 33 % al 63 % respecto al trimestre previo.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2223\" data-end=\"2298\"><strong data-start=\"2223\" data-end=\"2248\">Estanflaci\u00f3n en 2025:<\/strong> 62 % de los encuestados la consideran probable.<\/li>\n<li data-start=\"2301\" data-end=\"2372\"><strong data-start=\"2301\" data-end=\"2343\">Impacto de las pol\u00edticas arancelarias:<\/strong> preocupaci\u00f3n para el 61 %.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p data-start=\"2374\" data-end=\"2550\">Este contraste \u2014precios r\u00e9cord en bolsa frente a un horizonte econ\u00f3mico sombr\u00edo\u2014 refuerza la tesis de CZ: el rally es fr\u00e1gil y depende m\u00e1s de expectativas que de fundamentos.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"2552\" data-end=\"2587\"><span id=\"bitcoin_ante_una_base_incierta\">Bitcoin ante una base incierta<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"2589\" data-end=\"2800\">En el caso de Bitcoin, la advertencia es clara. Aunque la fortaleza t\u00e9cnica pueda sostener alzas puntuales, sin el respaldo de un ciclo econ\u00f3mico robusto la criptomoneda podr\u00eda enfrentar correcciones abruptas.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"2802\" data-end=\"3126\">CZ record\u00f3 que los grandes mercados alcistas de la historia no se han construido sobre gr\u00e1ficos y euforia, sino sobre fundamentos macroecon\u00f3micos s\u00f3lidos. Su mensaje apunta a los inversores minoristas que, atra\u00eddos por los m\u00e1ximos en renta variable y el repunte de las criptos, podr\u00edan estar ignorando riesgos subyacentes.<\/p>\n<h2 data-start=\"3128\" data-end=\"3159\"><span id=\"una_llamada_a_la_prudencia\">Una llamada a la prudencia<\/span><\/h2>\n<p data-start=\"3161\" data-end=\"3390\">El fundador de Binance no descarta nuevas subidas, pero advierte que el optimismo actual es prematuro. En su opini\u00f3n, el verdadero \u201cbull market\u201d llegar\u00e1 solo cuando los indicadores econ\u00f3micos confirmen un crecimiento sostenido.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3392\" data-end=\"3604\">En un momento en que Bitcoin y Wall Street avanzan al un\u00edsono, la advertencia de CZ suena como recordatorio: la especulaci\u00f3n puede inflar precios, pero sin fundamentos, el riesgo de pinchazo sigue muy presente.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"3392\" data-end=\"3604\">Lee sobre las <a href=\"https:\/\/icobench.com\/es\/criptomonedas\/proximas-criptomonedas-en-binance\/\" rel=\"\"><strong>pr\u00f3ximas criptomonedas en Binance<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Changpeng Zhao (CZ), fundador del exchange Binance, lanz\u00f3 el pasado 21 de septiembre un mensaje de cautela: el repunte&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":257,"featured_media":1131,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_stopmodifiedupdate":false,"_modified_date":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","entry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>CZ, fundador de Binance, advierte: \u201cA\u00fan no estamos en un mercado alcista real\u201d<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Seg\u00fan explic\u00f3 en redes sociales, la diferencia clave radica en si las subidas se apoyan en fundamentos econ\u00f3micos s\u00f3lidos o, por el contrario, en simple impulso especulativo.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, 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